Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

By Bush StaffUpdated 25d ago·2 min read
Colorado RockiesCOL(42-65)
San Diego PadresSD(53-53)
78
FINAL
123456789RHE
COL
0040002107104
SD
0200112118161

Michael King draws Michael Lorenzen in a name-twin matchup that's really a mismatch on paper. King's coming off one of his better starts of the year, King (6-7, 3.24) went 6 shutout-ish innings against Atlanta his last time out. Lorenzen's rebuilding his confidence after a start against Washington that got away from him fast.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Rockies(42-65)
LLWLW
7
Padres(53-53)
WWWLL
8
Best BetPadres -192
Pregame

San Diego's the play here — King's coming off a dominant start and the Padres have won 3 straight, while Colorado's rotation is so thin its own starters are being shopped at the deadline. The current price implies a clear favorite, and nothing in either team's recent form argues against that. This is about as straightforward as moneyline reads get in late July.

San Diego's actual concern isn't the rotation, it's the bullpen. Jason Adam's shoulder strain has him shelved with a return timeline that keeps slipping, and he's the third high-leverage reliever the Padres have lost recently behind Jeremiah Estrada and David Morgan. That's a real problem for a team fighting for playoff positioning in a stacked NL, and it's part of why San Diego is expected to be active shopping for arms before next week's deadline.

Colorado Rockies
Michael Lorenzen
(3-10)·6.83 ERA
Jul 21 vs Nationals
ND
3.2IP
6ER
5K
1BB
80P
07/28 Lineup
San Diego Padres
Michael King
(7-8)·3.37 ERA
Jul 22 @ Braves
ND
6.0IP
1ER
7K
4BB
104P
07/28 Lineup

Colorado, meanwhile, is doing the opposite of shopping — they're selling everything that isn't nailed down. Lorenzen himself is reportedly available, along with Kyle Freeland, Antonio Senzatela and a chunk of the position-player group. When your own starting pitcher is a rumored trade chip mid-game, it tells you where the season's headed.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(42-65)
Jul 26L@ Brewers2-11
Jul 25L@ Brewers5-8
Jul 24W@ Brewers5-2
Jul 22Lvs Nationals0-8
Jul 22Wvs Nationals8-7
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(53-53)
Jul 26W@ Marlins5-3
Jul 25W@ Marlins7-2
Jul 24W@ Marlins4-2
Jul 23L@ Braves5-6
Jul 22L@ Braves6-7

The Padres just took 3 straight from Miami after dropping 2 to Atlanta, and that kind of stack-the-wins stretch is exactly what a .500 team needs heading into August. Colorado's last 5 tell the opposite story — a win sandwiched between a shutout loss and back-to-back losses to Milwaukee, one of them an 11-2 blowout. Manager Warren Schaeffer has been candid about the grind in his postgame media, and there's no spinning a stretch like that.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(11)
  • 10-Day-ILBrenton Doyle (CF)Doyle (groin/oblique) has been cleared to resume a rehab assignment, Patrick Lyons of JustBaseball.com reports.07/22
  • 15-Day-ILJeff Criswell (RP)The Rockies recalled Criswell from Triple-A Albuquerque on Saturday.07/18
  • 15-Day-ILBlas Castano (RP)Castano (pectoral) is expected to begin a throwing program next week, MLB.com reports.07/03
  • 15-Day-ILJaden Hill (RP)Hill (shoulder) resumed playing catch Wednesday, MLB.com reports.07/02
  • 60-Day-ILJose Quintana (SP)Quintana (elbow) is scheduled to play catch Monday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.07/05
  • 60-Day-ILChase Dollander (SP)Dollander underwent an internal brace procedure on his right elbow Monday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILWelinton Herrera (RP)Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer announced Monday that Herrera (elbow) has been diagnosed with a torn UCL and will miss the remainder of the season, Jack Janes of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP)Brown (shoulder) had been scheduled to throw a live bullpen session this weekend, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP)The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP)The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH)Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(11)
  • 10-Day-ILMiguel Andujar (DH)The Padres placed Andujar on the 10-day injured list Monday with a fractured right wrist.07/20
  • 10-Day-ILSamad Taylor (LF)Taylor said Wednesday that he exited Tuesday's game against the Diamondbacks with a right side injury, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/08
  • 15-Day-ILLucas Giolito (SP)Giolito (elbow) has been throwing at San Diego's team complex in Arizona and may be close to facing hitters, MLB.com reports.07/22
  • 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP)Estrada (knee) moved his rehab assignment up to Triple-A El Paso, walking two and allowing one hit over one-third of an inning in an appearance Tuesday.07/22
  • 15-Day-ILDavid Morgan (RP)Morgan (knee) began a rehab assignment at the rookie-level Arizona Complex League on Wednesday, yielding one hit and two walks with one strikeout in one-third of an inning, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/16
  • 15-Day-ILJason Adam (RP)Adam said Friday that an MRI on his right shoulder revealed no major structural damage, and he's hopeful to return from the 15-day injured list in early-to-mid August, MLB.com reports.07/07
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)Musgrove (elbow) threw 23 pitches in live batting practice Friday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/25
  • 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)Pivetta (forearm) will throw a live batting practice session this week, Annie Heilbrunn of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/20
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF)Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Both injury boards are heavy, but the shapes are different. San Diego's issues are mostly bullpen-specific — a fixable problem a deadline deal can patch. Colorado's list reads like a rebuild in progress: Chase Dollander already had elbow surgery, Kris Bryant hasn't played all year, and multiple young arms are on extended shutdowns. One team is missing complementary pieces; the other is missing its foundation.

There's a silver lining buzzing in Albuquerque — Gabriel Hughes has been sharp in Triple-A and looks like a legitimate piece of Colorado's next era. But that's a 2027 storyline, not a Tuesday night one. For now, the Rockies are what their record says they are, and the Padres, warts and all, are the better team standing on the better side of a bad matchup.

MLBColorado RockiesSan Diego PadresPolymarketKalshiMichael LorenzenMichael King