Barstool Bush
Predictions

Miami Marlins at Athletics

By Bush StaffUpdated 50d ago·2 min read
Miami MarlinsMIA(46-42)
AthleticsATH(41-46)
12—5
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIA
61000102212110
ATH
002300000591

Tyler Phillips (1-3, 3.02 ERA) draws Jack Perkins (2-3, 6.00 ERA) at 6:40 PM PT in West Sacramento, and the surface-level pitching gap is not subtle. Phillips just threw 7.1 innings of one-run ball against St. Louis and still took the loss because the Marlins' offense went silent behind him — if the bats show up tonight, he has the stuff to hold the A's in check. Perkins, meanwhile, spent time in the bullpen before this rotation stretch and his ERA reflects the transition.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Marlins(46-42)
LLWWL
12
Athletics(41-46)
WLLLL
5
Best BetMarlins +107
Pregame

The Marlins are getting plus money against a team sitting at 41-46 with a gutted lineup and a starter whose ERA is double Phillips'. That price implies roughly a coin flip — it is not. Miami has a real pitching edge and is facing an offense missing its DH, starting shortstop, a corner infielder, and a corner outfielder all at once. The number here is a gift for an above-.500 club.

Both starters are occupying rotation spots born out of injury necessity rather than plan. Phillips stepped in after Robby Snelling required UCL surgery, Adam Mazur landed on the 60-day IL with an elbow problem, and Ronny Henriquez followed. On the other side, Gunnar Hoglund is done for the year after hip surgery, and Luis Severino moved to the 60-day IL with a shoulder issue last month. Neither guy was the preseason Opening Day answer — they're filling gaps and making the most of it, with very different results so far.

Miami Marlins
Tyler Phillips
(2-4)·3.48 ERA
Jun 28 @ Cardinals
L
7.1IP
2ER
1K
0BB
97P
07/03 Lineup
Athletics
Jack Perkins
(2-5)·6.87 ERA
Jun 27 @ Angels
ND
5.0IP
2ER
5K
1BB
81P
07/03 Lineup
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(7)
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — The Marlins placed Bender on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right shin stress reaction.06/30
  • 15-Day-ILJanson Junk (SP) — Junk (shin) allowed one run over 2.2 innings in his first rehab start with Triple-A Jacksonville on Sunday before exiting after being struck on the left wrist by a comebacker, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILJosh Ekness (RP) — Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Monday that Ekness is expected to miss approximately six weeks due to a right calf strain, Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — The Marlins transferred Nardi (ribcage) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
Athletics
Athletics
(10)
  • PaternityJose Suarez (RP) — The Athletics placed Suarez on the paternity leave list Monday.06/29
  • 10-Day-ILBrent Rooker (DH) — Rooker will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a cartilage tear in his left knee, Jason Burke of Roundtable.io reports.07/01
  • 10-Day-ILTyler Soderstrom (LF) — Soderstrom (hip) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Angels.06/29
  • 10-Day-ILJacob Wilson (SS) — Wilson (shoulder) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Angels.06/29
  • 10-Day-ILZack Gelof (3B) — The Athletics placed Gelof on the 10-day injured list Thursday with a right hand contusion.06/25
  • 15-Day-ILMark Leiter Jr. (RP) — Leiter (hip) began a throwing progression Monday, MLB.com reports.06/24
  • 60-Day-ILDenzel Clarke (CF) — Clarke (hamstring) has started to play catch and has also begun a swinging progression, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILLuis Severino (SP) — The Athletics transferred Severino (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILBrooks Kriske (RP) — Kriske (shoulder) began a throwing progression Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund (SP) — Hoglund (knee/back) will be sidelined for the rest of the 2026 season after undergoing surgery on his left hip Monday.05/20

The position player damage hits the Athletics harder. Brent Rooker — who played all 162 games last season — just had season-ending surgery to repair cartilage in his left knee. He is joined on the shelf by Jacob Wilson (shoulder), Zack Gelof (right hand contusion), and Tyler Soderstrom (hip), leaving West Sacramento's lineup thin at multiple spots. Oakland snapped its 4-game skid Wednesday with a 7-1 win over the Dodgers — J.T. Ginn pitched 6 solid innings and Shea Langeliers, Jonah Heim, and Alika Williams all went deep — but that was a different pitcher's night. Perkins and his 6.00 ERA are the story Friday.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(46-42)
Jul 2L@ Rockies4-14
Jul 2L@ Rockies3-6
Jul 1W@ Rockies14-3
Jun 30W@ Rockies10-7
Jun 28L@ Cardinals1-2
Athletics
Athletics
(41-46)
Jul 2Wvs Dodgers7-1
Jul 1Lvs Dodgers3-9
Jun 30Lvs Dodgers4-9
Jun 28L@ Angels1-4
Jun 28L@ Angels2-5

The Marlins at 46-42 have a good-enough record but the Colorado series laid out their inconsistency in plain sight: they won the first 2 games 10-7 and 14-3, then lost the next 2 by scores of 3-6 and 4-14. The offensive ceiling is real. The floor is just as real. Miami's bullpen depth is a legitimate concern — Bender, Ekness, Nardi, and Henriquez are all unavailable — which means Phillips needs to go deep if this game is going to stay clean. On the plus side, he has shown he can do exactly that.

Sources

MLBMiami MarlinsAthleticsPolymarketKalshiTyler PhillipsJack Perkins