Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals

By Bush StaffUpdated 66d ago·2 min read
Kansas City RoyalsKC(29-45)
Washington NationalsWSH(39-35)
62
FINAL
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KC
1120020006120
WSH
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First pitch is 1:05 PM ET at Nationals Park, and the pitching matchup on paper is a combined 11.51 ERA worth of nope. Luinder Avila (1-3, 6.19) gets the ball for Kansas City opposite Zack Littell (6-5, 5.32), and both guys were yanked in the second inning of their previous outings. Same date too — June 12 — different ballparks, same vibe.

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FINAL
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ML
Total
Royals(29-45)
LLWLL
6
Nationals(39-35)
WWWWL
2
Best BetNationals -133
Pregame

Washington at -128 is a fair price given how badly Kansas City's lineup is leaking right now without Pasquantino and Isbel, and with Garcia banged up. Avila's last outing was a full-on disaster, and the Nats have scored 7+ in four straight. Lay the price on the home side.

If you're scoring at home: Avila coughed up 8 earned in 2/3 of an inning against Houston, walking 3 and not striking anyone out across 49 pitches. Littell got chased after 1.2 innings by Seattle, 5 earned on 4 hits. Whichever bullpen blinks last wins, and Washington's pen has been the steadier one over the last two weeks while Blake Butera's club has stacked four straight wins.

Kansas City Royals
Luinder Avila
(3-3)·5.40 ERA
Jun 12 vs Astros
L
0.2IP
8ER
0K
3BB
49P
06/17 Lineup
Washington Nationals
Zack Littell
(7-6)·5.29 ERA
Jun 12 vs Mariners
L
1.2IP
5ER
0K
1BB
56P
06/17 Lineup
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(29-45)
Jun 16L@ Nationals4-6
Jun 15L@ Nationals3-7
Jun 14Wvs Astros4-0
Jun 13Lvs Astros7-8
Jun 13Lvs Astros8-10
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(39-35)
Jun 16Wvs Royals6-4
Jun 15Wvs Royals7-3
Jun 14Wvs Mariners10-1
Jun 13Wvs Mariners8-3
Jun 12Lvs Mariners2-10

Washington is suddenly the team that scores in bunches — 8, 10, 7, and 6 across the last four wins, with the young core (Dylan Crews, James Wood, Daylen Lile) doing damage in front of Keibert Ruiz. Kansas City's lineup, meanwhile, looks like a triage unit. Vinnie Pasquantino just had hamate surgery and is out 4-6 weeks, Kyle Isbel is down with a Grade 3 plantar fascia tear, Maikel Garcia is day-to-day after his 3-for-4 in the Houston finale, and Cole Ragans is still shut down with elbow symptoms while getting a second opinion.

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(14)
  • Day-To-DayMaikel Garcia (3B)Garcia went 3-for-4 with a double, three RBI and a stolen base in Sunday's 4-0 win over Houston.06/17
  • Day-To-DayAnthony Simonelli (SP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayJavier Vaz (2B)Vaz (fingers) has produced a .238/.304/.262 slash line with zero home runs and three stolen bases in 10 games since being activated from Double-A Northwest Arkansas' 7-day injured list April 22.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTyson Guerrero (RP)no05/08
  • 7-Day ILSeth Lugo (SP)Lugo (concussion) is expected to be reinstated from the 7-day injured list to start Friday against the Nationals, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILVinnie Pasquantino (1B)Royals manager Matt Quatraro said that Pasquantino underwent surgery Sunday to remove a fractured hamate bone in his right hand and will face a recovery timeline of roughly 4-6 weeks, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.06/14
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Isbel (CF)Isbel has been diagnosed with a Grade 3 tear of a portion of his left plantar fasciitis.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILCole Ragans (SP)Royals manager Matt Quatraro said Tuesday that Ragans remains shut down from throwing while continuing to experience elbow symptoms, and the left-hander will be evaluated by another doctor later this week, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILKris Bubic (SP)Royals manager Matt Quatraro said Sunday that Bubic underwent another MRI that showed nothing structurally wrong with his left elbow or shoulder, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.06/14
  • 15-Day-ILNick Mears (RP)Mears (shoulder) began a throwing progression this week and could progress to a bullpen by the end of the week, MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Estevez (RP)The Royals transferred Estevez (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/15
  • 60-Day-ILJonathan India (2B)no06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJames McArthur (RP)McArthur (elbow) underwent surgery Friday to help combat continued soreness and inflammation, MLB.com reports.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILAlec Marsh (SP)The Royals placed Marsh (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(10)
  • Day-To-DayJarlin Susana (RP)Susana threw from a mound this week for the first time since undergoing lat surgery last September, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.06/14
  • Day-To-DayTyler Stuart (SP)no05/25
  • Day-To-DayTyler Baum (DH)Baum has not pitched this year due an undisclosed injury.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTravis Sykora (SP)Sykora will undergo a UCL reconstruction on his right elbow in two weeks, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILJake Irvin (SP)Nationals manager Blake Butera said Monday that Irvin (shoulder) remains shut down from throwing, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILDJ Herz (SP)Herz (elbow) struck out four batters over three scoreless innings in his second rehab start Thursday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILKen Waldichuk (RP)Waldichuk (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery and an internal brace procedure April 21 and is hopeful to return to game action at some point early in the 2027 season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Williams (SP)Williams (elbow) threw a simulated game at Nationals Park ahead of Tuesday's loss to the Marlins, MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILMax Kranick (RP)The Nationals transferred Kranick (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILJosiah Gray (SP)Gray (elbow) has resumed a throwing program, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/08

Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez can carry a lineup for an inning or two, but with Pasquantino and Isbel out and Garcia hobbled, the spots around them get awfully thin. Seth Lugo is on track to come off the IL Friday — too late to help here. So the Royals are basically asking Avila to keep them in a game where they're going to need every run they can manufacture.

Getaway-day matinee, both starters on short leashes, one offense humming and the other patched together. The Nationals are -128 on the moneyline for a reason, and the move to a 9.5 total with the Over juiced to -125 tells you the market expects more of what we just saw.

MLBKansas City RoyalsWashington NationalsPolymarketKalshiLuinder AvilaZack Littell