Barstool Bush
Predictions

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

By Bush StaffUpdated 26d ago·2 min read
Milwaukee BrewersMIL(66-39)
San Francisco GiantsSF(44-61)
0—3
FINAL
123456789RHE
MIL
000000000031
SF
00120000—360

Brandon Sproat (3-5, 5.09 ERA) gets the ball for the Brewers looking to build off a homestand that saw them bury the Rockies by a combined 19-7 over two games. Tyler Mahle (2-9, 5.31 ERA) counters for the Giants at Oracle Park, with first pitch set for 6:45 PM PT.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Brewers(66-39)
WWLWL
0
Giants(44-61)
LWWLL
3
Best BetBrewers -130
Pregame

Milwaukee was backed here at -130 and that number still looks fair given the gap in records — the Brewers have MLB's best mark at 66-39 while San Francisco is battling to stay out of the NL West cellar. Sproat's ERA isn't pretty, but he's pitching behind the best offense in the league, which buys a lot of margin for error against a Giants lineup that ranks 25th in runs scored.

Sproat, a former Mets prospect, has been up and down in his rookie season, but Milwaukee's offense has bailed him out plenty this year — it's a top-5 scoring unit in baseball. Mahle signed in San Francisco off a strong 2025 in Texas, but nothing about his ERA this year matches that track record, and his last outing was a familiar story: cruising for five innings against Kansas City before losing the strike zone in the sixth.

Milwaukee Brewers
Brandon Sproat
(3-7)·5.27 ERA
Jul 21 vs Mets
L
4.2IP
2ER
4K
4BB
99P
07/27 Lineup
San Francisco Giants
Tyler Mahle
(3-9)·4.83 ERA
Jul 21 @ Royals
L
5.0IP
3ER
4K
1BB
91P
07/27 Lineup

Both rotations are dealing with attrition well beyond their starters tonight. Milwaukee is already without Brandon Woodruff for the season and Quinn Priester for months, and the Giants are without their top infielder and two projected outfielders at the same time.

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(10)
  • 10-Day-ILSal Frelick (RF) — Frelick was given a cortisone shot in his injured right shoulder Wednesday, Dominic Cotroneo of 620 WTMJ reports.07/24
  • 15-Day-ILKyle Harrison (SP) — Harrison (forearm) said that he expects to make a rehab start Thursday with High-A Wisconsin before returning from the 15-day injured list the following week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/26
  • 15-Day-ILJoel Kuhnel (RP) — Kuhnel (shoulder) is slated to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Jack Stern of BrewerFanatic.com reports.07/21
  • 15-Day-ILDL Hall (RP) — Hall (pectoral) struck out a batter and allowed one hit and no walks over a scoreless inning Sunday in a rehab start with High-A Wisconsin.07/20
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge (LF) — Lockridge (knee) was sent to Triple-A Nashville on Thursday to begin a rehab assignment.07/24
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP) — Woodruff announced Saturday that he will undergo season-ending capsule repair surgery on his right shoulder, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.07/18
  • 60-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zastryzny (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.07/16
  • 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP) — Fitzpatrick (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery over the past week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.07/05
  • 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP) — Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/18
  • 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(12)
  • Day-To-DayJung Hoo Lee (RF) — Lee went 2-for-3 with a double and a three-run home run in Saturday's 9-2 win over the Angels.07/26
  • 10-Day-ILMatt Chapman (3B) — Manager Tony Vitello said Sunday that Chapman (abdomen) is still without a target date for his return from the 10-day injured list, which suggests that the veteran third baseman won't be activated before the Giants' homestand ends Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.07/27
  • 10-Day-ILVictor Bericoto (RF) — Giants manager Tony Vitello said Saturday that Bericoto (oblique) may be ready to return from the 10-day injured list "within a couple of weeks, could be sooner," MLB.com reports.07/27
  • 10-Day-ILJonah Cox (CF) — Cox (oblique) was able to do some baserunning Sunday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.07/27
  • 10-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF) — Bader (foot) is unlikely to be activated from the 10-day injured list until after the trade deadline, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.07/20
  • 15-Day-ILTrevor McDonald (SP) — MRI results on McDonald's right elbow revealed a moderate UCL sprain Friday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.07/24
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Gage (RP) — Gage will be re-evaluated in one month after an MRI revealed a moderate left flexor strain, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.07/08
  • 60-Day-ILJoel Peguero (RP) — Peguero (hamstring) threw 30 pitches during a bullpen session Monday, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP) — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP) — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP) — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP) — The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

The Brewers' outfield picture took another hit this week when Sal Frelick got a cortisone shot in his throwing shoulder, and the bullpen has been bled dry by IL trips for Joel Kuhnel, DL Hall, and others. It hasn't mattered much lately — Milwaukee is running away with the NL Central at 66-39 and just closed a homestand outscoring three straight opponents by wide margins.

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(66-39)
Jul 26Wvs Rockies11-2
Jul 25Wvs Rockies8-5
Jul 24Lvs Rockies2-5
Jul 22Wvs Mets4-3
Jul 21Lvs Mets0-4
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(44-61)
Jul 26Lvs Angels3-4
Jul 25Wvs Angels9-2
Jul 25Wvs Angels7-6
Jul 22L@ Royals4-5
Jul 21L@ Royals2-3

San Francisco has actually won two of its last three, and Jung Hoo Lee has been the one bright spot, hammering a three-run homer in Saturday's win over the Angels. But Matt Chapman is still without a firm return date, and with Harrison Bader, Jonah Cox and Victor Bericoto all on the shelf too, manager Tony Vitello is patching together an outfield on the fly against a Milwaukee lineup that leads the league in scoring.

This is a gap-in-class matchup on paper — division leader against a team fighting to stay out of the NL West basement — and the Giants need more nights like Saturday's 9-2 win if they want to avoid getting run off their own field this week.

Sources

MLBMilwaukee BrewersSan Francisco GiantsPolymarketKalshiBrandon SproatTyler Mahle