Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

By Bush StaffUpdated 46d ago·2 min read
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(45-45)
San Diego PadresSD(44-46)
14
FINAL
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ARI
100000000151
SD
40000000461

Zac Gallen (3-8, 6.36 ERA) gets the ball for Arizona, and it's been a brutal season for a guy who was a Cy Young contender not long ago. German Marquez (3-2, 5.79 ERA) counters for San Diego off a last start that saw him give up 7 earned runs in 5 innings against the White Sox. Neither arm inspires much confidence walking into this one.

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FINAL
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ML
Total
Diamondbacks(45-45)
WLWLL
1
Padres(44-46)
LWLLL
4
Best BetDiamondbacks +106
Pregame

Arizona comes in as the moneyline underdog on the board, but that price looks generous against a Padres team that just got shut out by this exact opponent and whose top hitters have gone cold for weeks. San Diego's rotation is so thin that Marquez is essentially a fill-in, which evens out Gallen's own ugly numbers. Take the plus-money and bank on Arizona's deadline-buyer urgency showing up again.

The bigger story is what's happening around these pitchers. Arizona's rotation has been gutted, with Corbin Burnes, Michael Soroka, Ryne Nelson and Blake Walston all on the shelf, forcing Gallen to soak up innings he probably shouldn't be trusted with. San Diego's situation might be worse: Randy Vasquez, Lucas Giolito, Nick Pivetta, Matt Waldron and Joe Musgrove are all out, and first-year manager Craig Stammen is scraping together a staff on the fly while an overworked bullpen tries to hold the line.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Zac Gallen
(3-9)·6.34 ERA
Jul 1 vs Giants
L
5.2IP
6ER
4K
1BB
95P
07/07 Lineup
San Diego Padres
Germán Márquez
(4-2)·5.24 ERA
May 1 vs White Sox
L
5.0IP
7ER
2K
5BB
95P
07/07 Lineup

San Diego's lineup hasn't picked up the slack either. The Padres just got shut out 8-0 by Arizona, and their supposed core of Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill has been quietly awful for weeks. That's a rough combination with a rotation in tatters, and it's part of why the market has shifted this hard toward Arizona despite the Diamondbacks sitting at .500 themselves.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(45-45)
Jul 7W@ Padres8-0
Jul 5Lvs Brewers2-3
Jul 5Wvs Brewers4-3
Jul 4Lvs Brewers4-7
Jul 2Lvs Giants4-6
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(44-46)
Jul 7Lvs Diamondbacks0-8
Jul 5W@ Dodgers5-2
Jul 5L@ Dodgers0-3
Jul 4L@ Dodgers3-4
Jul 3L@ Dodgers7-12

Arizona isn't exactly rolling — 2 losses in its last 5 before Tuesday's blowout — but the front office has made clear it's buying at the deadline, not selling, and that mindset matters in a game like this. San Diego, meanwhile, is trying to avoid a crisis. Craig Stammen inherited a team that was flirting with a franchise-worst losing streak just days ago, and the fanbase's patience with a mercurial front office is wearing thin.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(9)
  • 10-Day-ILJordan Lawlar (LF)Manager Torey Lovullo said June 20 that Lawlar will receive further imaging on his strained right hamstring during the All-Star break to gauge his healing, Steve Gilbert MLB.com reports.06/30
  • 15-Day-ILMichael Soroka (SP)Soroka (glute) is expected to begin throwing bullpen sessions twice weekly starting Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/27
  • 60-Day-ILCorbin Burnes (SP)Burnes (elbow) is expected to be re-evaluated during the first or second week of July, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILRyne Nelson (SP)The Diamondbacks transferred Nelson (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Puk (RP)Arizona is shutting down Puk (elbow) for another four weeks due to a capsule strain and he will also undergo another MRI in four weeks, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Mena (RP)Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Walston (SP)Walston (elbow) paused his rehab program earlier in the season, but he was expected to start building back up around the middle of May, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Martinez (RP)Martinez (elbow) tossed a bullpen session Friday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/09
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Saalfrank (RP)Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.05/08
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(12)
  • 10-Day-ILFreddy Fermin (C)The Padres placed Fermin on the 10-day injured list Friday with a head bruise, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/04
  • 15-Day-ILRandy Vasquez (SP)no07/07
  • 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP)Estrada (knee) has been throwing at the Padres' spring-training complex in Arizona, per MLB.com.07/03
  • 15-Day-ILLucas Giolito (SP)Giolito (elbow) resumed light throwing in late June, per MLB.com.07/03
  • 15-Day-ILJason Adam (RP)The Padres placed Adam on the 15-day injured list Thursday, retroactive to Tuesday, with a right shoulder strain.07/02
  • 15-Day-ILDavid Morgan (RP)The Padres recalled Morgan from Triple-A El Paso on Friday.06/29
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP)Waldron (forearm) struck out four and allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks across 2.2 innings Thursday in a rehab start with Triple-A El Paso.06/29
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
  • 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)Pivetta (forearm) threw a light bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)Musgrove (elbow) started playing catch in late May, per MLB.com.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF)Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Between the two injury lists, there's barely a full healthy rotation to be found on either side, which tends to mean baserunners, bullpen games and unpredictable scoring. Mason Miller still gives the Padres a lockdown closer if the game stays within reach, but getting to the ninth with a lead is the problem — not the ninth itself.

MLBArizona DiamondbacksSan Diego PadresPolymarketKalshiZac GallenGermán Márquez