Barstool Bush
Predictions

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies

By Bush StaffUpdated 52d ago·2 min read
Miami MarlinsMIA(46-40)
Colorado RockiesCOL(33-53)
3—6
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIA
000200100371
COL
10004010—670

Meyer (9-0, 2.60 ERA) draws Kyle Freeland (1-7, 7.50 ERA) at 6:40 PM MT, and it is hard to overstate how lopsided this pitching matchup looks on paper. In his last start June 26 against St. Louis, Meyer went 7 innings, allowed 2 hits, struck out 5, and walked 2 on 89 pitches. That win made him 9-0, tying Livan Hernandez's franchise record for the best start to a season in Marlins history, and he remains the only qualified starter in baseball who hasn't taken a loss.

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FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Marlins(46-40)
WWLWW
3
Rockies(33-53)
LLLWL
6
Best BetMarlins -163
Pregame

Marlins at -160 is priced about right for this pitching matchup. Meyer is 9-0 with a 2.60 ERA while Freeland is 1-7 with a 7.50 ERA — that gap alone justifies laying the chalk. Miami has won 4 of their last 5 and is playing the best baseball in franchise history.

Miami has been surgically dismantling Colorado in this series. The Marlins took game 1 10-7 and then came back to hang 14 runs on the Rockies in game 2 — Griffin Conine went 4-for-4, Xavier Edwards extended his hit streak to 9 games, Joe Mack launched a 450-foot home run, and Owen Caissie went deep for his 10th of the year on a 453-foot blast. The Marlins' offense set new season highs in both runs and hits in that game, capping a 20-6 June that stands as the best month in franchise history.

Miami Marlins
Max Meyer
(9-1)·2.58 ERA
Jun 26 @ Cardinals
W
7.0IP
0ER
5K
2BB
89P
07/01 Lineup
Colorado Rockies
Kyle Freeland
(2-8)·7.36 ERA
Jun 24 vs Red Sox
ND
6.0IP
6ER
4K
1BB
81P
07/01 Lineup
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(46-40)
Jul 1W@ Rockies14-3
Jun 30W@ Rockies10-7
Jun 28L@ Cardinals1-2
Jun 27W@ Cardinals5-1
Jun 27W@ Cardinals4-0
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(33-53)
Jul 1Lvs Marlins3-14
Jun 30Lvs Marlins7-10
Jun 28L@ Twins2-3
Jun 27W@ Twins8-5
Jun 27L@ Twins8-9

The Marlins aren't just winning — they're running teams out of the ballpark. Miami leads the majors in stolen bases with 88 and ranks in the top 10 in on-base percentage, which makes them a nightmare for pitchers trying to work around traffic. Liam Hicks entered this series on an 11-game hit streak. The bullpen absorbed Anthony Bender landing on the 15-day IL Tuesday with a right shin stress reaction, but that won't matter much if Meyer is chewing through 7 innings again.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(9)
  • Day-To-DayThomas White (SP) — White was diagnosed with a left shoulder capsular sprain Friday and is expected to miss the rest of the season, Isaac Azout of FishOnFirst.com reports.06/06
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — The Marlins placed Bender on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right shin stress reaction.06/30
  • 15-Day-ILJanson Junk (SP) — Junk (shin) allowed one run over 2.2 innings in his first rehab start with Triple-A Jacksonville on Sunday before exiting after being struck on the left wrist by a comebacker, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.06/29
  • OutJesus Tinoco (RP) — The Marlins re-signed Tinoco (elbow) to a minor-league contract Jan. 5.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJosh Ekness (RP) — Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Monday that Ekness is expected to miss approximately six weeks due to a right calf strain, Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — The Marlins transferred Nardi (ribcage) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(14)
  • Day-To-DayTomoyuki Sugano (SP) — Sugano did not factor into the decision Friday, allowing seven runs on eight hits and one walk over five innings against the Twins. He struck out two.06/30
  • Day-To-DayBrayan Castillo (RP) — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayCase Williams (SP) — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJared Thomas (CF) — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILBrenton Doyle (CF) — Doyle (oblique) was scratched from a rehab appearance with Triple-A Albuquerque on Tuesday due to groin tightness, MLB.com reports.07/01
  • 15-Day-ILJaden Hill (RP) — Hill (shoulder) began throwing weighted balls Tuesday, MLB.com reports.07/01
  • 15-Day-ILBlas Castano (RP) — Castano was called up from Triple-A Albuquerque on Thursday.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILChase Dollander (SP) — Dollander underwent an internal brace procedure on his right elbow Monday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILWelinton Herrera (RP) — Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer announced Monday that Herrera (elbow) has been diagnosed with a torn UCL and will miss the remainder of the season, Jack Janes of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP) — Brown (shoulder) had been scheduled to throw a live bullpen session this weekend, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJose Quintana (SP) — The Rockies placed Quintana on the 15-day injured list Monday with a left elbow sprain.05/28
  • 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP) — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP) — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH) — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08

Colorado's situation is grim. Brenton Doyle's oblique rehab hit another snag Tuesday when he was scratched from a Triple-A appearance with groin tightness. Kris Bryant still can't do baseball activities with his back. Chase Dollander — the best pitching prospect in the organization — had internal brace surgery and is done for the year. On the mound, Freeland surrendered 6 earned runs on 11 hits over 6 innings against Boston in his last start and has given up double-digit hits 3 times this season. The Rockies are 33-53, have dropped 4 of their last 5, and have now given up 24 runs to the Marlins in 2 straight home games. Meyer getting another quality start sets up Miami for the sweep.

Sources

MLBMiami MarlinsColorado RockiesPolymarketKalshiMax MeyerKyle Freeland