Barstool Bush
Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

By Bush StaffUpdated 79d ago·2 min read
Los Angeles DodgersLAD(40-22)
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(32-29)
2—3
FINAL
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LAD
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ARI
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First pitch is 8:40 PM CT at Chase Field, and the matchup on the bump tilts hard toward the visitors. Justin Wrobleski (7-2, 2.87) just spun 7 innings of 1-hit, 9-K ball against the Phillies on May 29 — a career-high in strikeouts and the kind of outing that's locked him into this rotation. Ryne Nelson (2-4, 4.82) draws the short straw after Seattle tagged him for 4 earned over 5.1 last week.

Los Angeles Dodgers
Justin Wrobleski
(8-2)·2.72 ERA
May 29 vs Phillies
W
7.0IP
1ER
9K
0BB
88P
06/04 Lineup
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson
(3-5)·4.97 ERA
May 30 @ Mariners
L
5.1IP
4ER
3K
0BB
99P
06/04 Lineup

This is the finale of a 4-game set the Dodgers now lead 2-1 after pasting Arizona 7-0 on Wednesday. LA's 40-22 and looks like LA again. Arizona's 32-29 and looks like a team that just had its rotation gutted — manager Torey Lovullo confirmed Wednesday that Corbin Burnes has been shut down with a teres major strain on top of the elbow stuff, per Bob Nightengale. That is brutal news for a club already short on pitching.

Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
(15)
  • 10-Day-ILTeoscar Hernandez (LF) — Hernandez (hamstring) said Saturday that he expects to return from the injured list in about a month, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.05/30
  • 10-Day-ILEnrique Hernandez (1B) — Hernandez is expected to be out for 6-to-8 weeks after sustaining a "significant tear" of his left oblique during Tuesday's 15-6 win over the Rockies, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/28
  • 15-Day-ILBrock Stewart (RP) — Stewart faced live hitters early this past week but is still experiencing discomfort in his left foot, MLB.com reports.05/31
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow (SP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts relayed Saturday that Glasnow (back) "hasn't gotten over the hump" to increase his throwing progression beyond playing catch, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/30
  • OutKendall George (CF) — George is slashing .295/.409/.370 with three home runs, 100 steals, a 16.3 percent walk rate and a 15.2 percent strikeout rate in 111 games for High-A Great Lakes.05/28
  • 60-Day-ILBobby Miller (SP) — Miller (shoulder/back) will resume throwing off the mound this week, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILGavin Stone (SP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed Tuesday that Stone has been unable to ramp up his throwing without feeling soreness in his surgically repaired right shoulder, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol (RP) — Graterol (shoulder) underwent surgery recently for a back injury he suffered while on a rehab assignment, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILTommy Edman (2B) — Through three rehab games with Triple-A Oklahoma City, Edman (ankle) has gone 4-for-9 with two runs and a 1:3 BB:K.05/31
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Snell (SP) — Snell (elbow) will undergo the same "nano scope" procedure Tuesday that Tarik Skubal had earlier in May, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports.05/30
  • 60-Day-ILEvan Phillips (RP) — Phillips (elbow) is facing hitters Tuesday for the first time since undergoing Tommy John surgery, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILEdwin Diaz (RP) — Diaz (elbow) is expected to start a throwing progression Tuesday or Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILBen Casparius (RP) — Casparius (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILLandon Knack (SP) — The Dodgers transferred Knack (chest) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJake Cousins (RP) — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/08
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(15)
  • Day-To-DayKetel Marte (2B) — Marte is out of the lineup for Wednesday's matchup against the Dodgers, reports John Gambadoro of Arizona Sports 98.7 FM.06/03
  • Day-To-DaySpencer Giesting (SP)
  • Day-To-DayA.J. Vukovich (CF) — no05/25
  • Day-To-DayDerek Law (RP) — no05/21
  • Day-To-DayKyle Amendt (RP) — Amendt was invited to major-league spring training by the Diamondbacks, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJames McCann (C) — McCann (quad) has started taking machine batting practice and doing catching drills, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.06/03
  • 10-Day-ILLourdes Gurriel Jr. (LF) — Gurriel (hamstring) appears on track to begin a rehab assignment in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League as soon as next Monday, MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILCorbin Burnes (SP) — Manager Torey Lovullo said Wednesday that Burnes (elbow) has been shut down from throwing after suffering a teres major strain, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar (LF) — Lawlar (wrist) could move his rehab to Triple-A Reno by the end of the week, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Puk (RP) — Puk (elbow) allowed one hit and struck out one over a scoreless inning in a rehab appearance for Triple-A Reno on Tuesday.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Mena (RP) — Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Santana (1B) — Santana suffered a setback with his right adductor strain Sunday while on a rehab assignment with Triple-A Reno, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Walston (SP) — Walston (elbow) paused his rehab program earlier in the season, but he was expected to start building back up around the middle of May, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Martinez (RP) — Martinez (elbow) tossed a bullpen session Friday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/09
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Saalfrank (RP) — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.05/08

Ketel Marte sat out Wednesday's blowout and is still day-to-day, which is the worst kind of news for a lineup that was already missing Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Jordan Lawlar. The Dodgers aren't exactly healthy themselves — Glasnow, Snell, Edman, Teoscar, and Kike Hernandez are all on the shelf — but when your 7-2, sub-3 ERA lefty is the next man up, the depth chart isn't really a problem.

Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
(40-22)
Jun 4W@ Diamondbacks7-0
Jun 3W@ Diamondbacks6-5
Jun 2L@ Diamondbacks1-4
May 31Wvs Phillies9-1
May 31Lvs Phillies3-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(32-29)
Jun 4Lvs Dodgers0-7
Jun 3Lvs Dodgers5-6
Jun 2Wvs Dodgers4-1
May 31L@ Mariners2-3
May 31L@ Mariners1-5

The market sees it the same way. Pinnacle has the Dodgers at -133 on the moneyline, -1.5 at +117, with a total of 9.5. That's a fair price for a team that just outscored Arizona 13-5 over the last 2 nights and is trotting out the better starter by a country mile. Nelson has been hittable when he doesn't miss bats — only 3 Ks in his last start — and the Dodgers' lineup, even short-handed, doesn't miss many cookies.

The path for Arizona is pretty narrow: get to Wrobleski early before he settles in, hope the bullpen holds, and pray Marte is somehow available off the bench. Anything less and this is a series loss at home to a Dodgers club that's quietly stacking wins again. Take the under a long look — 9.5 with Wrobleski on the mound feels generous if he's anywhere near his May form.

Sources

MLBLos Angeles DodgersArizona DiamondbacksPolymarketKalshiJustin WrobleskiRyne Nelson