Barstool Bush
Predictions

Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners

By Bush StaffUpdated 84d ago·1 min read
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(31-25)
Seattle MarinersSEA(29-29)
1—5
FINAL
123456789RHE
ARI
000000001131
SEA
02200100—590

Ryne Nelson (2-3, 4.65) gets the ball for the Diamondbacks coming off a career night — 8 innings of 1-run ball on 103 pitches against the Rockies, his fifth straight quality start. Bryan Woo (4-3, 3.82) counters for Seattle, but his last time out he got bounced in the 5th by Kansas City, charged with 4 earned on 6 hits.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson
(2-5)·5.19 ERA
May 24 vs Rockies
W
8.0IP
1ER
3K
3BB
103P
05/30 Lineup
Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
(5-5)·4.28 ERA
May 24 @ Royals
L
4.2IP
4ER
4K
2BB
91P
05/30 Lineup

Arizona had won 4 in a row before walking into T-Mobile and losing a 7-6 nailbiter on Friday. They've been one of the better stories in the NL West at 31-25 even with the IL looking like a small village — Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk, Jordan Lawlar, Justin Martinez, James McCann, all out. If Nelson keeps doing what he's been doing, that rotation hole stops being a hole.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(31-25)
May 30L@ Mariners6-7
May 27W@ Giants3-2
May 27W@ Giants7-5
May 25W@ Giants6-2
May 24Wvs Rockies9-1
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(29-29)
May 30Wvs Diamondbacks7-6
May 27W@ Athletics9-1
May 27W@ Athletics4-1
May 26W@ Athletics9-2
May 24L@ Royals6-8

Nolan Arenado is the new wrinkle. He got drilled on the arm by a pitch Friday, came out of the game, and is listed day-to-day with the groin that's been bugging him. Whether he's in the lineup or not changes the look of this Arizona offense in a hurry — and Seattle's bullpen is still working without Cal Raleigh behind the plate.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(17)
  • Day-To-DayNolan Arenado (3B) — Arenado (groin) was removed from Friday's game against the Mariners after getting hit on the arm by a pitch, Jody Jackson of Bally Sports Arizona reports.05/30
  • Day-To-DayA.J. Vukovich (CF) — no05/25
  • Day-To-DayDerek Law (RP) — no05/21
  • Day-To-DaySpencer Giesting (SP)
  • Day-To-DayKyle Amendt (RP) — Amendt was invited to major-league spring training by the Diamondbacks, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILLourdes Gurriel Jr. (LF) — Gurriel's hamstring injury is believed to be fairly minor, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports. Manager Torey Lovullo said Saturday the hope is Gurriel will be able to return from the injured list when first eligible.05/24
  • 10-Day-ILJames McCann (C) — Manager Torey Lovullo said Tuesday that McCann (quad) will likely be sidelined for 4-to-6 weeks, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/19
  • 10-Day-ILCarlos Santana (1B) — Santana suffered a setback with his right adductor strain Sunday while on a rehab assignment with Triple-A Reno, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/11
  • developmental listHayden Durke (RP)
  • 60-Day-ILPavin Smith (1B) — Manager Torey Lovullo said Tuesday that Smith (elbow) could return from the injured list sometime during Arizona's series against the Dodgers next week, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar (LF) — Lawlar (wrist) took on-field batting practice last week, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILA.J. Puk (RP) — Diamondbacks general manager Mike Hazen said Monday that Puk (elbow) will need 7-to-8 rehab appearances before returning from the 60-day injured list, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILCorbin Burnes (SP) — Burnes (elbow) is expected to begin throwing live batting practice Friday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/20
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Martinez (RP) — Martinez (elbow) tossed a bullpen session Friday, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.05/09
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Mena (RP) — The Diamondbacks placed Mena (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBlake Walston (SP) — Arizona placed Walston (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Saalfrank (RP) — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.05/08
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(8)
  • Day-To-DaySpencer Packard (OF)
  • Day-To-DayTeddy McGraw (SP) — McGraw is working his way back from right elbow issues, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILCal Raleigh (C) — Raleigh (oblique) began taking swings in a batting cage Friday, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports05/29
  • 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan (3B) — Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Sunday that Donovan will receive a platelet-rich plasma injection for his strained left groin as well as his adductor and is expected to resume baseball activity in 2-to-3 weeks, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.05/18
  • 10-Day-ILWill Wilson (3B) — The Mariners placed Wilson on the 10-day injured list Saturday due to a fractured left thumb.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILMiles Mastrobuoni (3B) — Mastrobuoni (calf) began a rehab assignment Monday with the Mariners' Arizona Complex League affiliate, going 0-for-2 with a 1:1 K:BB.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILLogan Evans (SP) — The Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas (RP) — Vargas (lat) has suffered a setback in his recovery, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.05/08

The market is leaning Seattle. Pinnacle has the Mariners at -149 on the moneyline with a fair probability around 58%, and the run line sits at -1.5 (+149 home / -170 away). The total is a tidy 6.5, juiced to the over at -129. DraftKings handle is split — 86% of spread money is on Seattle -1.5 while 77% of total bets are tickets on the over.

If Nelson is who he's been the last month, this is a live underdog play even on the road. Woo's been giving up loud contact in his recent starts and the D-backs have scored 6+ in 4 of their last 5. Give me Arizona to keep this one close into the late innings.

Sources

MLBArizona DiamondbacksSeattle MarinersPolymarketKalshiRyne NelsonBryan Woo