Iowa Hawkeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Oct 24, 20262:30 PM CTFS1Minneapolis, MN
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Iowa just ran for 208 yards with one back in Seattle. Minnesota just gave up 195 to one back in West Lafayette. Both teams have 2 weeks to stew on that before Saturday, October 24.

SAT 10/24, 2:30 PM CT · Week 8FS1
Kickoff 66°

No. 20 Iowa visits Minnesota with both teams 2-1 in the Big Ten and both coming off a bye. Iowa may have a quarterback decision to make, with Hank Brown questionable (shoulder) after Jeremy Hecklinski threw 3 touchdowns at Washington. The matchup that likely decides it is Kamari Moulton and the Iowa run game against a Minnesota defense that just gave up 195 rushing yards to one Purdue back.

Iowa Hawkeyes
  • Moulton ran for career-high 208 at Washington
  • Defense held Washington to minus-3 rushing yards
  • Hecklinski efficient in relief: 14-of-19, 3 TD
  • Starting QB Brown questionable with shoulder injury
  • Offense managed 16 and 20 in 2 tight wins
  • Scored 14 in home loss to Ohio State
Minnesota Golden Gophers
  • Home win over Michigan, road win at Washington
  • 2 weeks off to fix the run defense
  • Already 2-1 in the Big Ten

The quarterback question belongs to Iowa. Hank Brown started the first 5 games, hurt his shoulder against Ohio State, and is listed questionable for this one. Jeremy Hecklinski started in his place at Washington and went 14-of-19 for 202 yards and 3 touchdowns. That is not a backup getting carried home. Kirk Ferentz's staff now has a real choice to make, and with 2 weeks to make it, nobody outside the building should treat either name as settled.

Minnesota's problem is bigger than one name. Lead back R. Estrada is out for the year with a knee injury, and at Purdue the replacements, Darius Taylor and TJ Thomas, combined for 25 yards on 12 carries. Receiver B. Stevens is still carrying a questionable tag for illness. A Gophers offense that can't run the ball and is short a receiver has to beat Iowa through the air, and Iowa just held Washington to minus-3 rushing yards.

The schedule makes this one worth watching. Both teams are 2-1 in the Big Ten, both beat Washington on the road, and both beat Michigan, Iowa by 1 in Ann Arbor and Minnesota by 6 at home. On paper they look a lot alike. Their last games say otherwise. Iowa scored on 5 drives in the first 25 minutes at Washington. Minnesota was down 20-3 at the half in West Lafayette, and P.J. Fleck burned a challenge and a timeout trying to gain 2 yards on a spot.

10/10W@Washington41-24
10/03Lvs3Ohio State14-31
09/26W@Michigan20-19
09/19WvsNorthern Iowa55-0
09/12WvsIowa State16-13
10/11L@Purdue13-41
10/03WvsMichigan20-14
09/27W@Washington27-24
09/19WvsAkron41-7
09/12LvsMississippi State13-38

Iowa's only loss came against Ohio State, 31-14 at home, and that's also the game that cost them Brown. Otherwise this team has won the Iowa way: 16-13 over Iowa State, 20-19 at Michigan, then the outlier. That 41-24 win in Seattle was the most points they've scored against a Power 4 opponent this season, and Kamari Moulton's career-high 208 yards on 26 carries did most of the work. The open question is whether that was a breakout or just a good night against a defense that couldn't line up.

Minnesota's season has gone in streaks. They lost 38-13 at home to Mississippi State, then won 3 straight, including 27-24 at Washington and 20-14 over Michigan, and then got run over at Purdue. Fame Ijeboi carried 31 times for 195 yards and 3 touchdowns. You don't fix that kind of run defense in a week, but they get 2 to work on it before hosting a team that wants to run 40 times.

In the end this comes down to the line of scrimmage. If Minnesota's front can't stop Moulton, it barely matters who starts at quarterback for Iowa. If the Gophers can stuff the run and make the Hawkeyes throw, the Brown-or-Hecklinski question starts to matter a lot. Either way it's a home rivalry game with a 2-week build-up, and Minnesota has already shown this year that it can beat good teams at Huntington Bank Stadium.

Iowa vs. Minnesota: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — Iowa Brings Its Ground Game to Minneapolis After Purdue Ran Over Minnesota · Barstool Bush