Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers

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MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	0

Sunday's series finale at American Family Field was a Perez-Gasser matchup on paper, but neither line quite matched the stuff on the mound. First pitch went off at 1:10 PM CT with Eury Perez (5-7, 3.57 ERA) trying to keep Miami's freefall from getting worse, while Robert Gasser (2-4, 4.91 ERA) looked to steady a Brewers rotation that's taken some real hits lately.

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FINAL

Spread

ML

Total

Marlins(52-47)

LLLLL

1

+1.5-182+122o8.5+122

Brewers(61-37)

WWLLL

3

-1.5+174-125u8.5-120

Best BetBrewers -131

Postgame

Brewers won 3-1 on a walk-off ninth, cashing the home ml exactly as the roster-depth bull case argued.

Pregame

We backed the Brewers on the moneyline at their entry price of -125, and the gap in records made that an easy lean even with sharp money piling onto Miami. Milwaukee's deeper roster and better recent form made them the play regardless of the day-to-day scoring, and a struggling Marlins offense searching for answers only strengthened the case.

Milwaukee got a scare with a rotation piece this weekend when Kyle Harrison's precautionary MRI came back clean and his bullpen session went smoothly, which matters with Brandon Woodruff already done for the year after announcing season-ending shoulder surgery. On the other side, Miami played Sunday without shortstop Otto Lopez, held out with a finger issue, one more name subtracted from a lineup that's already without Owen Caissie in right field.

Eury Pérez

(5-8)·3.44 ERA

Jul 11 vs Guardians

L

6.0IP

2ER

6K

2BB

99P

07/19 Lineup

Robert Gasser

(3-4)·4.48 ERA

Jul 12 @ Pirates

L

3.0IP

7ER

3K

0BB

58P

07/19 Lineup

None of that mattered much in the moment. Miami had dropped five straight and four of five to Milwaukee specifically over the past two days, and this one looked like it might snap the streak for a while — the Marlins scratched across a run early and made it stand up deep into the game.

Miami Marlins

(52-47)

Jul 18L@ Brewers6-8

Jul 17L@ Brewers1-2

Jul 12Lvs Guardians2-5

Jul 11Lvs Guardians1-4

Jul 10Lvs Guardians2-3

Milwaukee Brewers

(61-37)

Jul 18Wvs Marlins8-6

Jul 17Wvs Marlins2-1

Jul 12L@ Pirates5-14

Jul 11L@ Pirates2-3

Jul 11L@ Pirates6-7

Then the ninth inning happened. Milwaukee, held off the board for eight full innings by Perez and the Miami bullpen, broke through with a three-run rally to walk it off and turn a quiet afternoon into a celebration at home plate. It's the kind of finish that fits this Brewers team right now — losers of three straight to Pittsburgh a week ago, winners of three straight against Miami to close this series.

For the Marlins, it's the same story that's defined their last two weeks: solid enough pitching to hang around, not enough offense or bullpen stability to close it out. Miami's relief corps is running thin with Ronny Henriquez, Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King and Andrew Nardi all on the injured list in some form, and a one-run cushion just isn't safe with that kind of depth behind the rotation.

Miami Marlins

(10)

• Day-To-DayOtto Lopez (SS) — Lopez (finger) is out of Sunday's lineup for Miami's matchup against Milwaukee.07/19
• 10-Day-ILOwen Caissie (RF) — Caissie was diagnosed with a mild right calf strain Thursday, Craig Mish of FanDuel Sports Network Florida reports.07/09
• 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — Bender (shin) was cleared to begin a throwing program Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/18
• 15-Day-ILWilliam Kempner (RP) — The Marlins placed Kempner on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to a right elbow sprain.07/12
• 15-Day-ILJohn King (RP) — The Marlins placed King on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a left lateral ankle sprain.07/09
• 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — Henriquez (elbow) began playing catch from 60 feet out Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/18
• 60-Day-ILJosh Ekness (RP) — Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Monday that Ekness is expected to miss approximately six weeks due to a right calf strain, Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.06/21
• 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — The Marlins transferred Nardi (ribcage) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
• 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
• 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08

Milwaukee Brewers

(11)

• 10-Day-ILDavid Hamilton (3B) — Manager Pat Murphy said that Hamilton (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment Tuesday, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/18
• 10-Day-ILSal Frelick (RF) — The Brewers placed Frelick on the 10-day injured list Saturday with a right shoulder strain, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/18
• 15-Day-ILKyle Harrison (SP) — Harrison (elbow) said his precautionary MRI returned "all good and that he had no issues during his bullpen session Saturday ," Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.07/19
• 15-Day-ILDL Hall (RP) — Hall (pectoral) threw a 20-pitch live batting practice session Thursday, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/17
• 15-Day-ILJoel Kuhnel (RP) — The Brewers placed Kuhnel on the 15-day injured list Saturday, retroactive to July 3, due to a right shoulder injury.07/04
• 60-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge (LF) — Manager Pat Murphy said that Lockridge (knee) is expected to begin a rehab assignment Wednesday, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/18
• 60-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP) — Woodruff announced Saturday that he will undergo season-ending capsule repair surgery on his right shoulder, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.07/18
• 60-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zastryzny (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.07/16
• 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP) — Fitzpatrick (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery over the past week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/05
• 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP) — Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/18
• 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31

Milwaukee heads into the next stretch riding momentum and sitting comfortably atop the standings at 61-37. Miami, meanwhile, needs to find answers fast — a sixth straight loss is not the note anyone in that clubhouse wanted walking into the next series.