Barstool Bush
Predictions

Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers

By Bush StaffUpdated 67d ago·2 min read
Cleveland GuardiansCLE(39-33)
Milwaukee BrewersMIL(43-26)
1—2
FINAL
123456789RHE
CLE
000000100141
MIL
00010010—241

Slade Cecconi (3-5, 4.83) gets the ball for Cleveland against Robert Gasser (0-3, 6.38) at 6:40 PM CT. Cecconi was actually sharp last time out — 5 innings, 2 earned, 7 punchies against the Yankees — while Gasser got beat up by the Athletics for 6 earned in 5 on June 9. Two pitchers headed in opposite directions, which is the whole subplot here.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Guardians(39-33)
PWWLL
1
Brewers(43-26)
WLWLL
2
Best BetBrewers -154
Pregame

Milwaukee is priced around -146 and the implied 58% feels light when you stack a top-3 offense against the No. 26 offense missing its best hitter. Cecconi's last start was good, but Gasser at home in front of a contender's lineup is the cleaner side. Lay the Brewers.

The bigger story is what Cleveland is missing. Jose Ramirez landed on the 10-day IL over the weekend with a left hamate fracture, and the Guardians lineup that already ranks 26th in MLB at 4 runs per game now has to function without the one bat that scares anybody. Angel Martinez (foot) and Chase DeLauter (ribs) are also banged up, so the bottom of the order gets even thinner.

Cleveland Guardians
Slade Cecconi
(4-6)·4.18 ERA
Jun 9 vs Yankees
ND
5.0IP
2ER
7K
2BB
87P
06/16 Lineup
Milwaukee Brewers
Robert Gasser
(1-3)·4.54 ERA
Jun 9 @ Athletics
L
5.0IP
6ER
7K
2BB
93P
06/16 Lineup
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
(5)
  • Day-To-DayAngel Martinez (LF) — Martinez (foot) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Tigers, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/14
  • Day-To-DayChase DeLauter (RF) — DeLauter (ribs) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Tigers, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/14
  • Day-To-DayCarlos Hernandez (RP) — Hernandez (shoulder) began his rehab assignment with Triple-A Omaha on Friday.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJose Ramirez (3B) — Cleveland announced Saturday that Ramirez has a left hamate bone fracture, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/14
  • 15-Day-ILErik Sabrowski (RP) — Sabrowski (elbow) joined High-A Lake County on Sunday to begin a rehab assignment, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/15
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(11)
  • 10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge (LF) — Lockridge received a platelet-rich plasma injection in his right knee Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILColeman Crow (SP) — Crow said Sunday that an MRI on his right forearm revealed a mild flexor strain, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILDL Hall (RP) — Hall received an anti-inflammatory injection for his left pectoral strain Friday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP) — Woodruff (shoulder) is expected to make another minor-league rehab start Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILJared Koenig (RP) — Koenig (elbow) transferred his rehab assignment to Triple-A Nashville on Tuesday and could be activated from the injured list in about a week, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCarlos Rodriguez (RP) — The Brewers placed Rodriguez on the 15-day injured list Monday due to a right shoulder impingement, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILLogan Henderson (SP) — Henderson received an injection in his back Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP) — The Brewers reinstated Zastrzyny (shoulder/ribs) from the 60-day injured list Sunday.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP) — The Brewers returned Priester (shoulder) from his rehab assignment at the Arizona Complex League on Thursday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP) — Fitzpatrick (elbow) has been diagnosed with a left UCL strain and will get a second opinion to determine if he needs Tommy John surgery, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31

Milwaukee, meanwhile, is rolling. The Brewers are 43-26, up 5 games in the NL Central, and just finished off Philadelphia with a 4-0 shutout on Sunday. The offense is averaging 5.4 runs per game — third in the sport — which is a brutal matchup for a Guardians team that scored a combined 0 runs in their last game against Detroit (a tied suspended game) and has been grinding out 2s and 3s for weeks.

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
(39-33)
Jun 14Pvs Tigers0-0
Jun 13Wvs Tigers3-1
Jun 12Wvs Tigers3-2
Jun 10Lvs Yankees4-8
Jun 9Lvs Yankees2-3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(43-26)
Jun 14Wvs Phillies4-0
Jun 13Lvs Phillies8-9
Jun 12Wvs Phillies6-0
Jun 11L@ Athletics3-4
Jun 10L@ Athletics5-7

The Brewers rotation has been held together with duct tape — Coleman Crow just hit the 15-day IL with a flexor strain, Brandon Woodruff is still on a rehab tour, Quinn Priester is on the 60-day, and the bullpen has lost DL Hall, Jared Koenig, and Brian Fitzpatrick. Gasser getting another shot is partly a vote of confidence and partly necessity. The Cleveland lineup without Ramirez is exactly the kind of group a struggling lefty can navigate, which is why this one isn't the lock the records suggest.

Cleveland needs Cecconi to do what he did against New York — pitch into the 6th, keep them in it, and hope someone in the middle of the order has a moment. Milwaukee just needs to be Milwaukee. The series opener tips a three-gamer at American Family Field.

Sources

MLBCleveland GuardiansMilwaukee BrewersPolymarketKalshiSlade CecconiRobert Gasser