Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	7	2
MIA	0	2	0	4	0	0	2	0	—	8	12	2

First pitch went at 6:40 PM ET with Bryce Miller and his 2.18 ERA on the mound for a Mariners club that desperately needed a stopper, going up against Janson Junk, who hadn't started a game since May 25. That gap alone made this a lopsided pitching matchup on paper, and it played out that way.

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FINAL

Spread

ML

Total

Mariners(47-46)

LLWWL

4

-1.5+138-120o7.5-127

Marlins(51-42)

WWWWW

8

+1.5-138+117u7.5+122

Best BetMarlins +114

Postgame

Cashed clean — Miami's bullpen strength carried the day exactly as the bull case argued, winning 8-4.

Pregame

We backed the Marlins on the moneyline at +117 before first pitch, and Miami's bullpen depth was the difference-maker again. The market had been shading toward Seattle late, with the Mariners' price shortening from -144 to -123, but that move undersold just how well Miami's staff has pitched during this stretch. Getting plus-money on a team playing this complete was the right side.

Seattle came in still holding the AL West lead at 47-46, but the last week has been a gut check. Julio Rodriguez is out on the concussion IL after getting hit by a relay throw, and Brendan Donovan, Rob Refsnyder and Will Wilson are all working their way back from injury too. That's a lot of lineup to replace on the fly, and it showed against a Marlins staff that's quietly been one of the best in baseball since June.

Bryce Miller

(4-4)·2.27 ERA

Jul 2 vs Angels

W

7.0IP

0ER

8K

0BB

90P

07/09 Lineup

Janson Junk

(4-6)·5.09 ERA

May 25 @ Blue Jays

W

5.0IP

1ER

3K

0BB

93P

07/09 Lineup

Miami's turned into the hottest team in the league, and this series was just the latest example. The Marlins are within a game of the Cubs and Phillies in the NL Wild Card chase, and pitchers like closer Pete Fairbanks have been lights-out down the stretch of games. Losing Owen Caissie and John King to the IL on the same day barely slowed them down.

The Marlins' offense did the rest. Kyle Stowers has been a problem all series, Otto Lopez keeps racking up multi-hit games, and this lineup has been finding ways to put crooked numbers on the board against a Mariners pitching staff that just couldn't slow it down. Seattle got some offense of its own late, but it was too little against a team playing this well.

Seattle Mariners

(8)

• 7-Day ILJulio Rodriguez (CF) — The Mariners placed Rodriguez (concussion) on the 7-day injured list Friday.07/03
• 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B) — Donovan (groin) will work out Wednesday for a second straight day at the Mariners' spring training complex before starting a rehab assignment later this week, assuming all goes well, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.07/08
• 10-Day-ILRob Refsnyder (DH) — The Mariners placed Refsnyder (knees) on the 10-day injured list Monday, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.06/29
• 15-Day-ILMatt Brash (RP) — General manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Brash was diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain in his right lat, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.06/16
• 60-Day-ILCooper Criswell (RP) — Seattle transferred Criswell (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Friday.07/04
• 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP) — Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Vargas (lat) recently began a throwing program and could be ready to return from the 60-day injured list around the Aug. 3 trade deadline, Zac Hereth of 710 AM Seattle Sports reports.06/17
• 60-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B) — Wilson (thumb) has gone 3-for-9 with two RBI and a 1:2 BB:K in his first three rehab games between High-A Everett and Triple-A Tacoma.06/17
• 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP) — The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08

Miami Marlins

(8)

• 10-Day-ILOwen Caissie (RF) — Caissie was diagnosed with a mild right calf strain Thursday, Craig Mish of FanDuel Sports Network Florida reports.07/09
• 15-Day-ILJohn King (RP) — The Marlins placed King on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a left lateral ankle sprain.07/09
• 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — The Marlins placed Bender on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right shin stress reaction.06/30
• 60-Day-ILJosh Ekness (RP) — Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Monday that Ekness is expected to miss approximately six weeks due to a right calf strain, Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.06/21
• 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — The Marlins transferred Nardi (ribcage) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
• 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
• 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
• 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08

Seattle leaves Miami having dropped all 3 games of this set, a rough finish to a stretch that started with a series win over Toronto. The Mariners still have the division cushion, but the absences are piling up and this sweep is the kind of thing that lingers. Miami, meanwhile, just keeps rolling and doesn't look like it's slowing down anytime soon.

Seattle Mariners

(47-46)

Jul 8L@ Marlins0-2

Jul 7L@ Marlins5-6

Jul 5Wvs Blue Jays4-0

Jul 4Wvs Blue Jays11-0

Jul 4Lvs Blue Jays0-2

Miami Marlins

(51-42)

Jul 8Wvs Mariners2-0

Jul 7Wvs Mariners6-5

Jul 5W@ Athletics9-8

Jul 5W@ Athletics7-2

Jul 4W@ Athletics12-5