The market sees this exactly how you'd expect — Phillies a heavy -305 home favorite at Pinnacle, with DK shading down to -192 and pulling 82% of moneyline tickets. Total sits at 8.5. None of the EVs are positive, so this is one of those games where the right side is whichever team you actually want to watch.
The Rockies counter with Tomoyuki Sugano, who has quietly been the one bright spot on Colorado's staff. He's 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA, took five no-hit innings into the 6th against the Mets in his last start before unraveling for 4 runs, and — fun wrinkle — already beat the Phillies once this year, going 6 innings of 1-run ball at Coors back on April 5. The underlying numbers (4.95 FIP) suggest some regression is loitering, but he's been a problem when he's locating.
Colorado is 16-24 and has dropped 8 of its last 11, with no series win since sweeping the Mets in late April. Philly under interim manager Don Mattingly is 18-22 but trending up — Bryce Harper just went 3-for-4 with 2 homers in Tuesday's 9-1 win over the A's, and he's listed day-to-day but very much active. The Rockies, meanwhile, are without Kris Bryant (back, 60-day IL) and have a thinned-out bullpen between Jeff Criswell, Ryan Feltner, and Jimmy Herget all unavailable.
- Day-To-DayBrayan Castillo (RP) — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayCase Williams (SP) — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayJared Thomas (CF) — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
- BereavementJimmy Herget (RP) — The Rockies moved Herget (personal) to the bereavement/family medical emergency list Saturday.05/09
- 15-Day-ILRyan Feltner (SP) — Feltner (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday and is likely to begin a rehab assignment shortly, MLB.com reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP) — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP) — The Rockies transferred Brown (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP) — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH) — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILJeff Criswell (RP) — Criswell (elbow) made the second appearance of his rehab assignment with High-A Spokane on Sunday, striking out two over a perfect inning.05/08
- Day-To-DayBryce Harper (1B) — Harper went 3-for-4 with a walk, two home runs, three runs scored and three RBI in Tuesday's 9-1 win over the A's.05/09
- Day-To-DayKeaton Anthony (1B) — Anthony suffered a fractured toe after fouling a ball off his foot during Monday's Grapefruit League game versus the Red Sox, Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayRene Pinto (C) — Pinto (undisclosed) began a rehab assignment Monday, Kristie Ackert of the Tampa Bay Times reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayChristian McGowan (RP) — McGowan will miss the remainder of the season following Tommy John surgery, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayDaniel Robert (RP) — Robert suffered a cardiac incident Sunday while preparing to throw a bullpen session and was taken to a local hospital, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayAndrew Bechtold (3B) — Bechtold signed a minor-league contract with the Blue Jays on Dec. 1.05/08
- Day-To-DayMark Kolozsvary (C) — Kolozsvary (undisclosed) agreed to a minor-league contract with the Phillies on Friday that includes an invitation to spring training, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
- 15-Day-ILKyle Backhus (RP) — The Phillies placed Backhus on the 15-day injured list Thursday with left elbow inflammation.05/08
- 15-Day-ILZach Pop (RP) — The Phillies placed Pop on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a right calf strain.05/08
- suspensionJohan Rojas (CF) — Rojas (shoulder) is starting in center field and batting leadoff in Thursday's Grapefruit League contest against Atlanta, Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILMax Lazar (RP) — Lazar (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Jersey Shore on Thursday.05/08
The setup is clean: an ace lefty at home, a road team that can't string series wins together, and a noon start that tends to favor whoever's already locked in. Sánchez gets deep into games — he's pitched into the 6th in all but one start this year — which keeps a battered Phillies pen out of trouble. Sugano has to be perfect to flip this one. The number reflects that.