Miami had been the hotter team rolling in — four straight wins, including a sweep of the Mets — before Tuesday flattened them. They're still 26-30, still treading water in the NL East, but the rotation behind Pérez and Alcantara is held together with tape. Thomas White is dealing with a shoulder thing, Robby Snelling and Adam Mazur are gone for months on UCL stuff, and the offense is essentially running without Griffin Conine in left.
Toronto's injury list is somehow worse. Berríos had full Tommy John plus a stress fracture repaired. Cease is playing light catch with a hamstring. Scherzer is doing live bullpens with a forearm. Alejandro Kirk hasn't even hit off a machine yet. The Jays are 26-29 anyway, which is honestly a minor miracle given the names on the shelf.
- Day-To-DayKemp Alderman (RF) — Triple-A Jacksonville placed Alderman on the 7-day injured list Tuesday due to a left wrist injury, Michael Germanese of Roundtable.io reports.05/25
- Day-To-DayThomas White (SP) — Marlins president of baseball operations Peter Bendix said Sunday that White is recovering from "a bit of a shoulder thing," Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.05/25
- 7-day ilLeo Jimenez (3B) — Jimenez will head to the IL after being removed from Tuesday's game against Atlanta, reports Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.05/21
- 10-Day-ILGriffin Conine (LF) — Conine will undergo a left hamstring tendon excision next week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.05/08
- OutJesus Tinoco (RP) — The Marlins re-signed Tinoco (elbow) to a minor-league contract Jan. 5.05/08
- 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
- 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
- Day-To-DayGeovanny Jesus Planchart (C) — no05/08
- Day-To-DayChay Yeager (RP) — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayCJ Stubbs (C) — The Blue Jays signed Stubbs to a minor-league contract Friday that includes an invitation to spring training.05/08
- Day-To-DayJaven Coleman (P) — no05/08
- 10-Day-ILAddison Barger (RF) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Wednesday that Barger (elbow) will resume throwing "probably tomorrow," Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
- 15-Day-ILDylan Cease (SP) — Cease (hamstring) was able to play light catch Tuesday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
- 15-Day-ILJoe Mantiply (RP) — Mantiply (knee) is expected to resume throwing within the next couple of days, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/25
- 15-Day-ILMax Scherzer (SP) — Scherzer (forearm) will throw a live bullpen session in Toronto on Wednesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/25
- 15-Day-ILJose Berrios (SP) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.05/20
- 15-Day-ILTommy Nance (RP) — Manager John Schneider said Tuesday that the outlook for Nance's forearm injury is a "best case" scenario, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.05/19
- developmental listFernando Perez (P)
- 15-Day-ILLazaro Estrada (RP) — The Blue Jays placed Estrada on the MLB 15-day injured list April 5 with a right shoulder impingement, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILAlejandro Kirk (C) — Kirk (thumb) is aiming to start hitting off a pitching machine this weekend and begin a rehab assignment by the start of the Blue Jays' June 5-14 homestand, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
- 60-Day-ILShane Bieber (SP) — Bieber (elbow) allowed three hits while striking out three batters across two scoreless innings in his rehab start Monday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League.05/25
- 60-Day-ILYimi Garcia (RP) — Manager John Schneider said Garcia (elbow) threw a bullpen session Friday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/22
- 60-Day-ILAnthony Santander (RF) — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILCody Ponce (SP) — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILBowden Francis (SP) — The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
The market sees this one cleanly: Toronto -147 at home with a 7.5 total and the public hammering the home spread (70% of bets, 92% of handle on Blue Jays -1.5). Pinnacle has the Jays implied at 58.3%, which feels about right when Gausman is the guy on the mound and the opposing rotation is on its fifth option. Pérez is the variance play — when he's on, he's a top-15 arm in the sport; when he's off, the Marlins lose 9-2.
Give me Gausman to do Gausman things — 6-plus innings, a handful of punchouts, splitter doing the heavy lifting — and Toronto takes the series. But Pérez's last start says he might be the one guy in this Miami rotation capable of stealing it back. Lean Jays, but not with both hands.