Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres

By Bush StaffUpdated 75d ago·2 min read
Cincinnati RedsCIN(31-33)
San Diego PadresSD(33-31)
26
FINAL
123456789RHE
CIN
000011000291
SD
001000236100

Andrew Abbott (4-3, 4.06) gets the ball for Cincinnati against Walker Buehler (3-3, 4.53) at 8:40 PM CT, with both lefties — well, Buehler's a righty, but both starters — coming off no-decisions where they actually pitched well. Abbott went 6 innings of 3-run ball against the Royals on 105 pitches; Buehler tossed 6 frames of 1-run ball at the Phillies on a tidy 86 pitches. Neither offense gave them anything to work with, which is exactly the theme of this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds
Andrew Abbott
(5-4)·3.83 ERA
Jun 2 vs Royals
ND
6.0IP
3ER
5K
4BB
105P
06/08 Lineup
San Diego Padres
Walker Buehler
(4-3)·3.96 ERA
Jun 3 @ Phillies
ND
6.0IP
1ER
6K
2BB
86P
06/08 Lineup

The Padres' offense has fallen off a cliff. San Diego is 1-9 in its last 10, averaging 2.6 runs a game over that stretch, and Manny Machado is hitting .174 with an OBP below his previous career-low. They got shut out 5-0 by the Mets on Friday with 3 singles to show for the night, and they dropped 2 of 3 to New York on the homestand. This is a lineup that looks like it's pressing, and Pinnacle still has them as -131 home favorites largely on the strength of Buehler and the bullpen.

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(31-33)
Jun 7L@ Cardinals3-5
Jun 6L@ Cardinals5-6
Jun 6L@ Cardinals3-10
Jun 3Lvs Royals2-5
Jun 2Wvs Royals4-3
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(33-31)
Jun 7Lvs Mets3-7
Jun 7Wvs Mets3-2
Jun 6Lvs Mets0-5
Jun 4L@ Phillies4-6
Jun 3L@ Phillies2-3

Cincinnati isn't exactly arriving with momentum either. The Reds got swept in St. Louis over the weekend — losing 10-3, 6-5, and 5-3 — to drop 4 straight and fall to 31-33. Losing Elly De La Cruz to a hamstring strain on June 1 hasn't helped, and his MRI got bumped up to June 12, which is the kind of detail that usually doesn't mean great news. Hunter Greene is still on the 60-day IL with the elbow, though Terry Francona has hinted at a pre-All-Star-break return.

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(11)
  • Day-To-DayConnor Burns (C)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayJosh Staumont (RP)The Twins reinstated Staumont (calf) from the 15-day injured list Friday and optioned him to Triple-A St. Paul, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILElly De La Cruz (SS)De La Cruz (hamstring) had his scheduled MRI moved up three days to this coming Friday, June 12, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.06/06
  • 10-Day-ILJose Trevino (C)Trevino (hamstring) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville on Thursday, going 0-for-3 with a strikeout.06/05
  • 10-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes (3B)Hayes is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILPierce Johnson (RP)Johnson (elbow) is expected to toss a bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/07
  • 15-Day-ILEmilio Pagan (RP)Pagan (hamstring) underwent an MRI exam Friday that showed positive results, MLB.com reports.05/31
  • OutCarson Spiers (SP)The Reds re-signed Spiers (elbow) to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Greene (SP)Reds manager Terry Francona told reporters Saturday that Greene (elbow) could return from the 60-day injured list prior to the All-Star break, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/06
  • 60-Day-ILGraham Ashcraft (RP)Ashcraft (elbow) received a platelet-rich plasma injection Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Williamson (SP)The Reds transferred Williamson (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(12)
  • Day-To-DayMiguel Andujar (DH)Andujar was removed from Sunday's contest versus the Mets in the seventh inning due to a hamstring injury, Annie Heilbrunn of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/08
  • Day-To-DayBlake Hunt (C)Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.05/08
  • 7-Day ILJake Cronenworth (2B)Cronenworth (concussion) has been running, playing catch and taking light swings in the batting cage, but he remains without a definitive timetable for a return, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union Tribune reports.05/31
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano (C)Campusano (toe) has been catching bullpens and is swinging pain-free, per MLB.com.05/31
  • 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP)Estrada (2-2) picked up the loss after giving up the eventual game-winning run in a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday.06/05
  • 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez (SP)Marquez (forearm) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso on Tuesday.06/02
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP)Waldron (forearm) could take on a bullpen role when he returns from the 15-day injured list, MLB.com reports.05/22
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF)Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)The Padres transferred Pivetta (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)Musgrove (elbow) is slated to begin a throwing program soon and is targeting a return after the All-Star break, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.05/31
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

The injury reports on both sides read like depth-chart casualty lists. San Diego is without Nick Pivetta, Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish, German Marquez and Matt Waldron from the rotation alone, plus Jake Cronenworth (concussion), Ramon Laureano (labrum surgery), and Miguel Andujar pulled himself out of Sunday's game with a hamstring. Cincinnati is missing De La Cruz, Greene, Jose Trevino, Ke'Bryan Hayes, and most of its leverage bullpen between Pierce Johnson, Emilio Pagan, and Graham Ashcraft.

Total sits at 8.5 with the under juiced to -121, which feels about right given how cold both lineups are and how Petco usually plays. If you're hunting an angle, the Reds plus the runline at +1.5 (-181) is the obvious read — Cincinnati has lost 4 straight but the last 3 were all by 1 or 2 runs, and Abbott has been steady enough to keep the Reds in striking distance against a Padres lineup that hasn't hit a stretch run since Memorial Day.

MLBCincinnati RedsSan Diego PadresPolymarketKalshiAndrew AbbottWalker Buehler