The pitching ledger is brutal on paper. Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Adrian Houser is the kind of mismatch oddsmakers usually price into oblivion. Houser is 0-4 with a 6.19 ERA and the Giants have lost 6 of his 7 starts. The one sliver of hope: his last outing was his best of the year — 6 innings, 2 runs (1 earned) against the Padres. If that version shows up in Los Angeles, this gets interesting.
Yamamoto's line looks clean — 3-2, 3.09 — but the Giants have actually solved him recently. On April 21 in San Francisco, he gave up 3 runs in the first inning and took the loss. He has now allowed exactly 3 runs in each of his last 3 starts with 7 walks mixed in. He has also coughed up 6 runs across his last 7 first innings. If the Giants get to him early, the formula is already written.
The market still trusts LA — a -290 Pinnacle moneyline reflects that — but DraftKings has the Dodgers at -192, and the public is hammering them at 85% of bets. The model flags the Giants moneyline at +257 as the value play, which fits the vibe: a banged-up Dodgers rotation, a bullpen leaking arms, and a Giants club that just embarrassed them at home.
- 10-Day-ILDaniel Susac (C) — Susac (elbow) went 2-for-4 in Triple-A Sacramento's 2-1 loss to Reno on Friday.05/10
- 15-Day-ILErik Miller (RP) — Miller (back) yielded one hit and struck out one over a scoreless frame in his first rehab appearance with Triple-A Sacramento on Sunday.05/11
- 15-Day-ILLogan Webb (SP) — The Giants placed Webb on the 15-day injured list Saturday due to right knee bursitis, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.05/09
- 60-Day-ILJason Foley (RP) — Foley (shoulder) will make his next rehab appearance for Triple-A Sacramento, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.05/11
- 60-Day-ILJared Oliva (CF) — The Giants transferred Oliva (wrist) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP) — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP) — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILReiver Sanmartin (RP) — The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP) — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP) — The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
- 15-Day-ILBen Casparius (RP) — Casparius (shoulder) has been throwing at the Dodgers' complex in Arizona, per MLB.com.05/10
- 15-Day-ILBrock Stewart (RP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters Saturday that he expects Stewart (foot) will be on the 15-day injured list for approximately three weeks, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/10
- 15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow (SP) — no05/09
- 15-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol (RP) — Graterol (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday, Triple-A Oklahoma City broadcaster Alex Freedman reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILEdwin Diaz (RP) — no05/10
- 60-Day-ILTommy Edman (2B) — The Dodgers transferred Edman (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.05/09
- 60-Day-ILLandon Knack (SP) — The Dodgers transferred Knack (chest) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
- 60-Day-ILEvan Phillips (RP) — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.05/08
- 60-Day-ILGavin Stone (SP) — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.05/08
- 60-Day-ILJake Cousins (RP) — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILEnrique Hernandez (1B) — Hernandez (elbow) will kick of a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
- 60-Day-ILBobby Miller (SP) — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
The injury list is the real subplot. The Giants are without Logan Webb (knee), which is why Houser is even on a mound this important. The Dodgers are missing Tyler Glasnow, Tommy Edman, Edwin Diaz, Brusdar Graterol, Enrique Hernandez and a small bullpen graveyard. Both teams are running on fumes; the question tonight is who hides it better for 9 innings.