Matthew Stafford

By Bush StaffUpdated 2d ago·2 min read
Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford · QB1 · LAR

Stafford's 2025 MVP season started with the Rams debating whether to put him on injured reserve before it even began.

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  • Rams seriously considered IR for Stafford's back before the 2025 season even started.
  • Stafford missed all of last year's training camp rehabbing an aggravated disc.
  • Adams led the NFL in receiving touchdowns but had only one 100-yard game all season.
  • Stafford won the closest MVP vote since 2003, edging Drake Maye by five points.
  • He's missed 11 regular-season games to various injuries since joining the Rams in 2021.
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Nothing about Stafford's setup changed this offseason except the paperwork. Sean McVay still runs the same version of the Shanahan tree that turns pre-snap motion and play-action into layups, Davante Adams and Puka Nacua still occupy the top two receiver spots, and the front office made sure none of it had an expiration date by locking Stafford into 2027. The only real update is health: last year's spine trouble that nearly parked him on IR before Week 1 is a year further removed, and this camp he's practicing on a normal schedule instead of rehabbing his way into one.

Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford
QB1 · LAR
77.90.5 picks down the board
ADP
Age38
Years Pro17
Depth ChartQB1
QB Rank#7
Overall Rank#79
Rostered92.3%
Odds To Finish #1 QB+9004th Favorite
Standard ADP77.2
Half PPR ADP79.0
PPR ADP77.4

What makes Stafford worth trusting again is how little the back injury actually cost him once he was on the field. He still throws with the same anticipation and arm strength that let McVay's offense attack the deep middle instead of dink-and-dunking to protect him, and he still layers throws into windows most quarterbacks his age can't find anymore. The chemistry piece is the interesting one: Adams caught touchdowns at a league-best rate a year ago but barely got right with Stafford as a runner of routes, since the two had almost no practice reps together before the season started. A full, healthy camp spent building actual timing with Adams is the upgrade nobody needed a trade or a draft pick to create.

The counter-case isn't subtle: this is a quarterback who has now dealt with a disc issue serious enough that his own team weighed shutting him down before it even mattered, on top of a résumé that already includes a spinal cord bruise and a string of missed games since he arrived in Los Angeles. Nothing about an aggravated back gets less risky at 38, and if it flares again in November instead of August, there's no earlier version of Stafford waiting to bail the offense out. The MVP season also came with historically light interception totals that are hard to repeat even for a passer this accurate.

Pass YdsPass TDIntRush AttRush YdsRush TDStandard½ PPRPPR
2025470746.08.0291350350350
2026 Proj428234.99.727390.6293293293

Set him against Brock Purdy and the difference is about who needs the machine working perfectly around him. Purdy's ceiling depends on a healthy run game and a clean pocket to keep defenses honest; when either breaks down, his answers get smaller. Stafford has spent two decades proving he can still push the ball vertically and improvise from a mediocre pocket, which is exactly what a receiver room built around contested-catch specialists like Adams and Nacua actually needs. If both stay upright, Stafford is the safer bet to keep producing when the offense isn't perfect.

Matthew StaffordLos Angeles RamsQBFantasy FootballNFL