Barstool Bush
Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

By Bush StaffUpdated 86d ago·2 min read
Toronto Blue JaysTOR(27-29)
Baltimore OriolesBAL(26-30)
2—1
FINAL
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TOR
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BAL
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Patrick Corbin (2-1, 3.86) draws Chris Bassitt (4-3, 5.51) for a 6:35 PM ET first pitch at Camden Yards. Corbin is coming off a tidy 6-inning, 1-ER, 7-K start against the Pirates last week. Bassitt's last outing was uglier — 5 innings and 4 earned in a loss to the Nationals on May 16, and that 5.51 ERA tells you the rest.

Toronto Blue Jays
Patrick Corbin
(2-3)·4.55 ERA
May 23 vs Pirates
W
6.0IP
1ER
7K
0BB
84P
05/28 Lineup
Baltimore Orioles
Chris Bassitt
(4-4)·5.27 ERA
May 16 @ Nationals
L
5.0IP
4ER
4K
1BB
82P
05/28 Lineup

Pinnacle has the O's at -124 with the total sitting at 8.5, which feels about right given Baltimore is humming and Toronto is a coin flip on any given night. The Orioles are 17-13 at home and just dropped 11 on Tampa Bay on Wednesday with Blaze Alexander going off for a 6-RBI night and Gunnar Henderson tagging his 12th and 13th homers. Pete Alonso has been the engine all year — 10 bombs, 33 RBI, 12 doubles.

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(27-29)
May 27Wvs Marlins2-1
May 26Wvs Marlins8-1
May 25Lvs Marlins2-8
May 24Lvs Pirates1-4
May 23Wvs Pirates5-2
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(26-30)
May 27Wvs Rays11-2
May 26Wvs Rays6-1
May 25Wvs Rays9-7
May 24Lvs Tigers1-4
May 24Wvs Tigers5-3

Toronto's the more interesting watch here, and not in a good way. They took 2 of 3 from the Marlins to close out the homestand, but the rotation behind Corbin is a wreck. Jose Berrios just had Tommy John surgery and a stress fracture repair — done for the year. Max Scherzer (forearm) and Dylan Cease (hamstring) are both on the 15-day. Shane Bieber's still rehabbing in the FCL. That's basically the whole top half of the staff.

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(18)
  • Day-To-DayGeovanny Jesus Planchart (C) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayChay Yeager (RP) — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayCJ Stubbs (C) — The Blue Jays signed Stubbs to a minor-league contract Friday that includes an invitation to spring training.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJaven Coleman (P) — no05/08
  • 10-Day-ILAddison Barger (RF) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Wednesday that Barger (elbow) will resume throwing "probably [Thursday]," Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
  • 15-Day-ILDylan Cease (SP) — Cease (hamstring) was able to play light catch Tuesday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
  • 15-Day-ILJoe Mantiply (RP) — Mantiply (knee) is expected to resume throwing within the next couple of days, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/25
  • 15-Day-ILMax Scherzer (SP) — Scherzer (forearm) will throw a live bullpen session in Toronto on Wednesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/25
  • 15-Day-ILTommy Nance (RP) — Manager John Schneider said Tuesday that the outlook for Nance's forearm injury is a "best case" scenario, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.05/19
  • developmental listFernando Perez (P)
  • 15-Day-ILLazaro Estrada (RP) — The Blue Jays placed Estrada on the MLB 15-day injured list April 5 with a right shoulder impingement, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJose Berrios (SP) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILAlejandro Kirk (C) — Kirk (thumb) is aiming to start hitting off a pitching machine this weekend and begin a rehab assignment by the start of the Blue Jays' June 5-14 homestand, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILShane Bieber (SP) — Bieber (elbow) allowed three hits while striking out three batters across two scoreless innings in his rehab start Monday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILYimi Garcia (RP) — Manager John Schneider said Garcia (elbow) threw a bullpen session Friday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILAnthony Santander (RF) — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCody Ponce (SP) — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBowden Francis (SP) — The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(16)
  • Day-To-DayYennier Cano (RP) — Cano was removed from Wednesday's game against the Rays due to right hamstring discomfort, Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com reports.05/28
  • Day-To-DayLevi Wells (P) — Triple-A Norfolk placed Wells on its 7-day injured list Wednesday due to right hip discomfort, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/20
  • Day-To-DayRichard Guasch (SP) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayWill Robertson (LF) — The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayLuis Vazquez (SS) — Orioles manager Craig Albernaz said Monday that Vazquez has been diagnosed with a broken right thumb, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers (RF) — Beavers (oblique) hit in the batting cage Wednesday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/27
  • 15-Day-ILCade Povich (SP) — Povich (elbow) met with Dr. Keith Meister on Tuesday and is without an official timetable for his return after receiving a cortisone injection, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/19
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Helsley (RP) — Helsley (elbow) played catch Friday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/15
  • 15-Day-ILDean Kremer (SP) — Orioles manager Craig Albernaz said Monday that Kremer (quadriceps) has begun a throwing program, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/11
  • 60-Day-ILHeston Kjerstad (LF) — Kjerstad (hamstring) went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Sunday's rehab game with Triple-A Norfolk.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILColin Selby (RP) — Selby was recently evaluated by Dr. Chris Looze in Baltimore due to ongoing symptoms with his injured right shoulder, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Mountcastle (1B) — General manager Mike Elias said Friday that Mountcastle is expected to return sometime in late June or July, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Westburg (3B) — Westburg (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Andrew Golden of TheBanner.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILYaramil Hiraldo (RP) — The Orioles announced Monday that Hiraldo (shoulder) has resumed a throwing program, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/11
  • 60-Day-ILZach Eflin (SP) — Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILFelix Bautista (RP) — Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/08

Ernie Clement has quietly been one of the more reliable Jays bats — .294 with 17 doubles — but with Alejandro Kirk (thumb) and Anthony Santander (shoulder) still out, the lineup is asking a lot from the middle of the order. Addison Barger (elbow) was at least throwing again on Thursday per Schneider, so there's a sliver of light there.

Bottom line — if Bassitt finds the version of himself that doesn't give up a five-spot in the first inning, this is a layup for the home side. If he doesn't, Corbin has been steady enough to make Baltimore work for it. Lean Orioles, but the under at 8.5 isn't crazy with Corbin's command lately.

Sources

MLBToronto Blue JaysBaltimore OriolesPolymarketKalshiPatrick CorbinChris Bassitt
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles — Orioles Ride the Heat Wave Into Camden With Corbin on Deck | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush