Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers

By Bush StaffUpdated 57d ago·2 min read
Houston AstrosHOU(40-43)
Detroit TigersDET(34-47)
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FINAL
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HOU
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DET
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Spencer Arrighetti (7-3, 3.13 ERA) draws Keider Montero (3-5, 3.68 ERA) at 6:40 PM ET in a game that looks tighter on paper than the standings suggest. Arrighetti has the better overall numbers, but the recent trend is going the wrong direction — and Montero is coming off arguably the most efficient start of his season.

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FINAL
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ML
Total
Astros(40-43)
WWWLW
0
Tigers(34-47)
LLLWW
8
Best BetTigers -121
Pregame

The Tigers are priced as slight home favorites, and the matchup backs that up. Montero has been sharp lately — no walks, efficient pitch counts, keeping the ball in the yard — while Arrighetti has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 3 straight starts. Detroit's 22-18 home record shows Comerica is a genuine advantage when their lineup is functional, and backing the home team in a game where the visiting starter is clearly working through something is a straightforward play.

After allowing 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his first 8 starts, Arrighetti has been touched up for 3 or more in 3 straight outings. The last one was damaging: 6 IP, 6 ER, and 3 homers against Cleveland on June 20, including 2 from rookie Travis Bazzana. He still punched out 8 batters in that start, which means he's missing bats — he's just leaving too many pitches in the air. Montero's trajectory runs the other way. He went 7 innings against the White Sox on June 21, gave up 3 runs, issued zero walks, and needed only 76 pitches to do it. He doesn't miss bats, but he doesn't beat himself either.

Houston Astros
Spencer Arrighetti
(7-5)·4.50 ERA
Jun 20 vs Guardians
L
6.0IP
6ER
8K
0BB
90P
06/26 Lineup
Detroit Tigers
Keider Montero
(5-5)·3.15 ERA
Jun 21 vs White Sox
ND
7.0IP
3ER
3K
0BB
76P
06/26 Lineup
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(40-43)
Jun 25W@ Tigers2-1
Jun 24W@ Blue Jays3-1
Jun 23W@ Blue Jays9-7
Jun 22L@ Blue Jays2-4
Jun 21Wvs Guardians2-1
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
(34-47)
Jun 25Lvs Astros1-2
Jun 24Lvs Yankees2-4
Jun 23Lvs Yankees3-4
Jun 22Wvs Yankees5-3
Jun 21Wvs White Sox5-4

Detroit's situation at 34-47 is a long way from the preseason narrative. The Tigers were expected to contend in the AL Central and instead they're treading water, largely because of an injury wave that's never fully stopped. Justin Verlander is on the 60-day IL with hip and hamstring issues, Jackson Jobe is out for the year following elbow surgery, Trey Sweeney is done with season-ending shoulder surgery, Gleyber Torres is sidelined with an oblique strain, and Wenceel Perez is out with an orbital fracture. The club is 22-18 at home — genuinely functional at Comerica — but the overall picture is a rotation running on fumes and a lineup that's been short-staffed all season.

Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(11)
  • Day-To-DayWalker Janek (C)Double-A Corpus Christi placed Janek on its 7-day injured list Sunday due to an unspecified injury.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILNick Allen (SS)Allen (hamstring) resumed taking batting practice and shagging flyballs over the weekend, MLB.com reports.06/22
  • 10-Day-ILLaMonte Wade Jr. (1B)Wade (hamstring) has resumed taking batting practice and shagging flyballs and is expected to head out on a minor-league rehab assignment soon, MLB.com reports.06/22
  • 10-Day-ILBraden Shewmake (SS)The Astros announced Monday that Shewmake (adductor) has taken part in baseball activity and is working his way through a running progression at the team's facility in Florida, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr. (SP)McCullers (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Thursday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/21
  • 15-Day-ILBennett Sousa (RP)The Astros announced Friday that Sousa (elbow) has begun a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Javier (SP)Javier (shoulder) struck out five and allowed three earned runs on five hits and three walks across 4.2 innings Sunday in his rehab start with Triple-A Sugar Land.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonel Blanco (SP)Blanco (elbow) struck out five over three scoreless frames in his first rehab start with the Astros' Florida Complex League affiliate Friday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Walter (SP)The Astros announced Friday that Walter (elbow) is in the midst of a throwing progression at the team's complex in West Palm Beach, Fla., Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Correa (SS)Correa is scheduled to undergo surgery Monday in Houston to repair the tendon in his left ankle, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Wesneski (SP)Wesneski (elbow) has progressed to throwing live batting practice this week, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.05/29
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
(13)
  • Day-To-DayJosue Briceno (C)Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILWenceel Perez (RF)Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Perez won't require surgery for the left orbital fracture he sustained June 16, but the outfielder lacks a clear timeline for a return, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports. "It's not, from what I understand, where it's going to be something long term," Hinch said of Perez's injury. "But it doesn't mean it heals itself fast. He's feeling better and better and reporting progress."06/25
  • 10-Day-ILGleyber Torres (2B)Torres (oblique) received a cortisone injection Friday and is expected to start up his rehab program in the next day or two, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/19
  • 15-Day-ILJack Flaherty (SP)Flaherty (ankle) is expected to return from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday against the Astros, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/24
  • 60-Day-ILParker Meadows (CF)Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Meadows (forearm) has yet to resume hitting and is without a timeline to return from the 60-day injured list, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILBurch Smith (RP)The Tigers transferred Smith (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Verlander (SP)Verlander (hip) has been scratched from a scheduled start Sunday versus the White Sox due to a left hamstring injury, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/19
  • 60-Day-ILJavier Baez (SS)The Tigers transferred Baez (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILTrey Sweeney (SS)Sweeney will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery this week, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILJackson Jobe (SP)Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Jobe (elbow) is expected to resume facing hitters in live batting practice "in a few weeks," Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILBrant Hurter (RP)The Tigers placed Hurter on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to lumbar spine inflammation.05/29
  • 60-Day-ILBailey Horn (RP)Horn (elbow) began a throwing progression May 14, MLB.com reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILReese Olson (SP)The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday after he underwent a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.05/08

Houston isn't exactly healthy either — Carlos Correa just underwent ankle surgery, Lance McCullers Jr. is on the 15-day IL, and the rotation has been shorthanded for months. But the Astros' offense masks a lot of that. Yordan Alvarez is leading all of baseball with a 1.069 OPS and is hitting .382 in June with 5 home runs and 17 RBIs. The Astros went 4-1 in their last 5, swept Toronto for 3 games, and sit 2.5 games out of first in the AL West. For a 40-43 club, the trajectory is pointed in the right direction.

Friday's game hinges on Arrighetti. The talent is real — he's still 7-3 — but Detroit represents a meaningful test for a pitcher who's been in a rough patch. Montero throws enough strikes to keep this game close, and the Tigers' home crowd will be leaning on a series that's already slipping. The Astros won the opener with defense and clutch pitching; now they need their rotation to answer.

MLBHouston AstrosDetroit TigersPolymarketKalshiSpencer ArrighettiKeider Montero