Barstool Bush
Predictions

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

By Bush StaffUpdated 40d ago·2 min read
Boston Red SoxBOS(45-48)
New York MetsNYM(40-56)
3—2
FINAL
12345678910RHE
BOS
0000000021340
NYM
1000010000262

Payton Tolle (5-6, 3.11 ERA) got the ball for Boston looking to cap the sweep, going up against Zach Thornton (0-1, 2.93 ERA) as the Mets tried to salvage something out of a miserable weekend at 1:40 PM ET.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Red Sox(45-48)
WWWWW
3
Mets(40-56)
LLWWL
2
Best BetRed Sox -126
Postgame

Boston's win streak carried through with a 3-2 outright win, the bull case playing out exactly as drawn up.

Pregame

Boston came in priced as road favorites off a run that's now hit 9 straight, and the Tolle-led rotation has been good enough to make that price stick even with a lineup missing key bats. New York's pitching has flashed at times, but a team playing .417 ball at home isn't the side to trust when the margins get thin.

New York took the field without Bo Bichette, who's day-to-day with leg and ankle soreness after fouling balls off himself in Atlanta the weekend before — a real loss for a lineup that's leaned on his .320 average over his last 25 games. Boston, meanwhile, is running out a rotation that's missing five starters to injury, and the market priced the Red Sox as road favorites anyway.

Boston Red Sox
Payton Tolle
(5-6)·3.31 ERA
Jul 7 @ White Sox
W
6.0IP
0ER
6K
1BB
91P
07/12 Lineup
New York Mets
Zac Thornton
(1-1)·1.93 ERA
Jun 26 vs Phillies
ND
6.0IP
1ER
7K
1BB
78P
07/12 Lineup

That gap between the records — Boston clawing back toward .500, New York buried at 40-56 — didn't show up early. The Mets grabbed a 1-0 lead in the first and held a 2-0 edge into the sixth. But this Red Sox club has made a habit of finding a way, and Sunday was no different.

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(45-48)
Jul 11W@ Mets4-0
Jul 10W@ Mets6-2
Jul 9W@ White Sox2-1
Jul 8W@ White Sox5-0
Jul 7W@ White Sox8-1
New York Mets
New York Mets
(40-56)
Jul 11Lvs Red Sox0-4
Jul 10Lvs Red Sox2-6
Jul 9Wvs Royals7-3
Jul 8Wvs Royals6-2
Jul 7Lvs Royals12-16

Boston has won 9 straight now under interim manager Chad Tracy, a run that's included a sweep in the Bronx and now one at Citi Field, and it's turned a rookie-heavy roster into one of the hotter teams in baseball almost overnight.

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(12)
  • 10-Day-ILIsiah Kiner-Falefa (2B) — Kiner-Falefa underwent a CT scan on his left forearm Thursday which revealed a stress reaction, MLB.com reports.06/27
  • 10-Day-ILMarcelo Mayer (2B) — The Red Sox placed Mayer on the 10-day injured list Friday with a stress reaction in his left forearm, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.06/26
  • 15-Day-ILConnelly Early (SP) — A second opinion on Early's injured left elbow confirmed the diagnosis of posterior inflammation, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.07/10
  • 15-Day-ILRanger Suarez (SP) — The Red Sox placed Suarez on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a left groin strain.07/09
  • SuspensionWillson Contreras (1B) — Contreras' suspension for his actions in the June 30 game against the Nationals has been reduced from seven games to five games, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.07/09
  • 60-Day-ILJohan Oviedo (SP) — Oviedo (elbow) began a throwing program in mid-June but isn't considered close to a return from the 60-day injured list, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Houck (SP) — The Red Sox announced June 25 that Houck (elbow) has started light throwing off a mound, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Story (SS) — The Red Sox announced June 28 that Story (sports hernia) is taking part in full baseball activities, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILKutter Crawford (SP) — The Red Sox announced June 29 that Crawford (forearm) has been throwing plyometric balls during workouts at the team's spring training facility in Florida, MLB.com reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILRoman Anthony (LF) — Anthony (finger) will visit hand specialist Dr. Gary Lourie in Florida during the upcoming week, Chad Finn of The Boston Globe reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILTriston Casas (1B) — Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said Saturday that Casas (abdomen/knee) has been shut down from hitting due to a wrist issue, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.07/06
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Crochet (SP) — Crochet (shoulder/lat) has not yet been cleared to resume a throwing program following a scheduled re-evaluation Monday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.06/22
New York Mets
New York Mets
(10)
  • Day-To-DayBo Bichette (SS) — Bichette (leg/ankle) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Red Sox.07/12
  • 10-Day-ILMark Vientos (1B) — Mets interim manager Andy Green said Thursday that Vientos has been diagnosed with a fractured right hand and will be placed on the 10-day injured list, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.07/10
  • 10-Day-ILMarcus Semien (2B) — Semien (hip) is unlikely to return before the end of July, Tim Britton and Will Sammon of The Athletic report.07/08
  • 15-Day-ILAustin Warren (RP) — An MRI on Warren's right forearm revealed no ligament damage Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.07/09
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP) — Holmes (fibula) threw a live batting practice session Friday at Citi Field, Abbey Mastracco of the New York Daily News reports.07/10
  • 60-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF) — Robert (back) will start a rehab assignment with Triple-A Syracuse on Tuesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP) — Nunez (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A St. Lucie on Thursday, Michael Mayer of MetsmerizedOnline.com reports.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP) — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08

Willson Contreras' suspension got trimmed from 7 games to 5, but Boston's pitching staff is still running thin with Garrett Crochet, Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford, Johan Oviedo, Connelly Early and Ranger Suarez all out. Tolle has been the one arm making all of that easier to stomach, becoming the first Red Sox starter since Dennis Eckersley in 1978 to log four outings of 6-plus shutout innings before turning 24.

New York actually out-hit Boston 6-4 on the day, but two errors and a late collapse let the Red Sox tie it in the ninth and win it in extra innings — the kind of gut-punch finish that's become a theme for an Andy Green-led club still searching for answers at 40-56.

Sources

MLBBoston Red SoxNew York MetsPolymarketKalshiPayton TolleZac Thornton
Boston Red Sox at New York Mets — Red Sox Extend Win Streak With Extra-Inning Sweep of Mets | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush