Barstool Bush
Predictions

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves

By Bush StaffUpdated 15d ago·2 min read
Miami MarlinsMIA(58-57)
Atlanta BravesATL(69-45)
3—11
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIA
000000201383
ATL
00200423—11140

Martín Pérez took the ball for Atlanta looking to build on a start where he allowed just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings against Washington, and Janson Junk came in for Miami off a solid 5 shutout innings of his own against the Mets. On paper it looked like a pitchers' duel at 7:15 PM ET. It did not stay that way.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Marlins(58-57)
LLWWW
3
Braves(69-45)
WWWWW
11
Best BetBraves -156
Postgame

This one wasn't close — Atlanta cruised to an 11-3 win and the moneyline pick cashed comfortably. The bull case on Pérez's form held up even though he wasn't the whole story; the offense did the heavy lifting once the bats woke up in the third.

Pregame

Atlanta's price isn't cheap, but with Pérez holding opponents scoreless across his last two outings and the Braves riding a 7-game win streak, this is a lay-the-favorite spot. Junk has pitched better than his ERA lately, yet Miami's dropped the first two games of this series and the offense has gone cold against Atlanta's staff. The one tracked bet we've seen leans Miami, but it's a small one and not enough to flip the read — back the Braves.

Both starters worked around trouble early, with the game scoreless through 2. Atlanta cracked it open with a 2-run third, then buried Miami with a 4-run sixth and never let up, tacking on 2 more in the seventh and 3 in the eighth. Miami's lone push came late — 2 runs in the seventh and 1 in the ninth — but by then the deficit was already a mountain, and 3 Marlins errors didn't help matters.

Janson Junk
Janson Junk
(6-8)·4.37 ERA
Jul 31 @ Mets
W
5.0IP
0ER
4K
2BB
79P
08/06 Lineup
Martín Pérez
Martín Pérez
(8-7)·3.15 ERA
Aug 1 vs Nationals
W
7.0IP
0ER
6K
2BB
78P
08/06 Lineup

The final line: 14 hits for Atlanta against 8 for Miami, and zero Braves errors against 3 Marlins miscues. It was as clean a night as Atlanta has had all week, and it turned what started as a pitching matchup into a laugher by the middle innings.

This one completed a series finale, with Atlanta having already taken the first 2 meetings against Miami before Thursday's blowout put a bow on the sweep. The Braves have not lost since before this series started, riding that 5-game streak all the way through a Marlins team that had actually won 3 straight of its own against the Mets just days earlier before running into this buzzsaw.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(58-57)
Aug 5L@ Braves1-4
Aug 4L@ Braves2-4
Aug 2W@ Mets2-0
Aug 1W@ Mets6-2
Jul 31W@ Mets5-2
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(69-45)
Aug 5Wvs Marlins4-1
Aug 4Wvs Marlins4-2
Aug 2Wvs Nationals4-2
Aug 1Wvs Nationals8-3
Jul 31Wvs Nationals6-2

Miami's rotation and bullpen depth are getting stretched thin, with Max Meyer, Robby Snelling and Adam Mazur all out for the season or close to it, and multiple relievers still working back from injury. Atlanta isn't exactly whole either — Robert Suarez, Reynaldo Lopez, Joe Jimenez and Joey Wentz are all sidelined, and Jurickson Profar is out for the year on suspension — but none of that mattered Thursday. The lineup and the bullpen both showed up.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(7)
  • 15-Day-ILMax Meyer (SP) — Meyer (neck) will continue treatment and won't throw for the next two weeks, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/24
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — Bender (shin) was cleared to begin a throwing program Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/18
  • 15-Day-ILWilliam Kempner (RP) — The Marlins placed Kempner on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to a right elbow sprain.07/12
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — Nardi (ribs) said Wednesday that he's about 2-to-3 weeks away from beginning a rehab assignment, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.07/29
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — Henriquez (elbow) began playing catch from 60 feet out Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.07/18
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(7)
  • 15-Day-ILRobert Suarez (RP) — Suarez (forearm) has yet to increase the intensity of his throwing program as Atlanta takes a cautious approach with his recovery, Gabriel Burns of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.08/06
  • 15-Day-ILReynaldo Lopez (RP) — Lopez (knee) underwent an MRI on Sunday that showed no structural damage, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.08/02
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP) — Strider (elbow) appears unlikely to pitch again in 2026, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.08/02
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach (elbow) will likely throw a few more bullpen sessions before being cleared to face live hitters, and he hasn't yet regained his full velocity, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.08/01
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

For Atlanta, it's the kind of win that validates a hot stretch — no shaky innings, no bullpen scares, just a complete team win against a divisional-ish NL foe. For Miami, it's a series to forget, and a reminder that the gap between these two clubs right now is real.

Sources

MLBMiami MarlinsAtlanta BravesPolymarketKalshiJanson JunkMartín Pérez