Barstool Bush
Predictions

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers

By Bush StaffUpdated 23d ago·2 min read
Seattle MarinersSEA(53-56)
Los Angeles DodgersLAD(68-40)
2—6
FINAL
123456789RHE
SEA
000002000280
LAD
20030100—681

Seattle's had the Dodgers' number for exactly one night this series, and it's the kind of thing that can flip a road trip from forgettable to fun. Bryan Woo takes the ball for the Mariners at 7:10 PM PT looking to erase a rough last outing, while Roki Sasaki gets the ball for LA trying to keep his post-All-Star-break run going.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Mariners(53-56)
LWLWL
2
Dodgers(68-40)
WLLWW
6
Best BetDodgers -160
Pregame

Sasaki's been the best version of himself since the break, and that's the deciding factor against a Mariners team still hunting consistency at 53-56. The price reflects a real gap in roster depth even with LA's rotation banged up. Back the Dodgers here.

Sasaki's been the version of himself the Dodgers paid for lately, and the lineup behind him hasn't needed much from its beat-up rotation to win series after series. Seattle's bullpen, meanwhile, is running on fumes with multiple key arms shelved for the year, which puts even more pressure on Woo to go deep and keep the game manageable.

Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
(8-8)·4.15 ERA
Jul 25 @ Rangers
L
5.0IP
5ER
5K
2BB
95P
07/30 Lineup
Los Angeles Dodgers
Roki Sasaki
(5-5)·4.54 ERA
Jul 24 @ Mets
W
7.0IP
1ER
9K
2BB
94P
07/30 Lineup

None of that stops this from being a live number on the board. The Mariners have shown flashes of being a pain in LA's side all series, and a shorthanded Dodgers pitching staff means the door's never fully closed, even against the best record in the sport.

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(53-56)
Jul 30L@ Dodgers2-4
Jul 29W@ Dodgers7-6
Jul 27L@ Rangers3-7
Jul 26W@ Rangers6-4
Jul 25L@ Rangers1-7
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
(68-40)
Jul 30Wvs Mariners4-2
Jul 29Lvs Mariners6-7
Jul 26L@ Mets3-8
Jul 25W@ Mets4-3
Jul 24W@ Mets4-2

Seattle sits at 53-56 and hasn't found consistency in weeks, dropping 3 of its last 5 with Woo's last start a genuine clunker: 5 innings, 9 hits, 5 earned runs in a loss to Texas. The offense has shown life in flashes, including a 7-6 comeback over the Dodgers on Wednesday, but relying on shootouts against a team this deep isn't a recipe built to last.

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(6)
  • 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B) — Donovan (groin) will shift his rehab assignment to Triple-A Tacoma on Friday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.07/17
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Brash (RP) — General manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Brash was diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain in his right lat, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILCooper Criswell (RP) — Seattle transferred Criswell (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Friday.07/04
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP) — Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Vargas (lat) recently began a throwing program and could be ready to return from the 60-day injured list around the Aug. 3 trade deadline, Zac Hereth of 710 AM Seattle Sports reports.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B) — Wilson (thumb) has gone 3-for-9 with two RBI and a 1:2 BB:K in his first three rehab games between High-A Everett and Triple-A Tacoma.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP) — The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
(9)
  • 15-Day-ILBlake Treinen (RP) — Treinen (elbow) will face live hitters Wednesday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.07/29
  • 60-Day-ILTyler Glasnow (SP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters that Glasnow (back) will begin a rehab assignment after Wednesday's live bullpen session, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.07/29
  • 60-Day-ILWill Smith (C) — Smith (neck) is pain-free after resuming baseball activities, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.07/28
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Snell (SP) — Snell (elbow) will be re-evaluated after Wednesday's rehab start with Triple-A Oklahoma City to determine whether he's ready to rejoin the Dodgers' rotation next week, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.07/27
  • 60-Day-ILBobby Miller (SP) — Miller (shoulder/back) will resume throwing off the mound this week, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILGavin Stone (SP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed Tuesday that Stone has been unable to ramp up his throwing without feeling soreness in his surgically repaired right shoulder, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol (RP) — Graterol (shoulder) underwent surgery recently for a back injury he suffered while on a rehab assignment, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILBen Casparius (RP) — Casparius (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILJake Cousins (RP) — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/08

The injury report cuts both ways here. The Dodgers are still missing Tyler Glasnow, Blake Snell and catcher Will Smith, and their bullpen has been picked apart by long-term absences too, but the position-player group and lineup depth have been enough to cover for it, evidenced by a 68-40 record that's tops in the league. Seattle's issues are more acute: with Matt Brash, Carlos Vargas and Cooper Criswell all out, GM Justin Hollander is running out of internal options days before the Aug. 3 trade deadline, and that bullpen thinness is exactly the kind of thing that turns a close game late into a laugher.

Sasaki's trending the right way and the Dodgers have the deeper roster even without some of their marquee arms. Seattle's counting on Woo bouncing back and its lineup staying hot enough to make this one more of a fight than a formality.

Sources

MLBSeattle MarinersLos Angeles DodgersPolymarketKalshiBryan WooRoki Sasaki