Barstool Bush
Predictions

Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants

By Bush StaffUpdated 55d ago·2 min read
Atlanta BravesATL(49-32)
San Francisco GiantsSF(34-48)
2—3
FINAL
123456789RHE
ATL
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SF
00000210—3101

Chris Sale (8-5, 2.14 ERA) against Robbie Ray (6-6, 3.70 ERA) is the kind of pitching matchup that makes a 1:05 PM PT first pitch feel mandatory. Sale has been elite all season — his ERA ranks among the NL's best qualifiers, and he's piled up 99 strikeouts in 84 innings. His last start June 20 against Milwaukee was 5.2 scoreless innings with 7 punchouts, though he took a no-decision after exiting with a pitch count just over 100.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Braves(49-32)
LWLLL
2
Giants(34-48)
WLLWW
3
Best BetBraves -162
Pregame

Sale at 2.14 ERA is the best arm on the field and Atlanta is the better team by a significant margin at 49-32 versus 34-48. The Braves are the right side in a rubber match where they hold the pitching advantage. Paying for quality in a game like this is exactly what the price implies — it's not inflated, it's earned.

Ray has been equally sharp lately. He threw 8 shutout innings against the Athletics on June 23, scattering 2 hits across 102 pitches, and has surrendered zero earned runs across his last 2 outings combined. A lefty going deep on a 2-hit effort against a legitimate lineup isn't an accident — Ray is pitching like a man aware the trade deadline is coming. The Giants are also getting Heliot Ramos back from the IL Sunday after a quad injury, slotting him into the outfield and giving San Francisco a mild lineup upgrade for the series finale.

Atlanta Braves
Chris Sale
(9-6)·2.20 ERA
Jun 20 vs Brewers
ND
5.2IP
0ER
7K
1BB
101P
06/28 Lineup
San Francisco Giants
Robbie Ray
(8-6)·3.38 ERA
Jun 23 vs Athletics
W
8.0IP
0ER
6K
4BB
102P
06/28 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(49-32)
Jun 28L@ Giants0-5
Jun 27W@ Giants3-1
Jun 25L@ Padres2-5
Jun 24L@ Padres6-7
Jun 23L@ Padres0-1
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(34-48)
Jun 28Wvs Braves5-0
Jun 27Lvs Braves1-3
Jun 25Lvs Athletics6-9
Jun 25Wvs Athletics2-1
Jun 24Wvs Athletics3-1

The Braves came into this series on a tough stretch: swept by San Diego last week, shut out in 3 of their last 5 games. Atlanta is still 49-32, which is genuinely impressive given what they've been working with, but this road trip has exposed some cracks. The 3-1 win Friday gave them the series split opportunity, and now they get Sale — the one card in their hand that makes any day winnable. Manager Walt Weiss confirmed Ronald Acuña Jr. is a "long way" from coming off the IL with his hamstring, meaning Atlanta's lineup is running without its most dangerous hitter for however long this road trip lasts.

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(11)
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Farmer (DH) — Farmer (forearm) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Columbus on Tuesday.06/23
  • 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. (RF) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Wednesday that Acuna (hamstring) is a "long way" from returning from the 10-day injured list, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILRobert Suarez (RP) — An MRI on Suarez's right elbow came back negative Friday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.06/27
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAJ Smith-Shawver (SP) — Smith-Shawver (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment Thursday at Atlanta's spring training facility in Florida, Chad Bishop of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.06/24
  • 60-Day-ILDanny Young (RP) — Young (elbow) walked and hit a batter but struck out three in a scoreless inning in his first rehab appearance with Double-A Columbus on Tuesday.06/24
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP) — Atlanta transferred Strider (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILSean Murphy (C) — Murphy had the cast on his left hand removed Tuesday and is now wearing a splint to protect his fractured middle finger, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reprots.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach (elbow) has begun throwing on flat ground, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(10)
  • 10-Day-ILHeliot Ramos (LF) — Ramos (quadriceps) is expected to be activated from the 10-day IL on Sunday, and he's likely to move to right field, Justice delos Santos of The Mercury News reports.06/28
  • 10-Day-ILDaniel Susac (C) — The Giants placed Susac on the 10-day injured list Friday with a lower-back strain, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.06/26
  • 10-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF) — Bader met with Dr. Robert Anderson on June 5 and received a stem-cell injection to address plantar fasciitis in his left foot, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILKeaton Winn (RP) — Winn (elbow) began a throwing program Monday, Evan Webeck of the California Post reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILJason Foley (RP) — Foley (shoulder) struck out two over a scoreless inning in a rehab appearance with Triple-A Sacramento on Friday.06/15
  • 60-Day-ILJoel Peguero (RP) — The Giants placed Peguero on the 60-day injured list Monday due to a left hamstring strain, John Shea of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP) — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP) — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP) — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP) — The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

Both teams are carrying real injury weight, but San Francisco's bullpen situation is the more pressing concern Sunday. The Giants are missing Hayden Birdsong (Tommy John surgery), Randy Rodriguez, Rowan Wick, Joel Peguero, and Jose Butto from their relief corps — all on the 60-day IL. If Ray exits before the 7th, it gets thin fast. Atlanta's rotation losses (Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach, AJ Smith-Shawver all on the 60-day) are significant for the season picture, but today it's Sale's problem to solve. The Braves need 6-plus innings from him to avoid leaning on a bullpen that's been worked hard this week.

Sources

MLBAtlanta BravesSan Francisco GiantsPolymarketKalshiChris SaleRobbie Ray