San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

By Bush StaffUpdated 108d ago·2 min read
San Diego PadresSD(22-14)
San Francisco GiantsSF(14-23)
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SF
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The Padres are 21-14 and hanging with the NL's better teams despite a starting rotation that's basically a MASH unit. They roll into San Francisco a -1.5 favorite to take the series finale, even though their pinch-hitting starter is Matt Waldron, the last knuckleballer standing, and his 9.88 ERA is exactly what it looks like.

San Diego Padres
Bradgley Rodriguez
(0-2)·1.78 ERA
05/06 Lineup
San Francisco Giants
Adrian Houser
(2-4)·5.30 ERA
05/06 Lineup

Waldron is here because Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta, and German Marquez are all on the shelf. He spent February shut down after a minor procedure, came back in the minors looking sharp with a 39.1% strikeout rate over his rehab starts, and now San Diego just needs him to stop the bleeding. Last year he posted a 7.71 ERA in the bigs, so the bar is on the floor.

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(9)
  • Day-To-DayBlake Hunt (C)Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.03/01
  • 7-day ilJake Cronenworth (2B)Cronenworth is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Angels.05/05
  • 10-Day-ILWill Wagner (3B)Wagner (oblique) began a minor-league rehab stint with Triple-A El Paso on Friday and went 1-for-2 with a walk and a run in his first game.05/03
  • 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez (SP)The Padres placed Marquez on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to right forearm nerve irritation.05/03
  • 15-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)Padres manager Craig Stammen told reporters Wednesday that Pivetta was diagnosed with a right flexor strain, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.04/15
  • 15-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)Musgrove (elbow) remains limited to playing catch during his throwing program and hasn't yet been cleared for bullpen sessions, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.04/15
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)The Padres placed Darvish (elbow) on the restricted list Wednesday.03/25
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres placed Hoeing (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.04/22
  • 60-Day-ILJhony Brito (RP)Brito (forearm) has been throwing bullpens in Padres camp, per MLB.com.03/12
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(13)
  • Day-To-DayLuis Arraez (2B)Arraez is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Padres, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.05/06
  • Day-To-DayLogan Webb (SP)Webb allowed one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out six batters over seven innings in a no-decision against Philadelphia in the first game of a doubleheader Thursday.05/06
  • 10-Day-ILDaniel Susac (C)Susac (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sacramento on Thursday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.05/06
  • 10-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF)Bader (hamstring) went 1-for-3 in Triple-A Sacramento's 4-0 loss to Reno on Tuesday.05/06
  • 15-Day-ILErik Miller (RP)Miller (back) will throw a bullpen session Thursday before beginning a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sacramento on Sunday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/06
  • 15-Day-ILSam Hentges (RP)Hentges (knee/shoulder) struck out one in a scoreless inning during Triple-A Sacramento's 7-6 win over Tacoma on Wednesday.04/16
  • 60-Day-ILJared Oliva (CF)Oliva underwent left hamate bone surgery Thursday in Los Angeles, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.04/29
  • 60-Day-ILJason Foley (RP)Foley (shoulder) is throwing live batting practice Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.04/28
  • 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP)Butto underwent surgery Saturday to repair an artery in his right arm, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.04/21
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP)Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.03/26
  • 60-Day-ILReiver Sanmartin (RP)The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.03/25
  • 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP)The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.02/15
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP)The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.02/10

On the other side, Adrian Houser is the $22 million offseason addition who has been one of the worst starters in baseball. He's 0-3 with a 7.12 ERA, has allowed at least 3 runs in every outing, and his last trip to the mound vs. the Marlins ended with 11 hits and 8 earned in 4 innings. Lefty bats are hitting .412 against him. Around the Foghorn already has stories up about who might replace him in the rotation.

The Giants are 14-22, scoring barely 3 runs a game, and just dropped Monday's series opener to fall further into the divisional basement. Harrison Bader is rehabbing in Sacramento, Logan Webb is day-to-day, and the bullpen is stitched together with Erik Miller, Jason Foley, and Randy Rodriguez all on the IL. There's not a lot of cavalry coming.

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(22-14)
LWLWW
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(14-23)
LLWLL

The total sits at 8.5 with the over juiced to -112 — and given both starters' ERAs are north of 7, it's tempting. The catch is Oracle Park, which suppresses everything, plus a Giants offense that can make any pitcher look fine for 5 innings. The market is still pricing the Padres as the better team here, which is fair, but a knuckleballer in San Francisco wind is its own kind of chaos.

Bottom line: San Diego should win this game, but "should" is doing a lot of work when Waldron is your guy. If the knuckler dances, the Padres steal a sweep-clinching road W. If it doesn't, the Giants finally get to feast on something other than their own rotation.

MLBSan Diego PadresSan Francisco GiantsPolymarketKalshiBradgley RodriguezAdrian Houser