Aaron Civale, meanwhile, is exactly what the A's signed him to be in February. 5-1, 3.31 ERA, eats 5-plus every fifth day, doesn't beat himself. His last time out he went 5 scoreless against Kansas City. The Athletics paid $6 million for stability and they're getting it.
Seattle's lineup is also down its biggest bat. Cal Raleigh is on the IL with an oblique and got shut down for a week before re-evaluation, which means the M's are running out a depleted offense that already ranks 29th in batting average. Brendan Donovan is out too. You can see why Pinnacle has the Mariners as the underdog despite being the road favorite-by-pitching-name on paper — the market isn't buying Castillo.
- Day-To-DayTeddy McGraw (SP) — McGraw is working his way back from right elbow issues, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.05/08
- 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B) — Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Sunday that Donovan will receive a platelet-rich plasma injection for his strained left groin as well as his adductor and is expected to resume baseball activity in 2-to-3 weeks, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.05/18
- 10-Day-ILCal Raleigh (C) — The Mariners will shut Raleigh (oblique) down for a week before re-evaluating him, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.05/16
- 10-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B) — The Mariners placed Wilson on the 10-day injured list Saturday due to a fractured left thumb.05/08
- 15-Day-ILGabe Speier (RP) — Speier (shoulder) began a rehab assignment with High-A Everett on Wednesday, allowing three runs on three hits, including two home runs, over one inning. He struck out two.05/21
- 60-Day-ILMiles Mastrobuoni (3B) — Seattle transferred Mastrobuoni (calf) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP) — The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP) — Vargas (lat) has suffered a setback in his recovery, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.05/08
- Day-To-DayWei-En Lin (P) — Double-A Midland placed Lin on the 7-day injured list May 13 with a left quad strain.05/18
- 10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke (CF) — The Athletics returned Clarke (foot) from his rehab assignment Thursday after he suffered a left hamstring strain while playing in a rehab game at Triple-A Las Vegas on Tuesday.05/21
- 10-Day-ILJacob Wilson (SS) — Wilson (shoulder) remains in the strengthening and stabilization portion of his rehab, Jason Burke of SI.com reports.05/18
- 10-Day-ILMax Muncy (3B) — Muncy (hand) has begun a swinging progression, Jason Burke of SI.com reports.05/18
- 15-Day-ILBrooks Kriske (RP) — Kriske (shoulder) will be shut down from throwing for at least three weeks, Jason Burke of SI.com reports.05/18
- 60-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund (SP) — Hoglund (knee/back) will be sidelined for the rest of the 2026 season after undergoing surgery on his left hip Monday.05/20
The A's aren't fully healthy either — Jacob Wilson at short and Max Muncy at third are both still working back — but at home, with Civale on the mound and Castillo on the ropes, they're the side the number likes.
Total sits at 10.5, which feels generous given Civale's profile and the state of Seattle's bats. If Castillo gets chased in the 4th, sure. If he gives them 5 like he did in Houston last week, this thing scrapes the under. The pick on the board is the home team and a lean to the under.