Barstool Bush
Predictions

New York Mets at Washington Nationals

By Bush StaffUpdated 95d ago·2 min read
New York MetsNYM(21-26)
Washington NationalsWSH(23-25)
6—9
FINAL
123456789RHE
NYM
3200001006102
WSH
04320000—990

The Mets just became the first NL team since the 1919 Reds to hang 10 in a single extra inning, courtesy of a 16-7 dismantling of the Nats on Monday that featured 4 Washington errors and 19 left on base. Tuesday's matinee is essentially the hangover game, and Carlos Mendoza is handing the ball to the kid.

New York Mets
Nolan McLean
(3-4)·4.21 ERA
May 14 vs Tigers
W
7.0IP
3ER
7K
3BB
93P
05/19 Lineup
Washington Nationals
Foster Griffin
(6-2)·3.76 ERA
May 14 @ Reds
L
4.1IP
9ER
7K
3BB
92P
05/19 Lineup

Nolan McLean has been the most interesting story in the rotation. He's at a 2.92 ERA on the year and just punched out 7 over 7 innings of 3-run ball against Detroit in his last start. With Senga and Holmes shelved and the position-player IL reading like a phone book, McLean carrying a sub-3 is the only reason this rotation hasn't collapsed.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(20)
  • Day-To-DayMike Tauchman (RF) — Tauchman (knee) is still rehabbing at the Mets' spring training complex and has yet to resume baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • Day-To-DayGrae Kessinger (3B) — no05/13
  • Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP) — The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP) — Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayNick Burdi (RP) — The Red Sox reinstated Burdi (hip) from the injured list Saturday and optioned him to Triple-A Worcester.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B) — Triple-A Salt Lake placed Rojas on its COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJared Young (1B) — Young (knee) will move his rehab assignment from Single-A St. Lucie to Triple-A Syracuse this week, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS) — The Mets "have hope" that Lindor (calf) will return to the active roster in about a month, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B) — Polanco (Achilles) is traveling with the Mets during their road trip through Washington and Miami this week, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Alvarez (C) — Alvarez is expected to be sidelined eight weeks after undergoing right meniscus surgery Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/14
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF) — Mets manger Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that Robert (back) is still experiencing lingering symptoms and "is not progressing the way we would like," Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/12
  • 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS) — The Mets placed Mauricio (thumb) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP) — Senga (back) threw a multi-inning live-batting practice session Sunday, MLB.com reports.05/18
  • 15-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP) — Holmes (fibula) will be shut down from all activity for 6-to-8 weeks before beginning a rehab program, Jorge Castillo of ESPN.com reports.05/16
  • OutRobert Stock (RP) — Stock (shoulder) said Sunday that he'll require surgery to address thoracic outlet syndrome and could be sidelined for the remainder of the season, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Minter (RP) — Minter (hip/lat) is expected to resume a rehab assignment this weekend, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/18
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP) — The Mets placed Nunez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP) — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(13)
  • Day-To-DayJoey Wiemer (RF) — Wiemer is being considered day-to-day after suffering a bruised hand during Monday's game against the Mets, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/19
  • Day-To-DayJacob Young (CF) — Young, who left Monday's game against the Mets after being hit by a pitch, is being considered day-to-day after being diagnosed with a bruised rib, Kyle Williams of TheBanner.com reports.05/19
  • Day-To-DayTyler Baum (DH) — Baum has not pitched this year due an undisclosed injury.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTravis Sykora (SP) — Sykora will undergo a UCL reconstruction on his right elbow in two weeks, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJarlin Susana (RP) — Susana underwent surgery last week to repair a right lat tear, Spencer Nusbaum of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILClayton Beeter (RP) — Beeter (forearm) threw a scoreless inning for Triple-A Rochester on Saturday, allowing one hit and striking out one.05/18
  • 15-Day-ILCole Henry (RP) — Henry (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Rochester this weekend, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/15
  • 15-Day-ILMax Kranick (RP) — The Nationals signed Kranick (elbow) to a one-year, $800,000 contract Tuesday and placed him on the 15-day injured list.05/08
  • OutTyler Stuart (SP) — Stuart underwent Tommy John surgery earlier this week, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDJ Herz (SP) — Herz (elbow) will throw to live hitters Friday at the Nationals' spring training facility in Florida, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Williams (SP) — Williams (elbow) began pitching off a mound at the Nationals' spring training complex this weekend, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJosiah Gray (SP) — Gray (elbow) has resumed a throwing program, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKen Waldichuk (RP) — The Nationals transferred Waldichuk (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Foster Griffin, meanwhile, has been the Nats' best free-agent flier in a long time. The lefty came back from Japan on a 1-year, $5.5M deal and is 4-2 with a 3.53 ERA, including a 9-strikeout outing against the Marlins his last time through that was a season-high. He keeps Washington in games — the Nats just have to actually catch the ball behind him, which, after Monday, is a real ask.

Both lineups are also walking wounded in the outfield. Joey Wiemer (hand) and Jacob Young (bruised rib) are day-to-day after Monday's slugfest, both having absorbed contact in that game. The Mets are still without Lindor, Alvarez, Polanco, and Luis Robert Jr., so any Washington lineup shuffle could matter more than it looks.

The market has the Mets at -139 on Pinnacle with a 56.8% fair win probability — a clean favorite, not a lock. DK shaded the Mets ML down to -125 and the total up to 10, which after Monday's 23-run circus feels like the books reacting to the previous night rather than the matchup itself. Neither side grades out as +EV, so this is a watch, not a bet.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(21-26)
WLWWW
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(23-25)
LWWLL

Mets have won 4 of 5 and just put up a historic frame. Nationals dropped 2 of their last 5 and are coming off a loss where they led for most of the night. McLean vs. Griffin is the kind of quiet, well-pitched game both teams would probably welcome after 12 innings of chaos — whether they get it is another matter.

Sources

MLBNew York MetsWashington NationalsPolymarketKalshiNolan McLeanFoster Griffin