Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights

Tue Oct 207:30 PM PTESPNLas Vegas, NV
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Two of the cleanest starts in the league meet at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, October 20. Tampa Bay has the stars and a goalie question that looks to be settling, and Vegas has Jack Eichel playing like an early Hart candidate.

WED 10/21, 7:30 PMESPN

Tampa Bay brings a 6-2-0 start built on Nikita Kucherov's production and comeback wins to Las Vegas, with Andrei Vasilevskiy projected to start but not confirmed. Vegas is 8-2-0 after a 6-2 rout of Pittsburgh, with Jack Eichel among the league's top scorers and its own goalie choice between Adin Hill and Carter Hart still open. The game likely turns on whether the Golden Knights' forecheck and zone time pin Tampa down, or whether the Lightning's top line punishes them in transition.

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Kucherov scored twice in under 5 minutes against Vancouver
  • Vasilevskiy projected back in the crease
  • Guentzel and Kucherov finish in bunches
  • Keeps falling behind early, needed a 2-goal comeback
  • Gourde (hip) out, thinning the bottom 6
  • Starter projected, still not officially confirmed
Vegas Golden Knights
  • Eichel's 13 points tied for 3rd in the NHL
  • 5th in shots per game, 2nd in zone time
  • 3 defensemen scored in the 6-2 Penguins rout
  • Hill or Hart in net still unsettled
  • Physical style can mean penalties against Kucherov's power play

Tampa Bay's start has been all Nikita Kucherov. He led the team with 7 assists through the first 2 weeks, then scored twice in under 5 minutes against Vancouver to wipe out a 2-0 deficit before Jake Guentzel won it in the 3rd. The Lightning are 6-2-0 and have won 2 straight, and Bolts Breakdown calls it the club's best start since 2018-19. They also keep doing it the hard way. Our own recap of the 4-2 win over the Canucks was titled "Erase Another Canucks Lead" for a reason.

The other storyline in Tampa is the crease. Dennis Hildeby came over from Toronto in a July 1 trade, made 34 saves in his Lightning debut in the 3-2 win over Minnesota, and was in net against Vancouver, when the Canucks managed only 14 shots. Game-day projections now have Andrei Vasilevskiy back in the crease, with Hildeby as the backup, though nobody has confirmed it yet. Whoever starts will be facing a lot more pucks than Vancouver threw at Hildeby.

Vegas is 8-2-0 with 16 points heading into Tuesday, and the most recent of those wins was a 6-2 beating of a tired Pittsburgh team. The Golden Knights scored 3 in the 1st, got goals from 3 defensemen, and got a goal and 2 assists from Mark Stone. Eichel had 13 points (4 goals, 9 assists) by midweek, tied for 3rd in the league, and Tomas Hertl (3 power-play goals) and Mitch Marner give them real depth behind him. Their net isn't settled either. Some projections have Adin Hill starting and others have Carter Hart, and Vegas hasn't confirmed which.

10/17WvsCanucks4-2
10/15WvsKraken4-3
10/13L@Rangers1-4
10/10W@Islanders5-3
10/08WvsWild3-2
10/18WvsPenguins6-2
10/16WvsFlames6-2
10/14W@Predators5-2
10/13L@Wild2-4
10/11WvsKings2-1

The style matchup is the reason to tune in. Vegas leans on territory. The Golden Knights ranked 2nd in even-strength offensive-zone time and 5th in the NHL at 30.8 shots per game, and Jeremy Lauzon led every NHL defenseman with 28 hits. That's a heavy, grinding look for a Tampa team whose best nights this season have come from finishing chances when they get them, not from controlling the puck. If Vegas wins the forecheck, Vasilevskiy or whoever starts spends the night under siege. If Kucherov and Guentzel get loose in transition, Tampa has shown it can score 3 or 4 in a hurry.

Tampa is still without Yanni Gourde, who is on the injured non-roster list with a hip injury, so the bottom-6 minutes against the Vegas checkers fall to the depth guys. Watch the Vegas power play too. Hertl's 3 power-play goals mean Tampa can't afford to spend a 2nd straight game chasing the play and taking penalties. Puck drop is 7:30 PM PT.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 20) — Lightning Head West To Test Eichel's Golden Knights In Vegas · Barstool Bush