Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals

By Bush StaffUpdated 14d ago·2 min read
Chicago CubsCHC(67-49)
Kansas City RoyalsKC(48-68)
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KC
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Kevin Gausman gets his first look in a Cubs uniform Friday, brought over at the deadline to bolster a rotation that's carried Chicago to the top of the NL wild-card race. Across the diamond, Daniel Lynch IV is making his first start of the season and the first of his career against the Cubs — a role change born out of necessity after Kansas City lost Luinder Avila and Stephen Kolek to Tommy John surgery within days of each other.

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Royals(48-68)
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Best BetCubs -171
Pregame

The Cubs are heavily favored here and for good reason — they're rolling with a 4-game winning streak and just swept the Dodgers, while Kansas City is starting a converted reliever making his first career start. Chicago's price reflects a real gap in team quality, not just recent hot streaks, and this is a spot where the favorite is live to win outright with room to spare.

Gausman is walking into a lineup that's been feasting. The Cubs are 33-15 since mid-June, and Kansas City's staff is now being patched together with a converted reliever making his first career start. Lynch has been terrific out of the bullpen all year, but stretching a shutdown reliever into a starter's workload against a lineup this hot is exactly the kind of experiment losing teams run in August.

Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
(6-11)·4.58 ERA
Aug 1 vs Cardinals
W
5.2IP
1ER
4K
1BB
94P
08/07 Lineup
Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV
(4-4)·2.83 ERA
08/07 Lineup

The gap between these two clubs shows up everywhere you look — record, run differential, who's healthy. Kansas City is 20 games under .500 and has already lost four starters for the year. Chicago has question marks of its own in the bullpen, but they're the kind winning teams can absorb; Kansas City's are the kind that force a reliever into a rotation spot he's never had.

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
(67-49)
Aug 6Wvs Blue Jays3-2
Aug 5Wvs Dodgers7-6
Aug 5Wvs Dodgers5-1
Aug 4Wvs Dodgers10-5
Aug 2Lvs Yankees1-2
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(48-68)
Aug 6Lvs Twins3-4
Aug 5Wvs Twins2-1
Aug 4Wvs Twins8-2
Aug 2L@ Rockies1-8
Aug 2L@ Rockies6-12

Chicago's form card tells the story: 4 straight wins, a clean sweep of the Dodgers, and a roster deep enough to survive a rash of bullpen injuries without blinking. Royals fans have watched the opposite — Kansas City has dropped 2 of its last 3 and is scrapping just to stay competitive in a lost season, with Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia both banged up in a lineup that can't afford more holes.

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
(16)
  • 10-Day-ILMatt Shaw (RF)The Cubs announced Monday that Shaw recently resumed light hitting while rehabbing his sprained left hand in Arizona, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 15-Day-ILPhil Maton (RP)Cubs manager Craig Counsell announced July 21 that Maton will rest for roughly three weeks after requiring a platelet-rich plasma injection to address right knee tendinitis, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 15-Day-ILDaniel Palencia (RP)Palencia (elbow) is slated to begin a rehab assignment Wednesday at Triple-A Iowa, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.08/05
  • 15-Day-ILEdward Cabrera (SP)Cabrera (hamstring) is slated to make the second start of his rehab assignment Wednesday with Triple-A Iowa, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.08/05
  • 15-Day-ILGavin Hollowell (RP)The Cubs placed Hollowell on the 15-day injured list Friday with right shoulder inflammation, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.07/31
  • 15-Day-ILHoby Milner (RP)Milner (abdomen) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Iowa on Wednesday, tossing a scoreless inning.07/30
  • 15-Day-ILEthan Roberts (RP)Roberts (forearm) tossed a perfect inning in a rehab appearance Sunday with Triple-A Iowa.07/20
  • 60-Day-ILRiley Martin (RP)Manager Craig Counsell announced July 8 that Martin (elbow) has resumed a throwing program at the Cubs' facility in Arizona, MLB.com reports.08/06
  • 60-Day-ILShelby Miller (RP)The Cubs announced Wednesday that Miler (elbow) has been throwing off a mound and facing hitters at the team's complex in Arizona, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Harvey (RP)Harvey (triceps/shoulder) threw a bullpen session Saturday at the Cubs' facility in Arizona, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP)Manager Craig Counsell said that Holmes (fibula) is expected to be activated from the 60-day injured list to make his Cubs debut with a start this weekend in Kansas City, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.08/04
  • 60-Day-ILBen Brown (RP)Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Friday that Brown (neck) has begun to increase his activity and has taken part in workouts with plyometric balls, MLB.com reports.08/04
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Steele (SP)Steele (elbow) will throw from flat ground and then toss 20 pitches off a mound Saturday, Tony Andracki of Marquee Sports Network reports.07/31
  • 60-Day-ILPorter Hodge (RP)The Cubs transferred Hodge (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCade Horton (SP)The Cubs transferred Horton (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTyler Austin (1B)The Cubs placed Austin (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(12)
  • 10-Day-ILMaikel Garcia (3B)Garcia (hand) received a cortisone injection Tuesday and will be shut down for around five days before ramping up baseball activity, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 10-Day-ILVinnie Pasquantino (1B)Pasquantino (hand) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Twins.07/29
  • 15-Day-ILBeck Way (RP)Way (back) is scheduled to start throwing Wednesday, per MLB.com.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILLuinder Avila (SP)Manager Matt Quatraro said that Avila is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.08/06
  • 60-Day-ILNick Mears (RP)Mears (shoulder) is scheduled to begin a mound progression next week, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Estevez (RP)Estevez (shoulder) is scheduled to start a mound progression Friday, MLB.com reports.08/05
  • 60-Day-ILStephen Kolek (SP)Manager Matt Quatraro announced that Kolek is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.08/04
  • 60-Day-ILConnor Seabold (RP)The Royals placed Seabold on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a right lat strain.08/03
  • 60-Day-ILCole Ragans (SP)Ragans underwent UCL repair surgery on his left elbow Wednesday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.07/02
  • 60-Day-ILJonathan India (2B)no06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJames McArthur (RP)McArthur (elbow) underwent surgery Friday to help combat continued soreness and inflammation, MLB.com reports.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILAlec Marsh (SP)The Royals placed Marsh (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Both injury boards are ugly, but they land differently. Chicago's list is mostly relievers rehabbing toward late-season roles — annoying, not fatal, for a team this deep. Kansas City's list includes two Tommy John surgeries this week alone, which is why a reliever with a 1.96 ERA is being handed a start instead of protected in his lane. That's not a footnote — it's the whole reason Friday's pitching matchup looks the way it does.

Kauffman Stadium sits at 85 degrees and mostly sunny for first pitch at 7:10 PM CT, hitter-friendly conditions for a Cubs lineup that's been raking all week. The Royals need length from Lynch and a lineup that hasn't scored more than 3 in 4 of its last 5 to find some life against a Cubs pitching staff that's fresher on paper. Everything about this series opener favors the visitors.

MLBChicago CubsKansas City RoyalsPolymarketKalshiKevin GausmanDaniel Lynch IV