Barstool Bush
Predictions

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

By Bush StaffUpdated 9d ago·2 min read
Colorado RockiesCOL(47-73)
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(64-57)
6—4
FINAL
123456789RHE
COL
040200000680
ARI
1000101104111

Ryan Feltner (4-6, 5.59 ERA) got the ball for Colorado and Merrill Kelly (8-9, 5.11 ERA) started for Arizona, and both arms had reason for confidence and reason to sweat. Feltner has quietly been the Rockies' steadiest starter since a late-May return, while Kelly came in with a career mark against Colorado that made him a heavy favorite on paper.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Rockies(47-73)
WLLWL
6
Diamondbacks(64-57)
LWWLW
4
Best BetDiamondbacks -170
Postgame

This one didn't come close to holding. Kelly gave up both Rockies homers and Arizona spotted Colorado a 6-1 hole before the eighth-inning rally fell two runs short. The bear case — Kelly's recent shakiness — was the whole story, and the career numbers against the Rockies meant nothing on this particular afternoon.

Pregame

Arizona's the club with something to play for, and the D-backs have controlled this season series against Colorado. Backing the home side at a short price is about as low-variance as moneyline bets get against a team running out a 5.71-ERA starter and a shredded rotation. Colorado's plus-money appeal is mostly about the number, not any real recent form.

Neither line was fully healthy behind the mound. Arizona is still waiting on Zac Gallen and Corbin Burnes to work back from the 60-day IL, and the outfield picture is a mess with Jordan Lawlar, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Tommy Troy all sidelined. Colorado, for its part, just lost Kyle Karros to the injured list a day after his two-run homer beat this same Diamondbacks team — the kind of roster churn that defines a 47-73 season.

Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner
(5-7)·5.97 ERA
Aug 7 @ Cardinals
L
5.1IP
3ER
2K
3BB
91P
08/12 Lineup
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
(8-11)·5.37 ERA
Aug 7 vs Dodgers
ND
5.2IP
1ER
4K
4BB
80P
08/12 Lineup

The game turned early. Brett Sullivan turned a four-run second inning into a laugher with a three-run shot off the foul pole, and Zac Veen piled on with a homer in the fourth to push it to 6-1. Feltner worked around traffic all afternoon — Colorado walked 10 batters as a staff and still had enough cushion to hold on.

Kelly never found his rhythm, surrendering both Rockies homers and failing to complete six innings for the second straight month. Arizona clawed back behind Corbin Carroll, who tripled in the first inning — his MLB-leading 14th of the season — and later added a two-run homer during an eighth-inning rally that got the Diamondbacks within two runs before it ran out of gas.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(47-73)
Aug 12W@ Diamondbacks3-2
Aug 11L@ Diamondbacks0-9
Aug 9L@ Cardinals4-7
Aug 8W@ Cardinals8-6
Aug 8L@ Cardinals2-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(64-57)
Aug 12Lvs Rockies2-3
Aug 11Wvs Rockies9-0
Aug 9Wvs Dodgers4-2
Aug 9Lvs Dodgers1-2
Aug 8Wvs Dodgers4-3

This is where the two seasons diverge. Arizona is white-knuckling a wild-card spot and can't afford spoiler losses like this one, while Colorado has nothing to lose and is playing loose, young baseball under manager Warren Schaeffer as he tries to identify pieces for a rebuild. Torey Lovullo was upbeat afterward about getting shortstop Geraldo Perdomo back healthy, saying the team is "raising the standard" as injured players return — but a loss to a last-place club isn't the standard Arizona is chasing.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(10)
  • 7-day ilKyle Karros (3B) — Karros went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in Tuesday's 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks.08/12
  • 10-Day-ILTyler Freeman (RF) — The Rockies placed Freeman on the 10-day injured list Monday due to lumbar pain.08/10
  • 15-Day-ILJaden Hill (RP) — Hill (shoulder) completed a bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.08/09
  • 60-Day-ILJose Quintana (SP) — Quintana (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.08/12
  • 60-Day-ILChase Dollander (SP) — Dollander underwent an internal brace procedure on his right elbow Monday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILWelinton Herrera (RP) — Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer announced Monday that Herrera (elbow) has been diagnosed with a torn UCL and will miss the remainder of the season, Jack Janes of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP) — Brown (shoulder) had been scheduled to throw a live bullpen session this weekend, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP) — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP) — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH) — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(13)
  • 10-Day-ILJordan Lawlar (LF) — Lawlar (hamstring) will continue to rehab at Double-A Amarillo, MLB.com reports.08/10
  • 10-Day-ILLourdes Gurriel Jr. (LF) — Gurriel (adductor) took five at-bats in a bridge league game Saturday at the Diamondbacks' extended spring training facility, MLB.com reports.08/10
  • 10-Day-ILTommy Troy (LF) — Troy (shoulder) is likely to participate in extended spring training games this week, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.08/04
  • 15-Day-ILDrey Jameson (RP) — Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said Sunday that Jameson (hip) is expected to begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Reno during the upcoming week, Alex D'Agostino of SI.com reports.08/10
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Thompson (RP) — The Diamondbacks placed Thompson on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to a lower-back strain, Jody Jackson of DBacks.tv reports.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILZac Gallen (SP) — Gallen (elbow) completed a 33-pitch bullpen session in Arizona on Tuesday, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.08/11
  • 60-Day-ILCorbin Burnes (SP) — Burnes (elbow/teres major) threw a 30-pitch bullpen session in Arizona on Tuesday, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.08/11
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Martinez (RP) — Martinez (elbow) is expected to make up to two more rehab appearances before being reinstated from the 60-day injured list, John Gambadoro of Arizona Sports 98.7 FM reports.08/11
  • 60-Day-ILRyne Nelson (SP) — Nelson (elbow) is expected to begin a bullpen progression within the next 7-to-10 days, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.08/10
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Puk (RP) — Manager Torey Lovullo said Friday that Puk (elbow/shoulder) will remain shut down for the remainder of the season, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Walston (SP) — Walston (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment Tuesday, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.08/04
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Saalfrank (RP) — Saalfrank (shoulder) has begun a throwing program, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.07/18
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Mena (RP) — Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.06/01

For a Diamondbacks team already thin in the rotation and outfield, dropping the finale to a rebuilding club stings more than the standings will show. For the Rockies, it's a second win in the set and a reminder that even a lost season can still ruin someone else's week.

Sources

MLBColorado RockiesArizona DiamondbacksPolymarketKalshiRyan FeltnerMerrill Kelly