Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	—	3	5	0

Logan Henderson (6-1, 2.70 ERA) takes the ball for Milwaukee at 6:40 PM PT, and he's been about as good as it gets since rejoining the rotation in July. Casey Mize goes for San Diego barely a week into his tenure there, still trying to shake off the worst start of his career in his Padres debut.

Show fees

FINAL

Spread

ML

Total

Brewers(74-44)

WWLWW

2

-1.5+153-115o7.5+122

Padres(62-57)

WWLWL

3

+1.5-160+113u7.5-120

Best BetBrewers -118

Pregame

Henderson's been a different pitcher since July 1 — a 2.67 ERA and a perfect 5-0 mark over his last five starts — while Mize is still trying to find his footing after a deadline deal that immediately went sideways. The gap in starting pitching quality is close to the whole ballgame here, and the price on Milwaukee still doesn't fully reflect how lopsided this individual matchup looks. Back the Brewers to win outright.

San Diego's rotation picture beyond Mize is bleak — Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta and Lucas Giolito are all working back from injury, which is exactly why the front office went out and traded for arms instead of standing pat at the deadline. Milwaukee has its own attrition to manage, with Joey Ortiz and Cooper Pratt both out of the middle infield, but the Brewers have the depth to paper over that in a way San Diego's pitching staff currently can't.

Logan Henderson

(7-2)·2.70 ERA

Aug 4 vs Pirates

W

6.0IP

2ER

8K

1BB

83P

08/10 Lineup

Casey Mize

(5-7)·3.18 ERA

Aug 5 @ Diamondbacks

L

3.1IP

8ER

1K

3BB

77P

08/10 Lineup

Because for as good as the Padres have looked lately, they're running it with a patchwork operation. San Diego chose to keep its core together in July rather than sell, betting that its top arms would get healthy in time to hold a playoff spot. That bet gets tested every fifth day Mize takes the mound.

Milwaukee Brewers

(74-44)

Aug 9Wvs Twins4-3

Aug 8Wvs Twins4-3

Aug 7Lvs Twins6-8

Aug 6Wvs Pirates5-2

Aug 5Wvs Pirates4-2

San Diego Padres

(62-57)

Aug 10Wvs Astros7-2

Aug 8Wvs Astros3-2

Aug 8Lvs Astros3-6

Aug 7W@ Diamondbacks5-1

Aug 6L@ Diamondbacks4-10

Milwaukee's been grinding rather than blowing teams out to get here — they took 2 of 3 from the Twins and knocked off Pittsburgh twice in a row before boarding the plane west. San Diego's riding a modest heater of its own, having taken 2 of 3 from the Astros to climb back into contention, punctuated by a 7-2 win in the finale. Two teams playing genuinely better baseball than their season-long numbers suggest — but only one of them has a bona fide ace on the mound tonight.

Milwaukee Brewers

(10)

• Day-To-DayJoey Ortiz (SS) — Ortiz is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins due to an upper-back injury and is considered day-to-day, Hunter Baumgardt of Fox Sports 920 Milwaukee reports.08/09
• 10-Day-ILCooper Pratt (SS) — Manager Pat Murphy said Pratt, who is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins, is undergoing an MRI on his hamstring, Hunter Baumgardt of Fox Sports 920 Milwaukee reports.08/09
• 10-Day-ILSal Frelick (RF) — Brewers manager Pat Murphy said Friday that Frelick (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment soon, Casey Drottar of MLB.com reports.08/07
• 15-Day-ILJoJo Romero (RP) — The Brewers acquired Romero (abdomen) and Dustin May from the Cardinals on Monday, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.08/03
• 15-Day-ILJoel Kuhnel (RP) — Kuhnel (shoulder) retired two of the five batters he faced and was charged with two earned runs on three hits and no walks in a rehab appearance Sunday for Triple-A Nashville.08/03
• 60-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP) — Woodruff announced Saturday that he will undergo season-ending capsule repair surgery on his right shoulder, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.07/18
• 60-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zastryzny (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.07/16
• 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP) — Fitzpatrick (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery over the past week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/05
• 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP) — Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/18
• 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31

San Diego Padres

(9)

• 10-Day-ILMiguel Andujar (DH) — The Padres announced Friday that Andujar no longer requires a splint for his fractured right wrist and has been cleared for light activity, MLB.com reports.08/08
• 10-Day-ILSamad Taylor (LF) — Taylor (oblique) has been taking light swings and rehabbing at the Padres' spring complex in Arizona, MLB.com reports.08/04
• 15-Day-ILDavid Morgan (RP) — Morgan (knee) made a rehab appearance Sunday at Triple-A El Paso, allowing one hit and no walks over an inning of relief.08/03
• 15-Day-ILLucas Giolito (SP) — Giolito (elbow) has been throwing at San Diego's team complex in Arizona and may be close to facing hitters, MLB.com reports.07/22
• 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP) — Musgrove (elbow) struck out three and allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks across 2.2 innings in a rehab start Tuesday at Single-A Lake Elsinore.08/08
• 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP) — The Padres have decided to put Pivetta's (forearm) rehab progression on pause "for a couple extra days" after he was removed from his appearance with Single-A Lake Elsinore on Tuesday midway through the first inning, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.08/07
• 60-Day-ILJason Adam (RP) — The Padres transferred Adam (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.08/03
• 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF) — Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
• 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP) — The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Petco Park at night is still one of the tougher parks in the league to score in, and with Henderson dealing, this has the shape of a game that stays tight into the middle innings — right up until Milwaukee's lineup starts working over a bullpen that's already stretched thin covering for a rotation in triage.