The pitching matchup is the whole story. deGrom is sitting on a 3.02 ERA and just got the all-clear after some right knee discomfort against the Mariners — MRI came back clean, he's making the start. On the other side: Grayson Rodriguez, making his second start since July 2024 after a 655-day layoff. His debut last week against the Dodgers was rough — 7 runs on 7 hits and 4 walks in 3.2 innings, hence the 17.18 ERA carried into tonight.
Books have noticed. Texas is a -162 road favorite with the run line laying -1.5 at +106, and the total sits at 7.5. That's a steep number for a road team in a pitchers' park, which tells you how little faith the market has in Rodriguez settling in by start number 2.
The complicating factor for Texas is the IL. Corey Seager is on the 10-day with back issues, Wyatt Langford is still working his forearm back, and Josh Smith is dealing with viral meningitis. That's the spine of the lineup gone. The Angels aren't exactly healthy either — Travis d'Arnaud and Yusei Kikuchi are both out, Anthony Rendon is on the 60-day — but when you're already 17 games under .500, the next loss hits different than it does in Arlington.
- Day-To-DayBrandon Nimmo (RF) — Nimmo went 3-for-4 with a home run, three total runs and three total RBI in a 10-0 win against the Rockies on Tuesday.05/20
- Day-To-DayMacKenzie Gore (SP) — An MRI on Gore's left lat came back negative, and he is on track to make his next scheduled start Sunday versus the Angels, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.05/20
- Day-To-DaySebastian Walcott (SS) — Rangers GM Ross Fenstermaker said Tuesday that Walcott could be ready for game action in August, "if all things according to plan" in his rehab from the internal brace procedure he underwent on his right elbow, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.04/07
- 10-Day-ILWyatt Langford (LF) — Langford will undergo another strength test on his right forearm Wednesday and could begin swinging a bat by Friday, MLB.com reports.05/20
- 10-Day-ILCorey Seager (SS) — Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young said Monday on 105.3 The FAN that Seager (back) will be placed on the injured list, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.05/18
- 10-Day-ILJosh Smith (2B) — Smith (lower body/wrist) was diagnosed with viral meningitis Friday and is receiving treatment in a hospital, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.05/15
- 10-Day-ILCody Freeman (3B) — Freeman (back) will begin a rehab assignment with the Rangers' Arizona Complex League affiliate Thursday.05/14
- 15-Day-ILCarter Baumler (RP) — Baumler (intercostal) has been shut down from his rehab assignment, MLB.com reports.05/10
- 15-Day-ILRobert Garcia (RP) — Garcia (shoulder) began throwing from 80 feet out Friday, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.05/08
- OutDeclan Cronin (RP) — Cronin (elbow) signed a two-year, minor-league contract with the Rangers on Tuesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.05/08
- OutNabil Crismatt (SP) — Crismatt will undergo surgery to repair a torn UCL in his right elbow, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILCody Bradford (SP) — Bradford (elbow) began throwing from 60 feet during the Rangers' most recent homestand, MLB.com reports05/10
- 60-Day-ILJordan Montgomery (SP) — Montgomery (elbow) will throw his fifth bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.05/08
- 10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud (C) — D'Arnaud (foot) told reporters Saturday that he does not have a timetable for his return from the 10-day injured list, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.05/16
- 15-Day-ILDrew Pomeranz (RP) — Pomeranz (elbow) tossed a bullpen session Thursday, per MLB.com.05/22
- 15-Day-ILYusei Kikuchi (SP) — Kikuchi (shoulder) said Wednesday that he's slated to begin a throwing program soon and expressed hope that he'll be able to return to the Angels early in the second half of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.05/22
- 60-Day-ILBen Joyce (RP) — Joyce (shoulder) is currently rehabbing at the Angels' complex in Arizona, per MLB.com.05/22
- 60-Day-ILRobert Stephenson (RP) — The Angels announced that Stephenson underwent ligament and flexor repair surgery on his right elbow Wednesday and is likely to miss the remainder of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILAnthony Rendon (3B) — The Angels placed Rendon (hip) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
Bet the matchup on the mound, not the standings. If deGrom looks like deGrom, this is over by the 5th. If the knee barks again or Rodriguez actually misses bats this time, suddenly you've got a live underdog in a ballpark that doesn't punish mistakes. Pick: lay it with Texas, but the under at 7.5 is the cleaner ticket.