Barstool Bush
Predictions

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

By Bush StaffUpdated 76d ago·2 min read
Baltimore OriolesBAL(31-34)
Toronto Blue JaysTOR(31-34)
4—6
FINAL
123456789RHE
BAL
000040000481
TOR
00000501—6100

Shane Baz (3-5, 4.29) gets the ball for Baltimore against Kevin Gausman (4-4, 3.36) at 1:37 PM ET. Baz is coming off his cleanest outing of the year — 7 innings, 2 earned, 6 punchouts at Fenway. Gausman, meanwhile, took the loss in Atlanta last time out, charged with 4 earned over 6 with 8 strikeouts. The card up top has the full last-start lines.

Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz
(4-7)·4.04 ERA
Jun 2 @ Red Sox
W
7.0IP
2ER
6K
2BB
94P
06/07 Lineup
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
(4-5)·4.04 ERA
Jun 2 @ Braves
L
6.0IP
4ER
8K
2BB
96P
06/07 Lineup

This series has been a coin-flip with extreme outcomes. The Orioles dropped 13 on Toronto in the opener Friday, then the Jays grabbed Saturday 6-4 to even it. Whichever bullpen blinks first probably loses, because the early returns say nobody in Toronto can keep this Baltimore lineup in the yard for 9 innings.

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(31-34)
Jun 6L@ Blue Jays4-6
Jun 5W@ Blue Jays13-3
Jun 4W@ Red Sox8-2
Jun 3L@ Red Sox1-8
Jun 2W@ Red Sox4-2
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(31-34)
Jun 6Wvs Orioles6-4
Jun 5Lvs Orioles3-13
Jun 4W@ Braves7-2
Jun 3L@ Braves3-7
Jun 2L@ Braves3-4

Both clubs sit at 31-34, which is its own kind of disappointing depending on which fanbase you ask. The Jays were supposed to be a buyer; the Orioles were supposed to be running the AL East again. Instead it's June and they're trading haymakers for fourth place. The injury sheets explain a lot of it — and there's a lot to explain.

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(15)
  • Day-To-DaySamuel Basallo (C) — An MRI on Basallo's right abdomen came back negative Saturday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/06
  • Day-To-DayChris Bassitt (SP) — Bassitt (back) is travelling to rejoin the Orioles in Toronto on Friday and could make his next start Monday against the Mariners, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • Day-To-DayLevi Wells (P) — Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/28
  • Day-To-DayRichard Guasch (SP) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayWill Robertson (LF) — The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers (RF) — Beavers (oblique) hit in the batting cage Wednesday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/27
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Helsley (RP) — Helsley (elbow) could start a rehab assignment as early as Monday, MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 15-Day-ILCade Povich (SP) — Povich (elbow) met with Dr. Keith Meister on Tuesday and is without an official timetable for his return after receiving a cortisone injection, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILDean Kremer (SP) — Kremer (quadriceps) threw a live bullpen session earlier in the week, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILColin Selby (RP) — Selby was recently evaluated by Dr. Chris Looze in Baltimore due to ongoing symptoms with his injured right shoulder, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Mountcastle (1B) — General manager Mike Elias said Friday that Mountcastle is expected to return sometime in late June or July, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Westburg (3B) — Westburg (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Andrew Golden of TheBanner.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILYaramil Hiraldo (RP) — The Orioles announced Monday that Hiraldo (shoulder) has resumed a throwing program, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/11
  • 60-Day-ILZach Eflin (SP) — Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILFelix Bautista (RP) — Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/08
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(20)
  • Day-To-DayDaulton Varsho (CF) — Varsho (wrist) isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against Baltimore.06/06
  • Day-To-DayGeovanny Jesus Planchart (C) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayChay Yeager (RP) — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayCJ Stubbs (C) — The Blue Jays signed Stubbs to a minor-league contract Friday that includes an invitation to spring training.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJaven Coleman (P) — no05/08
  • 10-Day-ILAddison Barger (RF) — Barger (elbow) has been hitting in the batting cage at Toronto's complex in Dunedin, Florida, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/30
  • 10-Day-ILLenyn Sosa (2B) — Sosa went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, an additional run and an additional RBI on Saturday against the Twins in an 11-4 victory.05/28
  • 15-Day-ILMax Scherzer (SP) — Scherzer (forearm) gave up three runs on five hits and a walk over 3.2 innings for Triple-A Buffalo on Friday. He struck out five.06/06
  • 15-Day-ILDylan Cease (SP) — Manager John Schneider said Friday that Cease (hamstring) is "very likely" to rejoin the Blue Jays' rotation next week, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 15-Day-ILTommy Nance (RP) — Nance (forearm) threw live batting practice Tuesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/02
  • developmental listFernando Perez (P)
  • 60-Day-ILYimi Garcia (RP) — Garcia's (elbow) next rehab outing will be Saturday with Single-A Dunedin, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Mantiply (RP) — Mantiply will undergo arthroscopic surgery to repair some damage in his left knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILAlejandro Kirk (C) — Kirk (thumb) could be activated from the injured list early next week, with Blue Jays manager John Schneider indicating the catcher would need about 20 at-bats on his rehab assignment before being ready to rejoin the lineup, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILLazaro Estrada (RP) — Estrada (shoulder) yielded one run on three walks over 2.1 innings in his first rehab start with Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILShane Bieber (SP) — Bieber (elbow) struck out two batters and was charged with five earned runs on six hits and no walks across 2.1 innings in his rehab start Sunday with Single-A Dunedin.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJose Berrios (SP) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILAnthony Santander (RF) — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCody Ponce (SP) — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBowden Francis (SP) — The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08

Toronto is without Daulton Varsho (wrist) again, still waiting on Alejandro Kirk to finish his rehab assignment, and the rotation is duct-taped together with Scherzer, Cease, Bieber, and Berrios all on the IL. Baltimore's not much healthier: Mountcastle, Westburg, Eflin, Kremer, Bautista and a half-dozen more are out, and Chris Bassitt is reportedly aimed at Monday in Seattle. Translation — the guys playing this afternoon are the guys, full stop.

Pinnacle has Toronto -132 with a total of 8.5, which feels about right for two even teams whose pitching staffs are running on fumes. If Baz repeats his Boston start, the Orioles steal the series. If Gausman looks like the guy who carried a sub-3.20 ERA through May rather than the one who got tagged by the Braves, the Jays send Baltimore home unhappy.

Sources

MLBBaltimore OriolesToronto Blue JaysPolymarketKalshiShane BazKevin Gausman