Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	5	7	0
SEA	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for Minnesota looking to build off a stretch where he's quietly settled in, even though his last start against the A's ended in a loss. Bryce Miller counters for Seattle, and on paper his 2.75 ERA looks like the best number on either side of this one. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM PT.

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FINAL

Spread

ML

Total

Twins(55-55)

WLWWW

5

+1.5-158+156o7.5-118

Mariners(53-57)

LLWLW

3

-1.5+121-156u7.5-110

Best BetTwins +142

Pregame

The Twins are the team playing with purpose right now, reportedly gearing up to add before the deadline while riding a stretch where they've won 4 of 5. Seattle's bats have gone quiet for weeks, and that kind of offensive funk is hard to snap out of against a pitcher who's settled in. Backing Minnesota to win outright makes sense given the direction each club is trending.

The bigger story with Miller is what's happened the last two times out. His July 9 clunker against the Marlins was rough — 4 earned runs allowed in 5 innings with his fastball missing bats less than usual, per the Spokesman-Review — and his July 24 start against Texas wasn't much better. That's two shaky outings in his last three, which matters plenty against a Twins lineup that's actually swinging it right now. Minnesota, for its part, is dealing with a rotation that's been gutted — Pablo Lopez, David Festa and Mick Abel are all out for extended stretches, and Mike Paredes just went down too, which is part of why Matthews' recent form matters so much to a staff running thin.

Zebby Matthews

(6-8)·5.34 ERA

Jul 24 vs Athletics

L

6.0IP

2ER

1K

3BB

92P

07/31 Lineup

Bryce Miller

(4-6)·3.39 ERA

Jul 24 @ Rangers

L

5.1IP

5ER

0K

1BB

89P

07/31 Lineup

Minnesota sits 3.5 games back in the AL Central and is reportedly leaning toward being buyers ahead of Monday's trade deadline, with bullpen depth the priority after losing Cole Sands to elbow surgery and Anthony Banda to a season-ending lat repair, according to the Star Tribune and Washington Post. Seattle has its own thin spots to patch — Brendan Donovan and Will Wilson are both still working back from injury at third base — and the front office is reportedly hunting for a right-handed bat and a reliever of its own before the deadline hits, per Heavy.com and MLB.com.

Minnesota Twins

(8)

• 10-Day-ILByron Buxton (CF) — Buxton (hip) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Royals.07/29
• 15-Day-ILCole Sands (RP) — Sands will undergo arthroscopic surgery Tuesday to remove loose bodies and bone spurs from his right elbow, Jack Azoulay-Haron of ElEmergente.com reports.07/30
• 15-Day-ILMike Paredes (SP) — The Twins placed Paredes (oblique) on the 15-day injured list Sunday.07/26
• 15-Day-ILAnthony Banda (RP) — Banda underwent surgery to repair his left lat strain and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.07/09
• 60-Day-ILDavid Festa (SP) — Festa (shoulder) will undergo a season-ending double surgery Wednesday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.07/29
• 60-Day-ILMick Abel (SP) — The Twins plan to re-evaluate Abel (elbow) on Sept. 1, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.07/20
• 60-Day-ILGarrett Acton (RP) — Acton (shoulder) struck out a batter and allowed three earned runs on one hit and three walks over two-thirds of an inning in a rehab appearance Tuesday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League.07/15
• 60-Day-ILPablo Lopez (SP) — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Seattle Mariners

(6)

• 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B) — Donovan (groin) will shift his rehab assignment to Triple-A Tacoma on Friday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.07/17
• 15-Day-ILMatt Brash (RP) — General manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Brash was diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain in his right lat, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.06/16
• 60-Day-ILCooper Criswell (RP) — Seattle transferred Criswell (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Friday.07/04
• 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP) — Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Vargas (lat) recently began a throwing program and could be ready to return from the 60-day injured list around the Aug. 3 trade deadline, Zac Hereth of 710 AM Seattle Sports reports.06/17
• 60-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B) — Wilson (thumb) has gone 3-for-9 with two RBI and a 1:2 BB:K in his first three rehab games between High-A Everett and Triple-A Tacoma.06/17
• 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP) — The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08

Buxton being out changes the calculus for Minnesota's lineup, but the Twins have found ways to win without him lately, taking 2 of 3 from Kansas City including a comeback the day before this series opener. Seattle's issue isn't injuries so much as an offense that's simply gone cold across the board — the Mariners have dropped 3 of their last 5, most recently getting outscored in back-to-back losses to the Dodgers.

Minnesota Twins

(55-55)

Jul 30Wvs Royals4-3

Jul 29Lvs Royals0-4

Jul 28Wvs Royals3-2

Jul 26Wvs Athletics11-8

Jul 25Wvs Athletics2-0

Seattle Mariners

(53-57)

Jul 31L@ Dodgers2-6

Jul 30L@ Dodgers2-4

Jul 29W@ Dodgers7-6

Jul 27L@ Rangers3-7

Jul 26W@ Rangers6-4

None of this screams laugher — both bullpens have taken hits, and Miller's underlying stuff is still good enough to keep Seattle in it even on a bad night. But the shape of this series favors the team playing with a sense of urgency, and right now that's Minnesota, not Seattle.