New York Mets at Miami Marlins

By Bush StaffUpdated 91d ago·2 min read
New York MetsNYM(22-29)
Miami MarlinsMIA(23-29)
14
FINAL
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NYM
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MIA
02101000481

This is not the Mets team anyone drew up in March. Francisco Lindor is on the IL with a calf and the team is reportedly hoping he's back in about a month. Francisco Alvarez had right meniscus surgery and is looking at an 8-week shelf. Jorge Polanco, Kodai Senga, Clay Holmes — all out. Carlos Mendoza is patching this thing together with duct tape and a 22-29 record to show for it.

New York Mets
Freddy Peralta
(4-4)·3.63 ERA
May 17 vs Yankees
ND
5.0IP
3ER
4K
6BB
96P
05/23 Lineup
Miami Marlins
Max Meyer
(6-0)·2.81 ERA
May 18 vs Braves
W
6.0IP
0ER
6K
2BB
97P
05/23 Lineup
New York Mets
New York Mets
(20)
  • Day-To-DayMike Tauchman (RF)Tauchman (knee) is still rehabbing at the Mets' spring training complex and has yet to resume baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • Day-To-DayGrae Kessinger (3B)no05/13
  • Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP)The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP)Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayNick Burdi (RP)The Red Sox reinstated Burdi (hip) from the injured list Saturday and optioned him to Triple-A Worcester.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B)Triple-A Salt Lake placed Rojas on its COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJared Young (1B)Young (knee) will move his rehab assignment from Single-A St. Lucie to Triple-A Syracuse this week, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS)The Mets "have hope" that Lindor (calf) will return to the active roster in about a month, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B)Polanco (Achilles) is traveling with the Mets during their road trip through Washington and Miami this week, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Alvarez (C)Alvarez is expected to be sidelined eight weeks after undergoing right meniscus surgery Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/14
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF)Mets manger Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that Robert (back) is still experiencing lingering symptoms and "is not progressing the way we would like," Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/12
  • 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS)The Mets placed Mauricio (thumb) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP)Senga (back) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A St. Lucie on Friday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/21
  • OutRobert Stock (RP)Stock (shoulder) said Sunday that he'll require surgery to address thoracic outlet syndrome and could be sidelined for the remainder of the season, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Minter (RP)Minter (hip/lat) pitched Tuesday and Wednesday for Triple-A Syracuse, and he's expected to make one more rehab appearance this weekend before being activated from the 60-day injured list early next week, Tim Britton and Will Sammon of The Athletic report.05/21
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP)The Mets transferred Holmes (fibula) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP)The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP)The Mets placed Nunez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP)The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP)The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(8)
  • Day-To-DayThomas White (SP)White isn't expected to make his MLB debut anytime soon, Isaac Azout of FishOnFirst.com reports.05/21
  • Day-To-DayKemp Alderman (RF)Alderman (hand) has gone 2-for-13 with two RBI and a run scored in four games since returning from Single-A Jupiter's 7-day injured list Thursday.05/18
  • 7-day ilLeo Jimenez (3B)Jimenez will head to the IL after being removed from Tuesday's game against Atlanta, reports Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.05/21
  • 10-Day-ILGriffin Conine (LF)Conine will undergo a left hamstring tendon excision next week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • OutJesus Tinoco (RP)The Marlins re-signed Tinoco (elbow) to a minor-league contract Jan. 5.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP)Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP)The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP)The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08

The good news, if you squint, is that Freddy Peralta is on the bump. The Mets' Opening Day starter is 3-3 with a 3.31 ERA and has gone at least 5 innings in 9 of his 10 starts. The bad news is the walks — he's issued multiple free passes in 8 of those 10. Against this Marlins lineup that probably won't bury you, but against Max Meyer it might.

Meyer is the story of the day. The Marlins' righty is 4-0 with a 2.85 ERA and is the only qualified starting pitcher in MLB without a loss. He's already thrown a 7-inning, 1-hit gem against the Phillies this month. Miami is 23-29 and not exactly tearing the cover off the ball, but when Meyer pitches they've found a way to hang around.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(22-29)
WLLWL
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(23-29)
WLLLW

The market reflects the pitching edge — kind of. Pinnacle has the Marlins at -111 with a fair win probability of 51.4%, and the total sits at 8 across the board. DraftKings has skewed the moneyline a tick further toward Miami at -120, which is where the EV math gets ugly on the home side. Neither side is screaming value here; this is a coin flip with a wet ball.

The play, if you're playing, is probably the under. Two starters with sub-3.50 ERAs, a Mets lineup missing its two best hitters, and a Marlins offense that the manager keeps publicly nudging to do more. First pitch is 3:10 PM ET — settle in for a quiet one.

MLBNew York MetsMiami MarlinsPolymarketKalshiFreddy PeraltaMax Meyer
New York Mets at Miami Marlins — Mets Limp Into Miami With Peralta vs. Undefeated Max Meyer | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush