San Antonio just dropped 133 on the Wolves in Game 2 and walked out of Texas with a 38-point win — the worst postseason loss in Minnesota franchise history. Wembanyama posted 19 and 15, Stephon Castle dropped 21, De'Aaron Fox chipped in 16, and the Spurs shot 50% from the floor and 41% from 3. That was not a competitive basketball game.
The Edwards situation is the whole ballgame. Ant came back ahead of schedule from a hyperextended left knee and bone bruise to steal Game 1 by 2, then was barely a factor in the Game 2 blowout. He's combined for 30 points across the 2 games, came off the bench in Game 2, and hasn't cracked 25 minutes either night. He's questionable again for Game 3 with that same knee.
- OutDavid Jones Garcia (F) — Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News reports.02/04
- Day-To-DayAyo Dosunmu (G) — Dosunmu (heel) is questionable for Friday's Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Spurs.05/07
- Day-To-DayAnthony Edwards (G) — Edwards is questionable for Friday's Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Spurs due to a left knee bone bruise.05/07
- OutDonte DiVincenzo (G) — DiVincenzo will undergo surgery Sunday to repair a ruptured right Achilles tendon that he suffered during the Timberwolves Game 4 win over the Nuggets on Saturday.04/26
Minnesota is also without Donte DiVincenzo for the rest of the run after his Achilles surgery, and Ayo Dosunmu is questionable with a heel. So the Wolves' backcourt is being held together with tape while Castle and Fox are running downhill at them. That's why a road team is favored in a home Game 3.
The market is not subtle here: Spurs -4.5, Wolves moneyline +179, total sitting at 216.5. Public money on the spread is hammering San Antonio (91% of the handle, 67% of bets). The EV numbers don't love either side — every market is in the red — but Pinnacle is essentially saying the Wolves have a 35% chance to win this game at home, which is bleak.
What flips this? Edwards looking like Edwards for 35 minutes instead of 22, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels not getting stuck on 12 points apiece, and somebody — anybody — bothering Wemby at the rim. Target Center will be loud, and the Wolves have been a different team at home all year. But if Game 2 was even close to a real reading of these rosters at full strength, this series is about to get short.