New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds

By Bush StaffUpdated 68d ago·2 min read
New York MetsNYM(32-39)
Cincinnati RedsCIN(33-37)
012
FINAL
123456789RHE
NYM
000000000060
CIN
360000031290

Tobias Myers (0-1, 4.05) draws the short straw opposite Chase Burns (7-1, 2.14) for first pitch at 7:10 PM ET in Cincinnati. Carlos Mendoza has already confirmed Myers is working on a roughly 40-pitch leash, so this is a bullpen game dressed up as a start — Myers was at Triple-A as recently as late May being stretched back out after a stint as a reliever.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Mets(32-39)
WLWWL
0
Reds(33-37)
LWLLW
12
Best BetReds -140
Pregame

Cincinnati at -133 is the right side here even though it's not a screaming price. Chase Burns and his 2.14 ERA against a Mets bullpen game with no Lindor or Polanco is about as clean a starting-pitcher edge as you'll find on the board. The Mets would need an opener-day miracle out of their patchwork relief corps to flip this.

The Burns matchup is the headline. The Reds' rookie has been the story of their rotation, sitting at 98.5 mph with a slider that's generated whiff rates the league hasn't seen out of a first-year starter in years. He last went 5.1 innings against the Padres with 7 strikeouts on 105 pitches, and the Mets — who already lean strikeout-prone with this lineup — are walking into the buzzsaw without Francisco Lindor or Jorge Polanco.

New York Mets
Tobias Myers
(0-2)·6.21 ERA
May 22 @ Marlins
ND
1.1IP
1ER
0K
1BB
20P
06/15 Lineup
Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
(9-1)·2.36 ERA
Jun 9 @ Padres
ND
5.1IP
2ER
7K
2BB
105P
06/15 Lineup
New York Mets
New York Mets
(19)
  • Day-To-DayBrandon Waddell (RP)Waddell (shoulder) picked up the win after allowing three runs on four hits while striking out two across three innings during Saturday's game against Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes Barre.06/01
  • Day-To-DayAdbert Alzolay (RP)The Mets reassigned Alzolay to minor-league camp Tuesday.06/01
  • Day-To-DayMike Tauchman (RF)Tauchman (knee) is still rehabbing at the Mets' spring training complex and has yet to resume baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • Day-To-DayGrae Kessinger (3B)no05/13
  • Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP)The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP)Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B)Triple-A Salt Lake placed Rojas on its COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS)Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns said Friday that he expects Lindor (calf) to return "this month," Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B)An MRI on Polanco's left ankle/Achilles tendon came back negative Tuesday, Andrew Tredinnick of The Bergen Record reports.06/09
  • 10-Day-ILTyrone Taylor (CF)Taylor (hip) began running this past week but has yet to resume full baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.06/08
  • 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS)The Mets placed Mauricio (thumb) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP)Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that Senga (spine/arm) will require at least one more minor-league rehab start before the organization considers activating him from the 15-day injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.06/12
  • OutRobert Stock (RP)Stock (shoulder) said Sunday that he'll require surgery to address thoracic outlet syndrome and could be sidelined for the remainder of the season, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF)Robert (spine) said Thursday that his back has been responding better in recent days and he expects to return before the end of this season, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP)The Mets transferred Holmes (fibula) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP)The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP)The Mets placed Nunez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP)The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP)The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(9)
  • Day-To-DayConnor Burns (C)no05/08
  • 10-Day-ILElly De La Cruz (SS)Reds manager Terry Francona said Friday that an MRI showed De La Cruz's right hamstring strain to be 90 percent healed, Charlie Clifford of NBC 5 Cincinnati reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes (3B)Hayes is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILEmilio Pagan (RP)Pagan (hamstring) is scheduled to throw a live bullpen session Friday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/14
  • 15-Day-ILPierce Johnson (RP)Johnson (elbow) is expected to toss a bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/07
  • OutCarson Spiers (SP)The Reds re-signed Spiers (elbow) to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Greene (SP)Greene (elbow) is slated to begin a rehab assignment Thursday in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/14
  • 60-Day-ILGraham Ashcraft (RP)Ashcraft (elbow) received a platelet-rich plasma injection Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Williamson (SP)The Reds transferred Williamson (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Both teams are limping into this one, which is part of why a sub-.500 NL series gets interesting. The Mets are 32-39 and just took 3 of 5 from St. Louis and Atlanta to feel slightly less awful about themselves. The Reds (33-37) sit a game up in the standings but dropped 2 of 3 to Arizona at home, including Sunday's 5-3 loss. Neither side is hot, neither side is healthy, and the team with the better pitcher tonight is going to be hard to bet against.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(32-39)
Jun 14Wvs Braves8-1
Jun 13Lvs Braves1-3
Jun 12Wvs Braves7-5
Jun 11Wvs Cardinals5-4
Jun 10Lvs Cardinals2-9
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(33-37)
Jun 14Lvs Diamondbacks3-5
Jun 13Wvs Diamondbacks2-1
Jun 12Lvs Diamondbacks2-5
Jun 10L@ Padres4-5
Jun 10W@ Padres5-3

The wild card here is whoever follows Myers. The Mets bullpen has been hammered by injuries — Reed Garrett, Dedniel Nunez, and Clay Holmes are all on the 60-day, and Brandon Waddell is day-to-day with a shoulder issue. If Myers gives them a clean 2-plus and the bridge arms hold, the Mets can hang. If he opens the game by handing out walks, this gets ugly early in front of a Cincinnati crowd that's been waiting for a Burns home gem.

Elly De La Cruz is still on the IL (hamstring at 90% per Terry Francona), so the Reds' offense isn't quite at full song either. That gives the Mets a small opening against a Cincinnati lineup that's been streaky all year. Lay the makeshift Mets staff against the best pitching matchup advantage anyone will see on the slate tonight, though, and you can see why this number is what it is.

MLBNew York MetsCincinnati RedsPolymarketKalshiTobias MyersChase Burns