Barstool Bush
Predictions

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

By Bush StaffUpdated 52d ago·2 min read
San Francisco GiantsSF(35-50)
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(43-42)
6—4
FINAL
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SF
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ARI
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Wednesday's finale at Chase Field features Zac Gallen (3-7, 6.15 ERA) against Trevor McDonald (2-6, 4.94 ERA) at 6:40 PM MT. Neither guy comes in throwing darts. Gallen's issues run deeper than a rough stretch: his pitch tunneling has broken down, opposing hitters have learned to lay off his breaking ball, and his whiff rate is at the lowest clip of his career. McDonald is a 25-year-old righty still finding consistency at this level — his last outing was 5.1 innings, 7 hits, 3 earned runs, and 90 pitches against Atlanta to get the loss.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Giants(35-50)
LLWWL
6
Diamondbacks(43-42)
WWLLL
4
Best BetDiamondbacks -121
Pregame

Arizona opened as modest favorites and the price reflects a real game, but San Francisco shows up with Chapman hurt and Adames questionable, behind a starter who hasn't strung together consistent outings all year. The D-backs have beaten this Giants rotation twice already this series and have momentum at home. Back Arizona to get the win.

The Giants' injury situation makes an already uphill climb steeper. Matt Chapman left Tuesday's 8-2 loss in the sixth inning after making a barehand play and walking off in obvious pain — he had charged in on a grounder, threw out Gabriel Moreno at first, and immediately showed he was hurting. He's got an abdominal strain that had apparently been nagging for weeks and is scheduled for an MRI Wednesday. Willy Adames was already out of Tuesday's lineup with a back issue. San Francisco heads into a series finale with two of its key infield pieces compromised.

San Francisco Giants
Trevor McDonald
(3-7)·5.02 ERA
Jun 26 vs Braves
L
5.1IP
3ER
3K
1BB
90P
07/01 Lineup
Arizona Diamondbacks
Zac Gallen
(3-9)·6.34 ERA
Jun 26 @ Rays
L
6.2IP
5ER
0K
2BB
86P
07/01 Lineup
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(35-50)
Jul 1L@ Diamondbacks2-8
Jun 30L@ Diamondbacks4-5
Jun 28Wvs Braves3-2
Jun 28Wvs Braves5-0
Jun 27Lvs Braves1-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(43-42)
Jul 1Wvs Giants8-2
Jun 30Wvs Giants5-4
Jun 28L@ Rays1-5
Jun 27L@ Rays2-4
Jun 26L@ Rays1-6

Arizona came into this series reeling after getting swept by Tampa Bay — losing by scores of 1-6, 2-4, and 1-5 over 3 games in Florida. The Giants walking into Chase Field has fixed all of that. A 5-4 win Monday and an 8-2 blowout Tuesday gave the D-backs their footing back, and the offense has done damage both nights against a rotation that gives up opportunities. McDonald's command has been inconsistent enough that if Arizona's lineup gets him in a groove early, this game can get out of hand quickly.

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(11)
  • Day-To-DayMatt Chapman (3B) — Chapman was diagnosed with an abdominal muscle strain following his removal from Tuesday's game against the Diamondbacks, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.07/01
  • Day-To-DayWilly Adames (SS) — Adames (back) is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Diamondbacks.06/30
  • 10-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF) — Bader (foot) will start his hitting and throwing progressions later this week, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.06/29
  • 10-Day-ILDaniel Susac (C) — The Giants placed Susac on the 10-day injured list Friday with a lower-back strain, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.06/26
  • 15-Day-ILKeaton Winn (RP) — Winn (elbow) completed a 25-pitch bullpen Monday, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILJoel Peguero (RP) — Peguero (hamstring) threw 30 pitches during a bullpen session Monday, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILJason Foley (RP) — Foley (shoulder) struck out two over a scoreless inning in a rehab appearance with Triple-A Sacramento on Friday.06/15
  • 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP) — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP) — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP) — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP) — The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(13)
  • Day-To-DayDerek Law (RP) — no05/21
  • Day-To-DayKyle Amendt (RP) — Amendt was invited to major-league spring training by the Diamondbacks, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJordan Lawlar (LF) — Manager Torey Lovullo said June 20 that Lawlar will receive further imaging on his strained right hamstring during the All-Star break to gauge his healing, Steve Gilbert MLB.com reports.06/30
  • 10-Day-ILJames McCann (C) — McCann (quadriceps) will start playing games in the Arizona Complex League next week, MLB.com reports.06/27
  • 15-Day-ILMichael Soroka (SP) — Soroka (glute) is expected to begin throwing bullpen sessions twice weekly starting Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/27
  • developmental listJuan Centeno (C) — The Diamondbacks re-assigned Centeno to minor-league camp Friday.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILCorbin Burnes (SP) — Burnes (elbow) is expected to be re-evaluated during the first or second week of July, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILRyne Nelson (SP) — The Diamondbacks transferred Nelson (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Puk (RP) — Arizona is shutting down Puk (elbow) for another four weeks due to a capsule strain and he will also undergo another MRI in four weeks, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Mena (RP) — Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Walston (SP) — Walston (elbow) paused his rehab program earlier in the season, but he was expected to start building back up around the middle of May, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Martinez (RP) — Martinez (elbow) tossed a bullpen session Friday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/09
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Saalfrank (RP) — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.05/08

San Francisco's season has been a prolonged disappointment. The front office built an expensive infield around Devers, Adames, and Chapman expecting to contend, and the result is 35 wins in 85 games. The bullpen has been gutted by injuries all year — 5 relievers currently on the IL — and road games against teams playing anything close to functional baseball have been brutal. Arizona at 43-42 is not a world-beater, but they are healthy enough, at home, and playing a team that cannot get out of its own way. Gallen is an active liability on the mound, but the Giants are handing him a lineup that's short its best pieces.

Sources

MLBSan Francisco GiantsArizona DiamondbacksPolymarketKalshiTrevor McDonaldZac Gallen