San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals

By Bush StaffUpdated 85d ago·2 min read
San Diego PadresSD(31-24)
Washington NationalsWSH(29-28)
75
FINAL
123456789RHE
SD
1012012007101
WSH
211010000592

Lucas Giolito (2-0, 2.70) heads back to the franchise that drafted him 14 years ago, and he draws a Nationals lineup that has actually been putting a beating on the baseball. Washington counters with Paxton Schultz (0-2, 5.30), who is essentially functioning as an opener — reports out of D.C. peg him for 1-2 innings before the bullpen takes the rest. First pitch is 5:45 PM CT.

San Diego Padres
Lucas Giolito
(2-1)·4.35 ERA
May 23 vs Athletics
W
5.0IP
0ER
2K
5BB
86P
05/29 Lineup
Washington Nationals
Paxton Schultz
(0-2)·6.04 ERA
05/29 Lineup

Giolito's last time out was 5 shutout innings against the A's with 4 hits, 2 strikeouts, and 5 walks on 86 pitches — the line says "win" but the command was sketchy. Behind Schultz, the Nats are going to need length from a depleted staff. Jake Irvin just hit the 15-day IL with a shoulder strain, joining Trevor Williams, DJ Herz, and Josiah Gray on the 60-day. That's basically a full rotation watching from the trainer's room.

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(31-24)
May 27Lvs Phillies0-3
May 27Lvs Phillies3-4
May 25Lvs Phillies0-3
May 24Lvs Athletics2-5
May 24Wvs Athletics2-0
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(29-28)
May 27L@ Guardians2-3
May 26W@ Guardians6-3
May 25W@ Guardians10-2
May 24W@ Braves2-1
May 23W@ Braves2-0

The Padres' offense has fallen off a cliff. Four straight losses, 6 total runs, 2 of those losses were 3-0 shutouts at the hands of the Phillies. With Jake Cronenworth on the concussion IL and Luis Campusano still working back from a toe injury, this is a lineup leaning hard on the top of the order to do everything. Pinnacle has San Diego at -109 on the moneyline and -1.5 at +147, which feels generous to a team that hasn't pushed across more than 3 in nearly a week.

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(10)
  • Day-To-DayBlake Hunt (C)Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.05/08
  • 7-day ilJake Cronenworth (2B)The Padres placed Cronenworth on the 7-day concussion injured list Tuesday, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano (C)Campusano (toe) has progressed to swinging in the batting cage and catching off a pitching machine, per MLB.com.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP)Waldron (forearm) could take on a bullpen role when he returns from the 15-day injured list, MLB.com reports.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez (SP)Marquez (forearm) has progressed to throwing off a mound, per MLB.com.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)Padres manager Craig Stammen told reporters Wednesday that Pivetta was diagnosed with a right flexor strain, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.05/08
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
  • 60-Day-ILJhony Brito (RP)Brito (forearm) had his minor-league rehab statement moved from the Arizona Complex League to Double-A San Antonio on Sunday, per MLB.com.05/18
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)The Padres transferred Musgrove (elbow) to the 60-day injured list on Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(10)
  • Day-To-DayTyler Stuart (SP)no05/25
  • Day-To-DayTyler Baum (DH)Baum has not pitched this year due an undisclosed injury.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTravis Sykora (SP)Sykora will undergo a UCL reconstruction on his right elbow in two weeks, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJarlin Susana (RP)Susana underwent surgery last week to repair a right lat tear, Spencer Nusbaum of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILJake Irvin (SP)The Nationals placed Irvin on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to a right shoulder strain.05/24
  • 60-Day-ILMax Kranick (RP)The Nationals transferred Kranick (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILDJ Herz (SP)Herz (elbow) will throw to live hitters Friday at the Nationals' spring training facility in Florida, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Williams (SP)Williams (elbow) began pitching off a mound at the Nationals' spring training complex this weekend, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJosiah Gray (SP)Gray (elbow) has resumed a throwing program, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKen Waldichuk (RP)The Nationals transferred Waldichuk (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Washington, on the other hand, just rattled off 4 in a row before dropping a 3-2 game to Cleveland, and per reports they're carrying a winning May for the first time since 2018. The Blake Butera era is starting to look like something. Through the first third of the year the Nats have been a top-10 offense across nearly every category — not a rebuild story anymore, an actual baseball team.

The total is sitting at 8.5 with the under juiced to -111. Giolito's been efficient, Schultz is an opener, and the Padres can't score. The under has a strong-looking shape on paper, but the Nationals' bats are the variable that could blow it up. Game is essentially a coin flip on the moneyline — Pinnacle has Washington at -101, San Diego at -109 — and that feels about right.

MLBSan Diego PadresWashington NationalsPolymarketKalshiLucas GiolitoPaxton Schultz