Barstool Bush
Predictions

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox

By Bush StaffUpdated 45d ago·2 min read
Boston Red SoxBOS(40-48)
Chicago White SoxCWS(47-42)
8—1
FINAL
123456789RHE
BOS
0301000048110
CWS
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The pitching matchup looked like a coin flip on paper: Payton Tolle, one of the lone bright spots in a shredded Boston rotation, against Noah Schultz, a rookie lefty the White Sox are still trying to figure out. First pitch went off at 6:40 PM CT with Chicago trying to keep pace atop the AL Central and Boston just trying to find any kind of rhythm under its new manager.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Red Sox(40-48)
WWWLL
8
White Sox(47-42)
WWLLL
1
Best BetWhite Sox +110
Postgame

Missed badly — Boston's offense blew the game open with 4 runs in the 9th and Schultz's shaky form was exactly the risk that hit.

Pregame

The White Sox came in at plus money as the home team, which says the market still isn't fully buying Chicago despite sitting atop the division. Backing the home side here leans on Chicago's overall form and lineup depth carrying it through a rough individual matchup. It's a bet on the season-long track record over one Tuesday against a rookie White Sox arm.

Tolle came in off a rough outing against Washington where he lasted just 3 innings, and Schultz wasn't much sharper his last time out against Baltimore. Neither guy has had a season defined by consistency, and with the Red Sox down Garrett Crochet, Tanner Houck, Johan Oviedo, Kutter Crawford and Connelly Early — basically half a rotation — Tolle's outings carry more weight than his 4-6 record suggests.

Boston Red Sox
Payton Tolle
(5-6)·3.31 ERA
Jul 1 vs Nationals
L
3.0IP
6ER
5K
3BB
76P
07/07 Lineup
Chicago White Sox
Noah Schultz
(3-6)·5.60 ERA
Jul 1 @ Orioles
L
4.1IP
3ER
7K
4BB
87P
07/07 Lineup

Chicago, for its part, has been the story of the first half of the season, climbing to the top of the AL Central after years of irrelevance under manager Will Venable. But this White Sox lineup was without Munetaka Murakami all night and down Everson Pereira and Austin Hays too, thinning out a group that's carried its power surge from names like Colson Montgomery and Miguel Vargas.

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(40-48)
Jul 6W@ Angels7-5
Jul 5W@ Angels8-1
Jul 4W@ Angels5-2
Jul 1Lvs Nationals2-10
Jun 30Lvs Nationals1-8
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(47-42)
Jul 5W@ Guardians7-6
Jul 4W@ Guardians3-1
Jul 3L@ Guardians3-4
Jul 2L@ Guardians5-6
Jul 1L@ Orioles1-6

Boston rolled into Chicago on a 3-game winning streak after sweeping the Angels, scoring 5, 8 and 7 runs in that stretch. That's a different look than the team that got outscored 18-3 across its previous 2 losses to Washington. Whether that carries over or was just a soft schedule against a bad Angels club was the question hanging over this one.

It didn't take long to get an answer. Andruw Monasterio and Ceddanne Rafaela both went deep early, and Boston tacked on runs in the 2nd and 4th before the Red Sox blew it open with a 4-run 9th to turn a competitive game into a laugher.

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(13)
  • Day-To-DayRanger Suarez (SP) — The Red Sox "remain hopeful" Suarez (adductor) can avoid the 15-day injured list, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.07/07
  • 10-Day-ILNick Sogard (3B) — Sogard (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment Thursday, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.06/30
  • 10-Day-ILIsiah Kiner-Falefa (2B) — Kiner-Falefa underwent a CT scan on his left forearm Thursday which revealed a stress reaction, MLB.com reports.06/27
  • 10-Day-ILMarcelo Mayer (2B) — The Red Sox placed Mayer on the 10-day injured list Friday with a stress reaction in his left forearm, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.06/26
  • 15-Day-ILConnelly Early (SP) — Early (elbow) will seek a second opinion, MLB.com reports.07/04
  • suspensionNate Eaton (OF) — Eaton will appeal the three-game suspension he received Thursday and will be eligible to play until the appeal process is completed, Evan Drellich of The Athletic reports.07/07
  • 60-Day-ILJohan Oviedo (SP) — Oviedo (elbow) began a throwing program in mid-June but isn't considered close to a return from the 60-day injured list, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Houck (SP) — The Red Sox announced June 25 that Houck (elbow) has started light throwing off a mound, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Story (SS) — The Red Sox announced June 28 that Story (sports hernia) is taking part in full baseball activities, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILKutter Crawford (SP) — The Red Sox announced June 29 that Crawford (forearm) has been throwing plyometric balls during workouts at the team's spring training facility in Florida, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILRoman Anthony (LF) — Anthony (finger) will visit hand specialist Dr. Gary Lourie in Florida during the upcoming week, Chad Finn of The Boston Globe reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTriston Casas (1B) — Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said Saturday that Casas (abdomen/knee) has been shut down from hitting due to a wrist issue, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Crochet (SP) — Crochet (shoulder/lat) has not yet been cleared to resume a throwing program following a scheduled re-evaluation Monday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.06/22
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(11)
  • 7-Day ILEverson Pereira (RF) — Pereira (concussion) is making progress in his recovery but is still experiencing concussion symptoms, MLB.com reports.07/01
  • 10-Day-ILMunetaka Murakami (1B) — Murakami (hamstring) will report to Triple-A Charlotte on Monday to begin a minor-league rehab assignment, Tom Withers of the Associated Press reports.07/06
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Gilbert (RP) — The White Sox placed Gilbert on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left shoulder impingement.06/10
  • 60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa (RP) — The White Sox announced Saturday that Berroa (elbow) will start throwing again in 1-to-2 weeks, MLB.com reports.07/07
  • 60-Day-ILKy Bush (SP) — Bush (elbow) has resumed participating in long toss, MLB.com reports.07/05
  • 60-Day-ILDrew Thorpe (SP) — Thorpe (elbow) threw a live bullpen Friday, MLB.com reports.07/05
  • 60-Day-ILAustin Hays (LF) — Hays has been pulled off his rehab assignment at Triple-A Charlotte due to a recurrence of left calf soreness, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Leasure (RP) — Leasure (forearm) said Friday that he will be shut down from throwing for four weeks, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.05/30
  • 60-Day-ILMike Vasil (RP) — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Murray (LF) — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBrooks Baldwin (LF) — The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Schultz lasted into the game but never found his command, and the White Sox bullpen couldn't stop the bleeding once Boston's lineup got going. For a team that's built its surprise season on timely pitching and clutch execution, this was the kind of night that reminds you they're still 47-42 and not immune to a bad one.

The final only tells part of it — 11 hits to 4, 0 errors on either side, and a 9th inning that turned a manageable deficit into an 8-1 rout. For Boston, it's a signal that the Angels series wasn't a mirage. For Chicago, it's a reminder that first place doesn't make every night easy.

Sources

MLBBoston Red SoxChicago White SoxPolymarketKalshiPayton TolleNoah Schultz