Casey Mize (4-6, 2.70) takes the ball for his first turn in a Padres uniform since San Diego snagged him from Detroit at the deadline, squaring off against Arizona's Mitch Bratt (0-1, 5.23) at 6:40 PM MT.
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FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Padres(59-55)
WLWWW
4
Diamondbacks(60-54)
LWLWW
10
Best BetDiamondbacks +102
Pregame
Arizona's still the plus-money side here even while sitting ahead of San Diego in the wild-card race, and that gap between price and standing is the whole appeal. Bratt is a real question mark on the mound, but the D-backs' offense has shown it can bail out a shaky start. Take the value on the home dog.
Bratt is only in the rotation because Arizona doesn't have much choice — Corbin Burnes is out until September rehabbing a teres major strain, and the 23-year-old lefty got the call after dominating in the minors. He allowed just 1 earned run in his MLB debut, but the follow-up start against Cleveland showed the rookie bumps: 4 walks in 5 innings. Mize, by contrast, didn't issue a single walk over 6 innings in his last outing for Detroit.
Casey Mize
(5-7)·3.18 ERA
Jul 25 vs Royals
ND
6.0IP
1ER
3K
0BB
85P
08/05 Lineup
Mitch Bratt
(1-2)·4.17 ERA
Jul 31 @ Guardians
ND
5.0IP
1ER
2K
4BB
82P
08/05 Lineup
Arizona still holds the edge in the standings, sitting a game up on San Diego in the wild-card race, which is exactly why every game in this set carries weight. The Padres, fresh off adding both Mize and Robbie Ray at the deadline, are betting the new arms tip that race back in their favor down the stretch.
San Diego Padres
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries to report
Arizona Diamondbacks
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries to report
San Diego has won 4 of its last 5, including a 9-4 beatdown of this same Arizona club, and the lineup looks like it's clicking again after a lull. Arizona countered with a 12-8 slugfest of its own during that stretch, so neither offense is exactly shy — this hasn't been a series decided by pitcher's duels.
San Diego Padres
(59-55)
Aug 5W@ Diamondbacks9-4
Aug 4L@ Diamondbacks1-5
Aug 2Wvs Giants5-4
Aug 2Wvs Giants6-5
Aug 1Wvs Giants7-0
Arizona Diamondbacks
(60-54)
Aug 5Lvs Padres4-9
Aug 4Wvs Padres5-1
Aug 2L@ Guardians0-5
Aug 1W@ Guardians12-8
Jul 31W@ Guardians4-1
The Diamondbacks' path here is simple: get length and quiet innings out of Bratt while their bats, who've shown they can put up double digits, do the heavy lifting. San Diego's path is just as simple — let Mize eat innings efficiently like he did in his last start and let the deadline additions start paying off immediately. Whichever team gets more from its starter probably wins the series.
