Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers

By Bush StaffUpdated 56d ago·2 min read
Houston AstrosHOU(40-44)
Detroit TigersDET(35-47)
86
FINAL
123456789RHE
HOU
0211001308151
DET
0041100006112

Framber Valdez (4-5, 3.91 ERA) draws Kai-Wei Teng (4-6, 4.03 ERA) at 1:10 PM ET in Comerica Park — and the biggest subplot here is that Valdez is now a Tiger, not an Astro. He was Houston's workhorse for the better part of a decade before Detroit opened the checkbook, and today he gets the reunion game against the club that cut him loose.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Astros(40-44)
LWWWL
8
Tigers(35-47)
WLLLW
6
Best BetTigers -135
Pregame

The moneyline is almost a coin flip — Detroit at -107 is barely any juice — but this number undersells what Valdez brings to the home side right now. He's pitching his best baseball of the season against a rotation-depleted Astros lineup that managed zero runs on Friday. The home team with the better arm is the lean.

This series is knotted at 1. Houston edged Detroit 2-1 in the opener Thursday night, then got steamrolled 8-0 on Friday when Keider Montero threw 7 scoreless innings and the Tigers put up 3 home runs. Now it's Game 3 of 4, and whichever team wins today has real momentum heading into Sunday's finale.

Houston Astros
Kai-Wei Teng
(4-6)·4.36 ERA
Jun 21 vs Guardians
W
6.0IP
1ER
4K
1BB
83P
06/27 Lineup
Detroit Tigers
Framber Valdez
(5-6)·4.10 ERA
Jun 22 vs Yankees
W
6.0IP
1ER
8K
2BB
94P
06/27 Lineup
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(40-44)
Jun 26L@ Tigers0-8
Jun 25W@ Tigers2-1
Jun 24W@ Blue Jays3-1
Jun 23W@ Blue Jays9-7
Jun 22L@ Blue Jays2-4
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
(35-47)
Jun 26Wvs Astros8-0
Jun 25Lvs Astros1-2
Jun 24Lvs Yankees2-4
Jun 23Lvs Yankees3-4
Jun 22Wvs Yankees5-3

Valdez has been the best version of himself in June. He's posted a 2.45 ERA through 4 starts this month — a big step up from a rocky May — and his last 2 starts border on unfair: 12 innings combined, 1 earned run. The outing against the Yankees last Monday (6 IP, 1 ER, 8 K on 94 pitches) is exactly what Detroit paid for. The Astros know better than anyone what a locked-in Valdez looks like: sinker down in the zone, weak contact, ground balls everywhere.

Teng finally looked like himself against Cleveland last Sunday — 6 innings, 1 run, 4 strikeouts — snapping a brutal stretch where he went 0-3 with an 8.83 ERA over 4 starts. The adjustment was concrete: catcher Christian Vázquez steered him toward 4-seam fastballs (45% of pitches on the day) and leaned on the changeup over the sweeper. Whether that carries against a lineup he hasn't seen since that bounce-back is the legitimate question heading into today.

Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(11)
  • Day-To-DayWalker Janek (C)Double-A Corpus Christi placed Janek on its 7-day injured list Sunday due to an unspecified injury.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILNick Allen (SS)Allen (hamstring) resumed taking batting practice and shagging flyballs over the weekend, MLB.com reports.06/22
  • 10-Day-ILLaMonte Wade Jr. (1B)Wade (hamstring) has resumed taking batting practice and shagging flyballs and is expected to head out on a minor-league rehab assignment soon, MLB.com reports.06/22
  • 10-Day-ILBraden Shewmake (SS)The Astros announced Monday that Shewmake (adductor) has taken part in baseball activity and is working his way through a running progression at the team's facility in Florida, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr. (SP)McCullers (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Thursday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/21
  • 15-Day-ILBennett Sousa (RP)The Astros announced Friday that Sousa (elbow) has begun a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Javier (SP)Javier (shoulder) struck out five and allowed three earned runs on five hits and three walks across 4.2 innings Sunday in his rehab start with Triple-A Sugar Land.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonel Blanco (SP)Blanco (elbow) struck out five over three scoreless frames in his first rehab start with the Astros' Florida Complex League affiliate Friday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Walter (SP)The Astros announced Friday that Walter (elbow) is in the midst of a throwing progression at the team's complex in West Palm Beach, Fla., Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Correa (SS)Correa is scheduled to undergo surgery Monday in Houston to repair the tendon in his left ankle, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Wesneski (SP)Wesneski (elbow) has progressed to throwing live batting practice this week, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.05/29
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
(13)
  • Day-To-DayJosue Briceno (C)Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILGleyber Torres (2B)Torres (oblique) received a cortisone injection Friday and is expected to start up his rehab program in the next day or two, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/19
  • 15-Day-ILJack Flaherty (SP)Flaherty (ankle) is expected to return from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday against the Astros, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/24
  • 60-Day-ILJackson Jobe (SP)Jobe (elbow) will throw live batting practice Saturday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/26
  • 60-Day-ILWenceel Perez (RF)Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Perez won't require surgery for the left orbital fracture he sustained June 16, but the outfielder lacks a clear timeline for a return, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports. "It's not, from what I understand, where it's going to be something long term," Hinch said of Perez's injury. "But it doesn't mean it heals itself fast. He's feeling better and better and reporting progress."06/26
  • 60-Day-ILParker Meadows (CF)Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Meadows (forearm) has yet to resume hitting and is without a timeline to return from the 60-day injured list, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILBurch Smith (RP)The Tigers transferred Smith (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Verlander (SP)Verlander (hip) has been scratched from a scheduled start Sunday versus the White Sox due to a left hamstring injury, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILJavier Baez (SS)The Tigers transferred Baez (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILTrey Sweeney (SS)Sweeney will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery this week, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILBrant Hurter (RP)The Tigers placed Hurter on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to lumbar spine inflammation.05/29
  • 60-Day-ILBailey Horn (RP)Horn (elbow) began a throwing progression May 14, MLB.com reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILReese Olson (SP)The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday after he underwent a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.05/08

Both clubs are beat up. The Astros have lost Carlos Correa to season-ending ankle surgery, and their rotation is missing Javier, Blanco, McCullers, and Wesneski — a staggering amount of pitching depth to burn through before the All-Star break. Detroit isn't healthy either: Verlander, Jobe, Torres, and Baez are all unavailable. Houston is 40-44 and needs wins in bunches to stay relevant in the AL Wild Card race; dropping Game 3 here would put them in an ugly spot with the series still ongoing.

MLBHouston AstrosDetroit TigersPolymarketKalshiKai-Wei TengFramber Valdez