That said, Cincinnati did just take a 5-3 win in this very ballpark, so the bar isn't impossibly high. King is also limping in — he's lost 3 straight starts, including a 6-inning, 4-ER outing in a 5-0 home shutout loss to the Mets on June 5. The Padres' last 5 reads L-W-L-W-L, which is the baseball version of treading water.
The injury list is where this thing really tilts. The Reds are without Elly De La Cruz (hamstring, MRI moved up to Friday), Ke'Bryan Hayes, Hunter Greene, and most of a working bullpen. San Diego is missing Xander Bogaerts (paternity) for this one plus Jake Cronenworth, Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta and Jeremiah Estrada. Both clubs are duct-taped together, but Cincinnati is duct-taped together AND running Singer out there.
- Day-To-DayConnor Burns (C) — no05/08
- 10-Day-ILJose Trevino (C) — Trevino (hamstring) will make one final rehab appearance for Triple-A Louisville before being activated Friday, MLB.com reports.06/09
- 10-Day-ILElly De La Cruz (SS) — De La Cruz (hamstring) had his scheduled MRI moved up three days to this coming Friday, June 12, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.06/06
- 10-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes (3B) — Hayes is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.05/22
- 15-Day-ILEmilio Pagan (RP) — Pagan (hamstring) will be re-assessed for strength deficit on Monday, MLB.com reports.06/08
- 15-Day-ILPierce Johnson (RP) — Johnson (elbow) is expected to toss a bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/07
- OutCarson Spiers (SP) — The Reds re-signed Spiers (elbow) to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILHunter Greene (SP) — Reds manager Terry Francona told reporters Saturday that Greene (elbow) could return from the 60-day injured list prior to the All-Star break, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/06
- 60-Day-ILGraham Ashcraft (RP) — Ashcraft (elbow) received a platelet-rich plasma injection Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/03
- 60-Day-ILBrandon Williamson (SP) — The Reds transferred Williamson (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
- Day-To-DayMiguel Andujar (DH) — Andujar (hamstring) isn't in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Reds.06/09
- Day-To-DayBlake Hunt (C) — Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.05/08
- paternityXander Bogaerts (SS) — Bogaerts went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk against Washington in a loss Saturday.06/09
- 7-Day ILJake Cronenworth (2B) — Cronenworth (concussion) has been participating in light baseball activities and is "ramping up," per MLB.com.06/08
- 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano (C) — Campusano (toe) has been catching bullpens and is swinging pain-free, per MLB.com.05/31
- 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP) — Waldron (forearm) is scheduled to throw two innings of a bullpen session Tuesday and is on track to start a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso this Sunday, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/08
- 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez (SP) — Marquez (forearm) tossed four scoreless innings for Triple-A El Paso on Sunday, allowing one hit and issuing one walk while striking out two batters.06/08
- 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP) — Estrada (2-2) picked up the loss after giving up the eventual game-winning run in a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday.06/05
- OutYu Darvish (SP) — Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
- 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP) — Musgrove (elbow) started playing catch in late May, per MLB.com.06/08
- 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF) — Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
- 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP) — The Padres transferred Pivetta (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.06/02
- 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP) — The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
The market has the Padres at a roughly 60% implied win probability and sharp money has already kissed the Under at Petco. Reds at 32-34, Padres at 34-32 — these are two .500ish teams playing a getaway day matinee in a pitcher's park with a struggling righty on the mound for the road side. The whole thing sets up exactly how the line says it should.