Barstool Bush
Predictions

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers

By Bush StaffUpdated 65d ago·1 min read
Minnesota TwinsMIN(35-40)
Texas RangersTEX(35-38)
9—3
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIN
4002010209130
TEX
0000020013110

Joe Ryan (4-3, 3.17) carries a 6-inning, 8-strikeout no-decision from his last turn against the Cardinals into Arlington against Jack Leiter (3-6, 4.86), who got tagged for 4 earned in 5 innings at Boston last Friday. On paper this is a clear mismatch on the mound, and the Twins lineup is already swinging like it knows.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Twins(35-40)
WWWLW
9
Rangers(35-38)
LLWLL
3
Best BetTwins -126
Pregame

Joe Ryan is the best starter in this game by a comfortable margin and Texas is missing Seager, Carter and Helman from the lineup. The Twins ML in the -120s is a fair price on a team that's outscored Texas 16-4 in this series and owns Globe Life Field. Lay it.

Minnesota has won 4 in a row and is two-for-two in this series, including a 12-2 demolition Tuesday powered by 17 hits — a Trevor Larnach leadoff homer, a 3-run Kody Clemens shot, and Zebby Matthews carving up Texas for 7 strong. The road version of this team is the best opposing AL club Globe Life Field has hosted since it opened, and they're 13-5 there since 2020.

Minnesota Twins
Joe Ryan
(5-5)·3.61 ERA
Jun 12 vs Cardinals
ND
6.0IP
3ER
8K
0BB
102P
06/18 Lineup
Texas Rangers
Jack Leiter
(3-7)·5.29 ERA
Jun 12 @ Red Sox
L
5.0IP
4ER
3K
2BB
103P
06/18 Lineup
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(35-40)
Jun 17W@ Rangers12-2
Jun 16W@ Rangers4-2
Jun 14Wvs Cardinals5-4
Jun 13Lvs Cardinals6-9
Jun 13Wvs Cardinals9-8
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
(35-38)
Jun 17Lvs Twins2-12
Jun 16Lvs Twins2-4
Jun 14W@ Red Sox6-4
Jun 13L@ Red Sox3-6
Jun 12L@ Red Sox1-10

The Rangers are a mess on the position-player side and it shows. Corey Seager is on the 7-day concussion IL, Evan Carter (oblique) and Michael Helman (hand) are both shelved, and Danny Jansen is still down behind the plate. That is a top-of-the-order and an outfield gutted at the same time, and Leiter doesn't have the margin for error to outrun it.

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(13)
  • Day-To-DayKaelen Culpepper (SS) — Culpepper was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A St. Paul on Tuesday with a left hip strain, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/16
  • Day-To-DayRicardo Olivar (C) — Triple-A St. Paul transferred Olivar from the 7-day injured list to the 60-day IL on June 4 while he recovers from a right knee sprain, Twins writer Brandon Warne reports.06/16
  • Day-To-DayWalker Jenkins (CF) — Jenkins (shoulder) could start a rehab assignment with Single-A Fort Myers as soon as Saturday, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/12
  • Day-To-DayJulian Merryweather (RP) — Merryweather (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment with the Twins' rookie-level Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Theodore Tollefson of ZoneCoverage.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayMatt Canterino (SP) — Canterino (shoulder) will be with the Twins in big-league spring training but isn't expected to pitch during camp as he continues to recover from shoulder surgery, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRyan Jeffers (C) — Jeffers had the cast and stitches removed from his surgically repaired left hand and has resumed throwing, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILKendry Rojas (RP) — Rojas (elbow) has been sent to Triple-A St. Paul to begin a rehab assignment, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILCole Sands (RP) — Sands underwent an MRI on Friday that showed healing in his injured forearm, though inflammation was still present, MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILMick Abel (SP) — Abel (elbow) struck out five and permitted two hits and no walks over three scoreless frames in his first rehab start with Triple-A St. Paul on Wednesday.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILBailey Ober (SP) — Ober has a mild flexor strain and will be shut down for 10-14 days, reports Dan Hayes of The Athletic06/01
  • 60-Day-ILDavid Festa (SP) — The Twins announced June 1 that Festa (shoulder) has started a throwing progression, MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Acton (RP) — no05/19
  • 60-Day-ILPablo Lopez (SP) — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
(13)
  • Day-To-DaySebastian Walcott (SS) — Walcott (elbow) will begin to ramp up his activity soon and is still on track for a late-July or early-August return to a minor-league affiliate, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 7-Day ILCorey Seager (SS) — The Rangers placed Seager on the 7-day concussion injured list Monday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.06/15
  • 10-Day-ILMichael Helman (CF) — The Rangers placed Helman (hand) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.06/14
  • 10-Day-ILEvan Carter (CF) — The Rangers placed Carter (oblique) on the 10-day injured list Saturday.06/13
  • 10-Day-ILDanny Jansen (C) — Jansen is not in the Rangers' starting lineup against the Guardians on Friday.06/06
  • 15-Day-ILJalen Beeks (RP) — Beeks (2-1) earned the win in relief Saturday against the Cubs after tossing 1.1 scoreless innings. He struck out one with no hits or walks allowed.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILChris Martin (RP) — The Rangers placed Martin on the 15-day injured list Monday with a right shoulder impingement.06/01
  • OutDeclan Cronin (RP) — Cronin (elbow) signed a two-year, minor-league contract with the Rangers on Tuesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.05/08
  • OutNabil Crismatt (SP) — Crismatt will undergo surgery to repair a torn UCL in his right elbow, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Montgomery (SP) — Montgomery (elbow) threw a 20-pitch live batting practice session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILRobert Garcia (RP) — The Rangers transferred Garcia (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILCarter Baumler (RP) — Baumler (intercostal) has been shut down from his rehab assignment, MLB.com reports.05/23
  • 60-Day-ILCody Bradford (SP) — Bradford (elbow) began throwing from 60 feet during the Rangers' most recent homestand, MLB.com reports05/10

Texas has dropped 4 of 5 and the bats have gone quiet — 2 runs in each of the last two against Minnesota after getting blanked around by Boston the series before. There's a Mick Abel return looming in the Twins rotation too, so the depth picture only tilts further their way. Bruce Bochy needs Leiter to give him length here just to stop the bleeding before the bullpen has to absorb another bullying.

First pitch is 1:35 PM CT for the getaway game. Twins are chasing a road sweep with their best starter on the bump; Rangers are trying to avoid a fifth straight series loss in their own building to this team.

Sources

MLBMinnesota TwinsTexas RangersPolymarketKalshiJoe RyanJack Leiter