Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds

By Bush StaffUpdated 7d ago·2 min read
Miami MarlinsMIA(62-60)
Cincinnati RedsCIN(58-62)
01
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIA
000000000040
CIN
00000100160

First pitch went off at 6:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park, with Sandy Alcantara taking the ball for Miami against Chase Burns, Cincinnati's homegrown ace who'd been nearly unbeatable through his first four months in the majors.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Marlins(62-60)
LWWWW
0
Reds(58-62)
WLWLL
1
Best BetMarlins -103
Postgame

The pick lost outright — Miami fell 1-0 and never got the bats going, so the case for backing the streaking Marlins offense simply didn't show up. Burns' shaky last start we leaned on never carried over here; whatever hittable stuff he flashed against Washington wasn't on display against Miami. Alcantara pitching well wasn't the problem — his own offense stranding him was.

Pregame

Miami's the play here off Alcantara's clean last outing and a Marlins club that's won 4 of its last 5, against a Reds team leaning on Burns during a stretch where his results have softened. The price reflects a near coin-flip game, but the pitching matchup tilts enough to make Miami the value side.

Burns arrived running on a rare bruise to his record — a 5-earned-run outing that snapped a personal decision streak most pitchers never sniff in a full career — while Miami still had first baseman Kyle Stowers on the shelf with a hamstring strain and had already burned through a chunk of its bullpen depth to injury.

Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara
(13-8)·3.46 ERA
Aug 8 vs Angels
W
7.0IP
0ER
8K
1BB
108P
08/14 Lineup
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
(14-2)·2.51 ERA
Aug 8 @ Nationals
L
5.1IP
5ER
6K
3BB
96P
08/14 Lineup

The market leaned hard on Cincinnati's home ace anyway, and by the time the last out was recorded, that lean looked justified — even if the board never quite priced how quiet both bats would actually go.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(62-60)
Aug 13Lvs Pirates1-13
Aug 12Wvs Pirates8-2
Aug 11Wvs Pirates2-0
Aug 9Wvs Angels12-3
Aug 8Wvs Angels7-0
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(58-62)
Aug 13W@ White Sox9-8
Aug 12L@ White Sox0-5
Aug 11W@ White Sox5-4
Aug 9L@ Nationals1-7
Aug 8L@ Nationals2-8

Miami had rattled off wins in 4 of its last 5 games before this series, blowing out the Angels and Pirates in lopsided fashion, only to get run off the field in its final tune-up beforehand. Cincinnati, meanwhile, had been treading water — a loss, a loss, a win, a loss, a win — form that neither buries a team nor lifts it, just keeps it hovering around .500 deep into August.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(8)
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Stowers (1B)Miami placed Stowers on the 10-day IL with a left hamstring strain on Tuesday.08/11
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP)The Marlins have tentatively scheduled Bender (shin) to face hitters Friday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.08/12
  • 15-Day-ILMax Meyer (SP)Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Wednesday that Meyer (neck) received a cortisone shot to relieve discomfort in the rib area, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.08/12
  • 15-Day-ILWilliam Kempner (RP)Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Wednesday that Kempner will require surgery for his sprained right elbow, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.08/12
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP)Nardi (ribs) is scheduled to visit a doctor Tuesday after experiencing elbow discomfort, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP)Snelling (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program in September, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP)Mazur (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program sometime in September, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP)Henriquez (elbow) began playing catch from 60 feet out Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/18
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(6)
  • 10-Day-ILSpencer Steer (1B)Steer (wrist) is scheduled to have a splint removed from his right wrist Monday, MLB.com reports.08/10
  • 15-Day-ILTony Santillan (RP)Santillan (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville on Friday.08/14
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Greene (SP)Greene (elbow) will be out for 12-to-18 months after undergoing his second Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.08/13
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Williamson (SP)Williamson (shoulder) allowed two hits and one walk while striking out two over two innings Tuesday in a rehab start for Triple-A Louisville.08/13
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Dunn (CF)The Reds transferred Dunn (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Thursday.08/06
  • 60-Day-ILGraham Ashcraft (RP)Ashcraft (elbow) is on a throwing program, which will have him throw from 105 feet beginning July 20 at the Reds' training facility in Arizona, MLB.com reports.07/18

The absences told two different stories. Miami's rotation had been picked apart all month — Max Meyer nursing a neck injury that needed a cortisone shot, Robby Snelling and Adam Mazur both still building back arm strength from elbow trouble — while Cincinnati absorbed a season-altering blow when Hunter Greene needed a second Tommy John surgery, ending his year and reshaping the outlook for next season more than this particular start. Neither club was whole, but only one of them needed length from its ace to get through the night.

When the line score settled, Cincinnati had done just enough — a single run crossing in the sixth inning stood up as the entire margin, and Miami's lineup never found an answer, finishing with 4 hits and nothing to show for them. Alcantara's recent run of shutting offenses down continued in exactly the way that hurts a box score: nothing to complain about on the mound, everything to complain about at the plate.

MLBMiami MarlinsCincinnati RedsPolymarketKalshiSandy AlcantaraChase Burns