Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners

By Bush StaffUpdated 65d ago·2 min read
Baltimore OriolesBAL(35-40)
Seattle MarinersSEA(38-37)
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SEA
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Shane Baz (4-6, 4.06) takes the ball for the Orioles at 1:10 PM PT against Bryan Woo (5-5, 4.28) in the deciding game of a three-game set. Woo is staring down the same Baltimore lineup that tagged him for 7 earned in 5 innings on June 11, which is the kind of recent history that lingers even when you're back home.

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FINAL
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Total
Orioles(35-40)
WLLLW
0
Mariners(38-37)
LWLLW
3
Best BetOrioles +128
Pregame

Baltimore at +133 is the play. The Mariners are stacking lineup absences — Julio day-to-day, Arozarena on the IL, Naylor and Raley banged up — and Woo just got rocked by this same Orioles lineup a week ago. That's too much value on a getaway-day dog with Baz throwing well.

The Orioles snapped a 3-game skid Wednesday with a 5-3 win behind Kyle Bradish's 12-strikeout gem, and now they're playing with house money in a getaway-day spot. Baz has been the quietly steady arm in this rotation while Bassitt, Kremer and Povich rehab — his last 3 outings, he's given up 2, 1 and 2 runs, none of them longer than 5 innings but all of them keeping Baltimore in games.

Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz
(4-8)·4.19 ERA
Jun 12 vs Padres
W
5.0IP
2ER
1K
2BB
103P
06/18 Lineup
Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
(7-6)·4.17 ERA
Jun 11 @ Orioles
L
5.0IP
7ER
4K
1BB
82P
06/18 Lineup
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(35-40)
Jun 18W@ Mariners5-3
Jun 17L@ Mariners1-3
Jun 14Lvs Padres2-5
Jun 13Lvs Padres3-9
Jun 12Wvs Padres7-3
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(38-37)
Jun 18Lvs Orioles3-5
Jun 17Wvs Orioles3-1
Jun 14L@ Nationals1-10
Jun 13L@ Nationals3-8
Jun 12W@ Nationals10-2

Seattle's bigger problem might be the lineup card. Julio Rodriguez exited Wednesday with hamstring spasms after a catch in center and is day-to-day, joining Randy Arozarena (hamstring, 10-day IL), Luke Raley (back) and Josh Naylor (shin/wrist) as outfield/lineup question marks. Even with home-field, that's a lot of thump on the trainer's table against a starter whose biggest issue is missing bats — Baz had just 1 strikeout in 5 innings his last time out.

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(14)
  • Day-To-DayJhonkensy Noel (RF)Noel was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A Norfolk on Monday with left wrist inflammation, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/08
  • Day-To-DayLevi Wells (P)Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/28
  • Day-To-DayRichard Guasch (SP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayWill Robertson (LF)The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers (RF)Beavers (oblique) is expected to begin a rehab assignment at Double-A Chesapeake on Thursday, Andy Kostka of TheBanner.com reports.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILChris Bassitt (SP)Bassitt (back) received a facet injection to his lower back Friday, and he's set to begin his throwing progression, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILCade Povich (SP)Povich (elbow) will begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Double-A Chesapeake this week, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILDean Kremer (SP)Kremer (quadriceps) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Norfolk this week, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILYaramil Hiraldo (RP)Hiraldo (shoulder) will throw live batting practice Friday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Mountcastle (1B)Mountcastle (foot) did some running Saturday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.06/13
  • 60-Day-ILColin Selby (RP)Selby was recently evaluated by Dr. Chris Looze in Baltimore due to ongoing symptoms with his injured right shoulder, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Westburg (3B)Westburg (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Andrew Golden of TheBanner.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILZach Eflin (SP)Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILFelix Bautista (RP)Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/08
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(11)
  • Day-To-DayJulio Rodriguez (CF)Rodriguez was pulled from Wednesday's game against Baltimore due to hamstring spasms, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.06/18
  • Day-To-DayJosh Naylor (1B)Naylor (shin/wrist) isn't in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Orioles.06/17
  • Day-To-DayLuke Raley (RF)Raley (back) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's matchup against Baltimore.06/17
  • Day-To-DayDane Dunning (RP)The Mariners signed Dunning to a minor-league contract Thursday, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.06/13
  • 10-Day-ILRandy Arozarena (LF)Arozarena (hamstring) isn't in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Orioles, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.06/17
  • 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B)Donovan (groin) began a running progression Tuesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILCooper Criswell (RP)Criswell was diagnosed with a Grade 1-plus pectoral strain Tuesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Brash (RP)General manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Brash was diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain in his right lat, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP)Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Vargas (lat) recently began a throwing program and could be ready to return from the 60-day injured list around the Aug. 3 trade deadline, Zac Hereth of 710 AM Seattle Sports reports.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B)Wilson (thumb) has gone 3-for-9 with two RBI and a 1:2 BB:K in his first three rehab games between High-A Everett and Triple-A Tacoma.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP)The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08

Woo's stuff plays when he's commanding the sinker, but the Orioles already saw him a week ago and the report card wasn't kind. Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday both went deep Wednesday, and a Mariners pen missing Matt Brash (lat) is not the bullpen you want bridging a short Woo start. If Baltimore gets to 4 runs early, this gets interesting fast.

The market sees a coin-flip tilted slightly Seattle's way — Mariners -148 at home, total sitting at 7.5. With Julio possibly out, Arozarena gone and the Orioles having figured Woo out 7 days ago, the visitors are a more live underdog than the price suggests.

MLBBaltimore OriolesSeattle MarinersPolymarketKalshiShane BazBryan Woo