Josh Jacobs

By Bush StaffUpdated 2d ago·2 min read
Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs · RB1 · GB

Jacobs still runs like he's trying to hurt the guy tackling him, but Green Bay is betting that style ages differently than his touchdown total suggests.

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Updated 15h ago: Jacobs (groin) won't play in Friday's preseason game at Denver, according to Mike Spofford of the Packers' official site.

  • Jacobs led all backs in broken tackles last season despite a down year in yardage.
  • His rushing yardage fell roughly 400 yards below his Pro Bowl debut season in Green Bay.
  • ESPN's Mike Clay flags him as a touchdown-regression candidate after a scoring binge against a soft closing schedule.
  • He racked up 14 total touchdowns last year, a total Clay expects to shrink in 2026.
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Nobody in Green Bay has been handed a reason to take carries off Jacobs. The Packers didn't draft or sign a back capable of unseating him, and everything behind him on the depth chart is camp filler until proven otherwise. That's a vote of confidence in the player, but it's also just math: this offense runs through him because it never built an alternative.

Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB1 · GB
26.00.3 picks up the board
ADP
Age28
Years Pro7
Depth ChartRB1
RB Rank#13
Overall Rank#26
InjuryQuestionable
Rostered98.8%
Standard ADP22.0
Half PPR ADP24.9
PPR ADP31.2

Watch him and the appeal is obvious. Jacobs doesn't make you miss so much as make you pay for trying to stop him, finishing runs through arm tackles and turning busted blocks into positive gains through pure contact balance. He led backs in broken tackles a year ago and does his best work after first contact, not before it, which is why LaFleur keeps trusting him with the ball inside the 5 even when the yardage upfield gets ugly.

The honest problem is that a running style built on absorbing hits doesn't scale forever, and the numbers already show wear: his yardage dropped hard from his Pro Bowl debut in Green Bay, even as his touchdown total held up. That's the red flag scouts like ESPN's Mike Clay are pointing at heading into this season — a back whose scoring rate outran his per-carry production, propped up by a soft closing stretch that won't repeat. Take away a few short-yardage scores and this profile looks a lot more ordinary.

Rush AttRush YdsRush TDTgtsRecRec YdsRec TDStandard½ PPRPPR
202523492913.04436.02821.0201219237
2026 Proj278114412.24736.02801.6223241259

The clearest stylistic match at the position is Kyren Williams, another back who wins on toughness and goal-line trust rather than long speed, and who's just as touchdown-dependent for his value. Williams gets there against defenses stacked to stop the run in a offense that leans on him more than anyone; Jacobs gets there in an offense with real receivers drawing safeties out of the box. Given the choice, take the back playing behind the better passing game — Jacobs earns his touchdowns against lighter fronts, and that matters more than people give it credit for.

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