Barstool Bush
Predictions

New York Mets at Chicago White Sox

By Bush StaffUpdated 7h ago·1 min read
New York MetsNYM(58-71)
Chicago White SoxCWS(67-61)
AT
6:10 PM CT
Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Mets(58-71)
LWLWW
White Sox(67-61)
WLWLL
Best BetWhite Sox -111

Chicago's chasing a real division crown and just took the last meeting with this Mets club, which is enough to lean on the home side here. Castillo's overall season numbers are ugly, but he's pitching for something that matters while New York is running out the clock on a lost year.

Mets
  • Christian Scott has a 3.51 ERA and 7 K's last time out
  • Took 2 of 3 from Padres in the last 5 games
  • Soto, Polanco, and Vientos all out or hobbled
  • Bullpen down three relievers to injury (Williams, Perez, Garrett)
White Sox
  • 67-61 and leading a surprise AL Central push
  • Won the last meeting with this Mets club, 6-4
  • Both catchers, Teel and Bart, are out injured
  • Castillo's last start: 4.2 IP, 8 hits, 3 ER

Christian Scott (4-3, 3.51 ERA) gets the ball for New York against Luis Castillo (4-9, 4.99 ERA) at 6:10 PM CT, and the gap in those numbers tells its own story about where each of these teams is right now.

Christian Scott
Christian Scott
(4-3)·3.51 ERA
Aug 16 vs Nationals
W
6.1IP
3ER
7K
2BB
90P
08/22 Lineup
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
(4-9)·4.99 ERA
Aug 17 @ Cubs
ND
4.2IP
3ER
1K
1BB
99P
08/22 Lineup

New York is already without Juan Soto, and interim manager Andy Green confirmed this week that Jorge Polanco is done for the season after ankle surgery — a rough stretch for a lineup that was fading even before that news. Chicago's issue is behind the plate instead, with both Kyle Teel and Joey Bart out, leaving the White Sox breaking in backup catchers behind a rotation that's trying to hold a division lead.

Whatever the market thinks of either club, this is still a Mets team playing spoiler on the road against a White Sox club that's been the best story in baseball all summer — from one of the worst seasons ever in 2024 to a legitimate shot at October.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(58-71)
Aug 21L@ White Sox4-6
Aug 19Wvs Padres4-2
Aug 18Lvs Padres2-5
Aug 17Wvs Padres2-1
Aug 16Wvs Nationals4-3
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(67-61)
Aug 21Wvs Mets6-4
Aug 20Lvs Braves0-2
Aug 19W@ Cubs3-0
Aug 19L@ Cubs3-4
Aug 18L@ Cubs5-7

These two just played each other Friday, with Chicago grinding out a 6-4 win. Scott was excellent in his last turn out, striking out 7 over 6.1 innings against Washington, while Castillo's last tune-up was a mess — 8 hits and 3 earned runs in only 4.2 innings against the Cubs.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(8)
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (DH) — Mets interim manager Andy Green said Wednesday that Polanco will undergo season-ending surgery on his left ankle, Steve Gelbs of SNY.tv reports.08/19
  • 10-Day-ILMark Vientos (1B) — Mets interim manager Andy Green said Tuesday that Vientos (hand) is "nearing" a rehab assignment, Michelle Margaux of SNY reports.08/18
  • 10-Day-ILJuan Soto (LF) — Soto (calf) did wind sprints on the field prior to Friday's game, and the superstar outfielder intends to play again this season, Bill Ladson of MLB.com reports.08/15
  • 15-Day-ILDevin Williams (RP) — The Mets placed Williams on the 15-day injured list Monday due to a right shoulder strain.08/10
  • 15-Day-ILCionel Perez (RP) — The Mets placed Perez on the 15-day injured list Friday with a left forearm strain.07/31
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP) — Hagenman (rib) was sent to Single-A St. Lucie on Tuesday to begin a rehab assignment, Michael Mayer of MetsmerizedOnline.com reports.08/18
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(11)
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Teel (C) — Teel (ankle) will participate in batting practice Monday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.08/17
  • 10-Day-ILJoey Bart (C) — White Sox general manager Chris Getz said Friday that Bart is expected to be sidelined for "over a month" due to a left hand fracture, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.08/07
  • 15-Day-ILDavis Martin (SP) — Martin (finger) threw a bullpen session Wednesday and is expected to begin a rehab assignment soon, James Fegan of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.08/20
  • 15-Day-ILChris Murphy (RP) — Murphy will serve as the White Sox's opener for Sunday's game against the Guardians, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILDrew Thorpe (SP) — Thorpe (elbow) struck out six and allowed one earned run on three hits and no walks across five innings in a rehab start Wednesday with Triple-A Charlotte.08/13
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Leasure (RP) — Leasure (forearm) has resumed throwing bullpen sessions, MLB.com reports.08/01
  • 60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa (RP) — The White Sox announced Saturday that Berroa (elbow) will start throwing again in 1-to-2 weeks, MLB.com reports.07/07
  • 60-Day-ILKy Bush (SP) — Bush (elbow) has resumed participating in long toss, MLB.com reports.07/05
  • 60-Day-ILMike Vasil (RP) — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Murray (LF) — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBrooks Baldwin (LF) — The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

None of that changes the standings math. The White Sox are playing for a division title that looked unthinkable a year ago, and the Mets are auditioning arms and hoping Scott's second half keeps building toward next season.

Sources

MLBNew York MetsChicago White SoxPolymarketKalshiChristian ScottLuis Castillo
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